[gojetsgomoxies]

thought i'd post this again. it ran a little under 45% week 1 when alot of ratings are based on last year. FIU and LT were big losers and near the top. FIU was playing maryland that had a LB at QB for part of last year.

anyway here are the top 13 picks for week 3. all games off by more than 3 points, based on fairly recent spreads.

the last column is points of value. the mispricing has lessened as now power ratings are based mostly on 2013 games played.

take Kent road vs LSU	8.33
take Bowling Green road vs Indiana	6.93
take Louisiana Tech home vs Tulane	6.88
take Central Mich. road vs UNLV	6.39
take Ohio home vs Marshall	5.96
take Texas Tech home vs TCU	5.85
take Nevada road vs Florida St.	5.61
take Rice home vs Kansas	5.31
take Iowa St. home vs Iowa	4.77
take Texas A&M home vs Alabama	4.25
take Washington road vs Illinois	4.22
take Eastern Mich. road vs Rutgers	3.29
take UCLA road vs Nebraska	3.2

i like nevada, CM and kent state myself

[gojetsgomoxies]

i see it tracks opening line and updated line as ATS picks. any idea how it does that? i suppose if pittsburgh opens +12 and goes to +10, then you'd play pittsburgh's opponent. if it opens +12 and moves to +14 you'd play pittsburgh. that's for opening line. not sure about updated line.

[gojetsgomoxies]

take Kent road vs LSU	8.33
take Bowling Green road vs Indiana	6.93
take Louisiana Tech home vs Tulane	6.88
take Central Mich. road vs UNLV	6.39
take Ohio home vs Marshall	5.96
take Texas Tech home vs TCU	5.85
take Nevada road vs Florida St.	5.61
take Rice home vs Kansas	5.31
take Iowa St. home vs Iowa	4.77
take Texas A&M home vs Alabama	4.25
take Washington road vs Illinois	4.22
take Eastern Mich. road vs Rutgers	3.29
take UCLA road vs Nebraska	3.2

kent W
bg L
CM L
OHIO W
TT W
Nevada L
rice W
iowa state L
TAM W
Wash W
EM W
UCLA W

did these off top of head, so could be slightly wrong.. 8-4 ATS but the winners are nearer the bottom of top value

did quick glance road vs. home, udog vs. fave... no real pattern.

EDIT: Lt a loss too. so 8-5 ATS