[TPowell]

Is laying 2 to 1 for UL to win the AAC too much to you guys? I just can't see Louisville losing over 1 game in conference

[Earlwolf]

I could see a team like UCF coming in and surprising UL. As good as UL is, there is always a unknown when playing new teams.

that being said, I think UL winning the AAC is pretty safe pick, even if they drop one, who else is going to have a better conference record?

[TPowell]

only possible scenario is Cincy winning it IMO by beating UL in the last game of the year to tie and win with the heads up win over UL

[SamDiamond]

I'm not buying Louisville as the run away here.

Ask yourself this-- Did you think they would lose back-to-back to Syracuse and Connecticut last year?

Aside from those 2 losses, they had a 2 point win over a horrible USF team, they beat Rutgers by 3, and Cincy by 3.

The worst game though was the 4 point win over 0-12 Southern Miss.

Too much of Louisville's hype is based on that win over Florida, instead of the body of work for the entire 2012 season.

If you are using the angle that Louisville is better this just year just because they are more experienced, then you have to say the same for the teams that beat Louisville, and those that played them tight.

I think they are going to have their hands full with Ohio. Ohio has an experienced, very athletic QB who went on the road and beat Penn State last year.

Ohio was rolling until they decimated by injuries.

[EzekielMowatt]

Their offensive line is nothing special. He's going to be running for his life vs teams like South Florida.

[BigdaddyQH]

Most in here do not realize just how terrible the AAC really is. South Florida? The team without an offense? The problem in here is that so many people are so afraid that Louisville will go to the NC game if they run the table that they will look for any excuse to hope that Lousiville loses a game.

[jds07v]

Its too much since its -140 at 5dimes...

[EzekielMowatt]

If you really like just ML open parlay each game, can hedge vs Cincy if you want to bail. Will get way way way better then -140 this way.

[TPowell]

If you really like just ML open parlay each game, can hedge vs Cincy if you want to bail. Will get way way way better then -140 this way.

but they can probably lose a game and still win the conference

[EzekielMowatt]

Yes, true . Cincy will lose at least one of three road games vs USF, Houston, RU

[Mac4Lyfe]

Yeah but even if they lose a game you should still come out better betting each game. Just depends on when they lose. If you think the last game versus Cinci is probably then don't add it. Now if they blow the bit against another team then they most likely won't win the division anyway. You're banking on them winning a bunch of games thus the parlay should be the better bet.

but they can probably lose a game and still win the conference