I certainly understand what you're trying to accomplish here, but how do you figure you break even? Cincy is -130 ML right now at 5dimes. If Memphis wins outright you lose the juice on the -130. If Cincy wins by 4 or more, you lose the juice on the Memphis + 3. I realize this may not be a huge significant amount for the possibility of winning both bets, or at least pushing Memphis + 3, but you definitely can lose money.