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  • Fidel_CashFlow
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-03-12
    • 53970

    #1
    Site just refreshed a huge write up
    I had on the FSU SM bowl game coming up and no way am I typing all that again


    in short I’ll say this

    go over the inactive players list on Florida St

    half the players have have been out for many games leading up to this one

    many of the remaining ones were not contributing whatsoever anyways

    The only 3 key guys are 3 defensive starters , this is true
    but Florida St most likely can get by with depth as the teams they
    face are in the ACC , the team they are facing today is a team that
    has gathered their record and stats in the Conference USA west standings

    Riddle me this , how many times do you think this Southern Miss
    team has went up against a offensive line that has 6 players
    that are 6’7 or taller, Florida St has two running backs that
    are averaging close to 6 yards combined each carry . and I checked
    the box scores, they are putting up 100 yard games a piece against
    legit teams in the ACC .

    Now Southern Miss has been decent at defense but this is against
    others team who lack the physicality like they themselves do
    they without a shadow of doubt are undersized, just look quickly
    on the roster chart, takes a minute at the most...and are succeptable
    pat giving up the big plays , especially as the game goes on
    The interim coach of Florida St is preaching pounding the
    rock at a insane clip . Take that for what you will but the FSU QB
    jersey should be pretty clean by the end of the game and that is key as well

    So let’s talk about the trio of FSU starters that aren’t playing
    would you rather have guys who are super hungry athletes to
    be playing or guys who have talent but are lethargic and would rather
    not be on the field durng snaps ..... take that as well for what you will

    Now , a 17 Point spread is down to 12 and still dropping
    so Im going to wait to see just how low it will go
    but what seems like a big spread and a completely riddled team
    might look a lot dif then what you envisioned entering the 4th quarter
    So Miss does have talent and from what I gathered has put up
    b2b seasons of improvement , but I think the play here
    is Florida St , especially if line comes close to -10.5
    Im taking them regardless for at least a unit but will wait
    and hope for the perfect scenario of 1 of my 4 books
    to drop it down to possibly 10.5 then buy a half point for cheap

    i know it prolly wont reach -10.5but I’m waiting until I see a line change

    in the wrong direction


    Overall my other write up was better and this one is on iPad and sloppy
    but unless Fl St turns the ball over 3 times or more I see them winning by around
    14 to 17 points . Or at least surpassing the two touchdown lead
    and So Miss being the team on last drive or two trying to backdoor
    a cover against Fl St
  • RudyRuetigger
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-24-10
    • 65086

    #2
    fidel whats your story bro
    Comment
    • Fidel_CashFlow
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-03-12
      • 53970

      #3
      Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
      fidel whats your story bro
      Down to 11.5

      thought i I made some solid insight above but maybe just jibberish
      Comment
      • tony_come
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-31-10
        • 21695

        #4
        So what's the play
        Comment
        • Fidel_CashFlow
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-03-12
          • 53970

          #5
          I’m also gauging the possibilities of line going in better direction
          or continuing to by watching the juice on the lines on all 4 books
          as it’s dropping . For instance one book has 11.5 at -105
          which leads me to believe they will fall to at least 11
          compared to another being 11.5 at -120 which shows me
          it prolly around best it will get on that book
          Comment
          • DiggityDaggityDo
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 11-30-08
            • 81454

            #6
            Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
            I had on the FSU SM bowl game coming up and no way am I typing all that again


            in short I’ll say this

            go over the inactive players list on Florida St

            half the players have have been out for many games leading up to this one

            many of the remaining ones were not contributing whatsoever anyways

            The only 3 key guys are 3 defensive starters , this is true
            but Florida St most likely can get by with depth as the teams they
            face are in the ACC , the team they are facing today is a team that
            has gathered their record and stats in the Conference USA west standings

            Riddle me this , how many times do you think this Southern Miss
            team has went up against a offensive line that has 6 players
            that are 6’7 or taller, Florida St has two running backs that
            are averaging close to 6 yards combined each carry . and I checked
            the box scores, they are putting up 100 yard games a piece against
            legit teams in the ACC .

            Now Southern Miss has been decent at defense but this is against
            others team who lack the physicality like they themselves do
            they without a shadow of doubt are undersized, just look quickly
            on the roster chart, takes a minute at the most...and are succeptable
            pat giving up the big plays , especially as the game goes on
            The interim coach of Florida St is preaching pounding the
            rock at a insane clip . Take that for what you will but the FSU QB
            jersey should be pretty clean by the end of the game and that is key as well

            So let’s talk about the trio of FSU starters that aren’t playing
            would you rather have guys who are super hungry athletes to
            be playing or guys who have talent but are lethargic and would rather
            not be on the field durng snaps ..... take that as well for what you will

            Now , a 17 Point spread is down to 12 and still dropping
            so Im going to wait to see just how low it will go
            but what seems like a big spread and a completely riddled team
            might look a lot dif then what you envisioned entering the 4th quarter
            So Miss does have talent and from what I gathered has put up
            b2b seasons of improvement , but I think the play here
            is Florida St , especially if line comes close to -10.5
            Im taking them regardless for at least a unit but will wait
            and hope for the perfect scenario of 1 of my 4 books
            to drop it down to possibly 10.5 then buy a half point for cheap

            i know it prolly wont reach -10.5but I’m waiting until I see a line change

            in the wrong direction


            Overall my other write up was better and this one is on iPad and sloppy
            but unless Fl St turns the ball over 3 times or more I see them winning by around
            14 to 17 points . Or at least surpassing the two touchdown lead
            and So Miss being the team on last drive or two trying to backdoor
            a cover against Fl St
            Yeah, really fukkin short there.

            Good luck though.
            Comment
            • Fidel_CashFlow
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-03-12
              • 53970

              #7
              Should of seen the other one when at computer being able to type
              I love u Daggles , u got wonderful t1ts and a penis that fits
              but bro ..... u either with me or against me
              Comment
              • tony_come
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-31-10
                • 21695

                #8
                Did he pick a play yet?
                Comment
                • franklee168
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 03-06-11
                  • 5544

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
                  Should of seen the other one when at computer being able to type
                  I love u Daggles , u got wonderful t1ts and a penis that fits
                  but bro ..... u either with me or against me
                  Fidel, what's the secret to winning trivia?
                  Comment
                  • Fidel_CashFlow
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-03-12
                    • 53970

                    #10
                    Originally posted by franklee168
                    Fidel, what's the secret to winning trivia?
                    Make it to the 3 rd question each time
                    Then quickly try to eliminate one of the four selections
                    then just variance , eventually you will guess right
                    or have a few you actually know
                    key is making it to third each and every time imo
                    being able to guess between 3 answers instead of 4 helps of course too
                    Comment
                    • A4K
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-08-12
                      • 5243

                      #11
                      Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                      Yeah, really fukkin short there.

                      Good luck though.
                      Comment
                      • Husker36
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-02-08
                        • 3846

                        #12
                        Id say Fl St -6.5 1st half is the play
                        Comment
                        • Fidel_CashFlow
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-03-12
                          • 53970

                          #13
                          Ok , -11.5

                          -105 is the best it’s gonna get on my books

                          GL Fl St backers , out of the trio ofmdefensive starters sitting
                          id sure like that hard hitting safety to be playing
                          man that dude crushes
                          Comment
                          • Fidel_CashFlow
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-03-12
                            • 53970

                            #14
                            Crazy that’s called roughing the kicker
                            here’s a free one for So Miss
                            bad call
                            Comment
                            • KVB
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-29-14
                              • 74817

                              #15
                              Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                              Yeah, really fukkin short there.

                              Good luck though.
                              Comment
                              • Fidel_CashFlow
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-03-12
                                • 53970

                                #16
                                Didn’t add in the personal foul to start the game

                                the 3 and out then flaky roughing the kicker to extend drive for a touchdown part

                                and that is where I was lacking 4 sho
                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74817

                                  #17
                                  Good Luck here CashFlow, not in this one.

                                  After last night I'm a bit gun shy for the early games. I may just watch the money flow.

                                  Comment
                                  • Fidel_CashFlow
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-03-12
                                    • 53970

                                    #18
                                    RB falls down somdoesnt score easy touchdown
                                    then dropped wide open catch for TD

                                    all this makes the cover a million times harder

                                    both that run for TD and that drop were elementary
                                    Comment
                                    • Husker36
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-02-08
                                      • 3846

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Husker36
                                      Id say Fl St -6.5 1st half is the play
                                      Winner winner!!
                                      Comment
                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 04-04-11
                                        • 36803

                                        #20
                                        Fidel...good post. Was thinking same thing.

                                        See this many times. If absence-list is long, people think it's a huge dis-advantage. Often, not a big deal b/c so many players are replaceable.
                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                        Comment
                                        • Fidel_CashFlow
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-03-12
                                          • 53970

                                          #21
                                          Thanks Chucky , one of the few guys who will always give props to those deserving

                                          As far as this match up , if you want a game recap , dont go to ESPN , just read post 1
                                          Comment
                                          • tony_come
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-31-10
                                            • 21695

                                            #22
                                            You the man fidelest!!

                                            Next game
                                            Comment
                                            • Fidel_CashFlow
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-03-12
                                              • 53970

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by tony_come
                                              You the man fidelest!!

                                              Next game
                                              next game is prolly toughest game to cap so far
                                              Boston College absolutely butt pounded this very same Florida State
                                              squad by 30+ points early this year though

                                              Might sit out the next one , going to pick my butt and smell it
                                              then take a shower, then pick my butt and smell it .

                                              What im trying to say is I might play the game once i exit the bathroom


                                              Comment
                                              • OVAKUL
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-16-17
                                                • 1537

                                                #24
                                                Good pick. As to the lost writeup - I HATE it when that happens!!!
                                                Comment
                                                • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-03-12
                                                  • 53970

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by OVAKUL
                                                  Good pick. As to the lost writeup - I HATE it when that happens!!!
                                                  Thanks bro , dude I was so pissed
                                                  I was at the regular computer on keyboard
                                                  and it was well written ,had a few more points to it
                                                  and then clicked over to check my sportsbooks to see line movement
                                                  then come back and boom everything is empty, even the title field of the thread
                                                  Not sure if that has happened before.

                                                  And Franklee , i was being serious on my comment back to you on trivia
                                                  Sounds stupid and might seem like I was being a smart ass but its true
                                                  you have to give yourself that shot at question 3 every single time
                                                  so that the variance comes into play , and plus sometimes you will knwo the answer
                                                  like on Christmas , it was a simple 3rd question .
                                                  And the whole taking off one answer improved chances by 25% in a flash
                                                  I might take a couple 60 pointers though since my luck has been good lately idk
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-03-12
                                                    • 53970

                                                    #26
                                                    Huh

                                                    wtf am I missing here

                                                    Remember what I said about injuries and inactive players

                                                    and how the only importance is the significance of who the injuries/suspensions are to

                                                    well Texas falls in the category of pretty big missing key players

                                                    Texas has a better defense than Missouri ....


                                                    but will be missing players important to that cause

                                                    and will be playing a offense they must absolutely have full strength at defense

                                                    and that’s a Missouri team that has tough receivers and running backs

                                                    What Missouri isn’t good at is run defense but Texas has absolutely no running

                                                    threats , and on top of all the defensive players missing will be missing

                                                    a WR, Tight End and a Runningback in this bowl
                                                    I think the spread should be more than -3 here

                                                    I got -2.5 for -120 and will be taking the Missouri Tigers
                                                    Comment
                                                    • OVAKUL
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-16-17
                                                      • 1537

                                                      #27
                                                      Would you say that defenses, injuries considered, are about equal?

                                                      And Missouri O superior to Texas O?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-03-12
                                                        • 53970

                                                        #28
                                                        Unfortunately yes on defense

                                                        but offense is far superior, those WR are a hassle for a defense at full strength
                                                        Comment
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