Originally Posted by
RPK2004
I like FAU -17. S. Miss turns the ball over at an alarming rate and FAU needs to win their last three games to become bowl eligible, which they will be favored in all three, starting with this one. This will actually be the largest number FAU has had to cover in 5 years (not counting last years season opener vs. Wagner , so that is scary, but S Miss is just a fade machine right now. FAU was not distracted by the Pelini firing Vs. Tulane, and now off a bye, should get the job done.
I took Houston +17 just for the fact that I was expecting this to come out around 13 and this is a ton of points to a Houston team that gets better each week and has only lost 1 game ATS. O'Korn at QB gets better every week and even if L'Ville is up big in the 4th, Houston has quick strike capability and backdoor potential. They are on the second of back-to-back road games and had a tough loss to UCF. Greenberry at WR is an underrated true Fresh and even though Louisville is clearly the more talented team, UH also leads the nation in turnover margin, which has obviously helped their ATS record. I see a high scoring game that Houston came stay within this line.
I don't bet on KU and would actually never put my money down on this years team. They are actually not as bad as some of the scores of their games, but if I was going to bet it, I would take WV. Something about the line is making me feel like this might be a close one though.
Colorado St. not a good road favorite at all, which is why I think has a little to do with the line being suspiciously low, not to mention the Rams haven't seen the triple option all year. It is NM's home finale, this will be their last winnable game, but Colo St has owned this series in recent years. I actually liked New Mexico when first looking over this game, but I was expecting the line to be closer to 10 or 11. When it came out at 5, I took it there, but am hoping it rises closer to 10 and I might try to take New Mex and middle it. I don't trust Colo St as a road favorite and last weeks win at Nevada is misleading as they were in a battle up to mid 4th quarter where they had 2 straight def Int ret TD's to break it open. More on the line for Colorado St here though and I think they'll win.