Originally Posted by
Night-Tripper
You oughta know by now that I see every thread... but I only get interested enough to jump in on a few of them.
Anyway, I was going to pass on the Tech/WVU game, but after doing a little research before giving you my reply, I may have to reconsider. Historically, I've generally only played my alma mater when they were not only a dog, but a dog that was going against an opponent where they weren't given an ice cubes chance of making it through hell. Now, I don't think that Tech is worthy of a large play against WVU, but they are worth a look.
Until I saw this thread, I hadn't even taken a look at this game because not only is Tech a road favorite, but they've also got Oklahoma on tap next week. However, over the past six years, Tech is 3-2 both SU/ATS the week before they play the Sooners (1-0 against an unranked opponent). Over the same time period, the Red Raiders are 22-17 as a favorite and 8-2 as a road favorite. Tech is also 8-4 over the last six years when favored by 7 or less both SU and ATS. So, thanks to your post, I now know that if you're going to bet the game it boils down to this, who do you think will win the game? Past data indicates that Tech will either win and cover, or lose outright.
I am going to wait to see if the line will go down to 5.5 again (missed it earlier this week) or lower and play Tech, because I don't think the Red Raiders are as good as their record indicates... and I can see them losing out after this weekend... so they need to beat the Mountaineers, who I consider to be their last beatable opponent.
I hope this helps you...