Originally Posted by
HeeluvaGuy
10/1:
1:00 Buffalo +19 -108
In a game that probably ranks somewhere right around dead last in anyone’s “Must See” list, I think there is some value on the Buffalo Bulls getting 19 points against Boston College in Chestnut Hill. The Bulls are coming off of a SU win against Army where they were a 13-point underdog. After trailing by 10 at the half, the Bulls rallied with 2 TDs in the last 9 minutes of the game to tie it up and win in OT. One of the keys to that win was RS Freshman QB Tyree Jackson’s ability to run the ball when necessary. This kid is a load at 6’7”, 245 lbs. Jackson’s ability to extend plays and get an extra yard or two could come in handy against the stout BC rush defense. (Another Bull to watch for is CB Boise Ross, who is on the Thorpe watchlist.) Offensively, neither of these teams is very good, but BC is worse than the stats indicate. The Eagles are averaging 20.5 ppg, however, that number is inflated by a 42 point outburst against FCS Wagner last weekend (in a game BC failed to cover at home). BC’s rushing stats are also inflated because of the Wagner game, which is significant because Buffalo looks bad on paper against the run. (Buffalo’s rush stats are also a product of the Bulls having faced Army and Nevada.) Neither of these teams has shown much big play potential, and both play a pretty deliberate pace (66 plays per game for Buffalo, 62.5 for BC). Yes, BC’s defense is very good, but the Eagles are surrendering 20.7 ppg, and their defensive YPPT is 11.1 (#114). A FG or a TD by Buffalo should be enough to cover this number on a day that is forecast to be wet (and BC has Clemson coming in on Friday). My line for this is 7. Others say: ML 16, PW 10, PP 14, PS 14, Steele 15, GS 24, Massey 17.