1. #1
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Site just refreshed a huge write up

    I had on the FSU SM bowl game coming up and no way am I typing all that again


    in short I’ll say this

    go over the inactive players list on Florida St

    half the players have have been out for many games leading up to this one

    many of the remaining ones were not contributing whatsoever anyways

    The only 3 key guys are 3 defensive starters , this is true
    but Florida St most likely can get by with depth as the teams they
    face are in the ACC , the team they are facing today is a team that
    has gathered their record and stats in the Conference USA west standings

    Riddle me this , how many times do you think this Southern Miss
    team has went up against a offensive line that has 6 players
    that are 6’7 or taller, Florida St has two running backs that
    are averaging close to 6 yards combined each carry . and I checked
    the box scores, they are putting up 100 yard games a piece against
    legit teams in the ACC .

    Now Southern Miss has been decent at defense but this is against
    others team who lack the physicality like they themselves do
    they without a shadow of doubt are undersized, just look quickly
    on the roster chart, takes a minute at the most...and are succeptable
    pat giving up the big plays , especially as the game goes on
    The interim coach of Florida St is preaching pounding the
    rock at a insane clip . Take that for what you will but the FSU QB
    jersey should be pretty clean by the end of the game and that is key as well

    So let’s talk about the trio of FSU starters that aren’t playing
    would you rather have guys who are super hungry athletes to
    be playing or guys who have talent but are lethargic and would rather
    not be on the field durng snaps ..... take that as well for what you will

    Now , a 17 Point spread is down to 12 and still dropping
    so Im going to wait to see just how low it will go
    but what seems like a big spread and a completely riddled team
    might look a lot dif then what you envisioned entering the 4th quarter
    So Miss does have talent and from what I gathered has put up
    b2b seasons of improvement , but I think the play here
    is Florida St , especially if line comes close to -10.5
    Im taking them regardless for at least a unit but will wait
    and hope for the perfect scenario of 1 of my 4 books
    to drop it down to possibly 10.5 then buy a half point for cheap

    i know it prolly wont reach -10.5but I’m waiting until I see a line change

    in the wrong direction


    Overall my other write up was better and this one is on iPad and sloppy
    but unless Fl St turns the ball over 3 times or more I see them winning by around
    14 to 17 points . Or at least surpassing the two touchdown lead
    and So Miss being the team on last drive or two trying to backdoor
    a cover against Fl St

  2. #2
    RudyRuetigger
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    fidel whats your story bro

  3. #3
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    fidel whats your story bro
    Down to 11.5

    thought i I made some solid insight above but maybe just jibberish

  4. #4
    tony_come
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    So what's the play

  5. #5
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    I’m also gauging the possibilities of line going in better direction
    or continuing to by watching the juice on the lines on all 4 books
    as it’s dropping . For instance one book has 11.5 at -105
    which leads me to believe they will fall to at least 11
    compared to another being 11.5 at -120 which shows me
    it prolly around best it will get on that book

  6. #6
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fidel_CashFlow View Post
    I had on the FSU SM bowl game coming up and no way am I typing all that again


    in short I’ll say this

    go over the inactive players list on Florida St

    half the players have have been out for many games leading up to this one

    many of the remaining ones were not contributing whatsoever anyways

    The only 3 key guys are 3 defensive starters , this is true
    but Florida St most likely can get by with depth as the teams they
    face are in the ACC , the team they are facing today is a team that
    has gathered their record and stats in the Conference USA west standings

    Riddle me this , how many times do you think this Southern Miss
    team has went up against a offensive line that has 6 players
    that are 6’7 or taller, Florida St has two running backs that
    are averaging close to 6 yards combined each carry . and I checked
    the box scores, they are putting up 100 yard games a piece against
    legit teams in the ACC .

    Now Southern Miss has been decent at defense but this is against
    others team who lack the physicality like they themselves do
    they without a shadow of doubt are undersized, just look quickly
    on the roster chart, takes a minute at the most...and are succeptable
    pat giving up the big plays , especially as the game goes on
    The interim coach of Florida St is preaching pounding the
    rock at a insane clip . Take that for what you will but the FSU QB
    jersey should be pretty clean by the end of the game and that is key as well

    So let’s talk about the trio of FSU starters that aren’t playing
    would you rather have guys who are super hungry athletes to
    be playing or guys who have talent but are lethargic and would rather
    not be on the field durng snaps ..... take that as well for what you will

    Now , a 17 Point spread is down to 12 and still dropping
    so Im going to wait to see just how low it will go
    but what seems like a big spread and a completely riddled team
    might look a lot dif then what you envisioned entering the 4th quarter
    So Miss does have talent and from what I gathered has put up
    b2b seasons of improvement , but I think the play here
    is Florida St , especially if line comes close to -10.5
    Im taking them regardless for at least a unit but will wait
    and hope for the perfect scenario of 1 of my 4 books
    to drop it down to possibly 10.5 then buy a half point for cheap

    i know it prolly wont reach -10.5but I’m waiting until I see a line change

    in the wrong direction


    Overall my other write up was better and this one is on iPad and sloppy
    but unless Fl St turns the ball over 3 times or more I see them winning by around
    14 to 17 points . Or at least surpassing the two touchdown lead
    and So Miss being the team on last drive or two trying to backdoor
    a cover against Fl St
    Yeah, really fukkin short there.

    Good luck though.

  7. #7
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Should of seen the other one when at computer being able to type
    I love u Daggles , u got wonderful t1ts and a penis that fits
    but bro ..... u either with me or against me

  8. #8
    tony_come
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    Did he pick a play yet?

  9. #9
    franklee168
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fidel_CashFlow View Post
    Should of seen the other one when at computer being able to type
    I love u Daggles , u got wonderful t1ts and a penis that fits
    but bro ..... u either with me or against me
    Fidel, what's the secret to winning trivia?

  10. #10
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Quote Originally Posted by franklee168 View Post
    Fidel, what's the secret to winning trivia?
    Make it to the 3 rd question each time
    Then quickly try to eliminate one of the four selections
    then just variance , eventually you will guess right
    or have a few you actually know
    key is making it to third each and every time imo
    being able to guess between 3 answers instead of 4 helps of course too

  11. #11
    A4K
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    Yeah, really fukkin short there.

    Good luck though.

  12. #12
    Husker36
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    Id say Fl St -6.5 1st half is the play

  13. #13
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Ok , -11.5

    -105 is the best it’s gonna get on my books

    GL Fl St backers , out of the trio ofmdefensive starters sitting
    id sure like that hard hitting safety to be playing
    man that dude crushes

  14. #14
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Crazy that’s called roughing the kicker
    here’s a free one for So Miss
    bad call

  15. #15
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo View Post
    Yeah, really fukkin short there.

    Good luck though.

  16. #16
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Didn’t add in the personal foul to start the game

    the 3 and out then flaky roughing the kicker to extend drive for a touchdown part

    and that is where I was lacking 4 sho

  17. #17
    KVB
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    Good Luck here CashFlow, not in this one.

    After last night I'm a bit gun shy for the early games. I may just watch the money flow.


  18. #18
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    RB falls down somdoesnt score easy touchdown
    then dropped wide open catch for TD

    all this makes the cover a million times harder

    both that run for TD and that drop were elementary

  19. #19
    Husker36
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    Quote Originally Posted by Husker36 View Post
    Id say Fl St -6.5 1st half is the play
    Winner winner!!

  20. #20
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Fidel...good post. Was thinking same thing.

    See this many times. If absence-list is long, people think it's a huge dis-advantage. Often, not a big deal b/c so many players are replaceable.
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  21. #21
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Thanks Chucky , one of the few guys who will always give props to those deserving

    As far as this match up , if you want a game recap , dont go to ESPN , just read post 1

  22. #22
    tony_come
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    You the man fidelest!!

    Next game

  23. #23
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Quote Originally Posted by tony_come View Post
    You the man fidelest!!

    Next game
    next game is prolly toughest game to cap so far
    Boston College absolutely butt pounded this very same Florida State
    squad by 30+ points early this year though

    Might sit out the next one , going to pick my butt and smell it
    then take a shower, then pick my butt and smell it .

    What im trying to say is I might play the game once i exit the bathroom



  24. #24
    OVAKUL
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    Good pick. As to the lost writeup - I HATE it when that happens!!!
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  25. #25
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Quote Originally Posted by OVAKUL View Post
    Good pick. As to the lost writeup - I HATE it when that happens!!!
    Thanks bro , dude I was so pissed
    I was at the regular computer on keyboard
    and it was well written ,had a few more points to it
    and then clicked over to check my sportsbooks to see line movement
    then come back and boom everything is empty, even the title field of the thread
    Not sure if that has happened before.

    And Franklee , i was being serious on my comment back to you on trivia
    Sounds stupid and might seem like I was being a smart ass but its true
    you have to give yourself that shot at question 3 every single time
    so that the variance comes into play , and plus sometimes you will knwo the answer
    like on Christmas , it was a simple 3rd question .
    And the whole taking off one answer improved chances by 25% in a flash
    I might take a couple 60 pointers though since my luck has been good lately idk

  26. #26
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Huh

    wtf am I missing here

    Remember what I said about injuries and inactive players

    and how the only importance is the significance of who the injuries/suspensions are to

    well Texas falls in the category of pretty big missing key players

    Texas has a better defense than Missouri ....


    but will be missing players important to that cause

    and will be playing a offense they must absolutely have full strength at defense

    and that’s a Missouri team that has tough receivers and running backs

    What Missouri isn’t good at is run defense but Texas has absolutely no running

    threats , and on top of all the defensive players missing will be missing

    a WR, Tight End and a Runningback in this bowl
    I think the spread should be more than -3 here

    I got -2.5 for -120 and will be taking the Missouri Tigers
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  27. #27
    OVAKUL
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    Would you say that defenses, injuries considered, are about equal?

    And Missouri O superior to Texas O?
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  28. #28
    Fidel_CashFlow
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    Unfortunately yes on defense

    but offense is far superior, those WR are a hassle for a defense at full strength

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