1. 12-27-12 12:52 AM #1
    lonegambler
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    San jose st. - bowling green

    If the weather turns out ok, san jose st. hammers bowling green....
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  2. 12-27-12 01:17 AM #2
    Cuse0323
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    I think SJSU blows em out as well.
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  3. 12-27-12 04:15 AM #3
    KANSAS24
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  4. 12-27-12 06:46 AM #4
    the_orangekat
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    One place has 88% on SJ ST. We all know what happens when the public hammers a heavy fav. Just ask BYU and W. Kentucky. With these unpredictable Bowl games, give me BG and 7 all day. Since it's -105 at my place, maybe buy to +7.5 for either -11 or -120.

    Top 15 offense vs. a Top 15 defense, strength vs. strength, who knows.
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  5. 12-27-12 06:48 AM #5
    Bigh2001
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    Western Kentucky and Fresno State ring a bell?
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  6. 12-27-12 08:13 AM #6
    pdx107
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    I took SJSU, and the over, having seen BG this year, they just arent that good
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  7. 12-27-12 08:17 AM #7
    jinxpro13
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    man the way these last couple bowls have been playing out, another MAC team, early isolated game, public hammering the better offensive team who travelled further to DC from the west coast.. its BG all day for me.
    gl to all
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  8. 12-27-12 09:03 AM #8
    meader99
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    Taking BG +7.5/over 44. Fade away boys, fade away.
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  9. 12-27-12 09:05 AM #9
    BigD
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    I going under 44 BG has a good D, up to 50mph winds I can see a game like SJS played against Navy that was 12-0
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  10. 12-27-12 09:40 AM #10
    HoulihansTX
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    Game time forecast
    Partly cloudy at 40°F (4°C) and 57% humidity. Wind from the West Northwest and strong at 22 mph (35 km/h) gusting to 46 mph (46 km/h). (5% chance of precipitation.)
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  11. 12-27-12 09:44 AM #11
    coitus_maximus
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    Could be the case, but IMO, CMU and Western Ky was a toss up play anyways. You stop one player on Wky, you stop Wky. With Fresno, they had no motivation to be there at all. They wished they were in a better bowl and against Jun Jones who coached Hawaii. I think SJSU wants to be there, the only thing I would worry about in this one is if the coaching is worth anything since the DC is taking over.
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  12. 12-27-12 10:02 AM #12
    Phillth
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    I'm in the dc area. It's super windy today. 30mph gusts. Not a good day to throw an accurate pass.
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  13. 12-27-12 10:23 AM #13
    Pickem2win
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    I teased San Jose down to -.05 and teased Cincinatti down to -2.5. I dont see this game being a blowout. Pretty good chance the under hits too. Its dropped over 3 points in the last couple days.
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  14. 12-27-12 10:27 AM #14
    Believeland
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    Wind will hopefully calm down and be at the backs of the teams in different quarters... I took SJSU-7.5 and regretting it now with the wind. I'm relying on Fales passing ability and Schilz inability to throw a 5 yard out. Looks like wind evens out the matchup tho
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  15. 12-27-12 10:49 AM #15
    thfootball
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    coaching changes sure are making an affect it seems like. SJ???
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  16. 12-27-12 10:53 AM #16
    isotopes
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    The RLM in pretty much every bowl game has hit. The bowl game spreads and O/U are posted about a month in advance, follow the pros on these crummy bowls they really dig into this stuff.

    Yesterday close to 80% on the over line moved three points lower the RLM screamed bet the under and it hit.

    Today the RLM is on the under and BG. Nice tease opportunity, but I am following the RLM its been golden so far this bowl season, might change with the bigger games, but the crummy games it is hard to ignore.
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  17. 12-27-12 11:36 AM #17
    iceman8847
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pickem2win View Post
    I teased San Jose down to -.05 and teased Cincinatti down to -2.5. I dont see this game being a blowout. Pretty good chance the under hits too. Its dropped over 3 points in the last couple days.
    Why would you tease these teams just put them in Moneyline Parlay Pays .75 130 / 100 This takes the points out of it. Just a thought
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  18. 12-27-12 11:48 AM #18
    PaperTrail07
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    SDSU -7 for me
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  19. 12-27-12 01:00 PM #19
    hoopdreams
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    I got bowling Green at +8.
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  20. 12-27-12 01:36 PM #20
    Hardspun
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    Local has 8- I still like San Jose St.
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  21. 12-27-12 01:40 PM #21
    Rose'
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    So all dogs gonna cover this bowl season?
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  22. 12-27-12 01:40 PM #22
    RG3ING
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    Fading BG here!! also small play on the under! Got SJ this morning at -6.5 my book has it up a full point to -7.5. Glad i locked in early looks like this is the side to be on windy or not! small play on the under to! There might be RLM in the over/under but there is no RLM in the spread!!!
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  23. 12-27-12 01:41 PM #23
    sportsguy04
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    Bowling greens defensive numbers are skewed! They played the worst Mac schedule.
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  24. 12-27-12 01:42 PM #24
    RG3ING
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    Quote Originally Posted by isotopes View Post
    The RLM in pretty much every bowl game has hit. The bowl game spreads and O/U are posted about a month in advance, follow the pros on these crummy bowls they really dig into this stuff.

    Yesterday close to 80% on the over line moved three points lower the RLM screamed bet the under and it hit.

    Today the RLM is on the under and BG. Nice tease opportunity, but I am following the RLM its been golden so far this bowl season, might change with the bigger games, but the crummy games it is hard to ignore.
    Like your RLM angle I have big success using that as 1 of my factors finding an edge but i am not seeing any RLM spread wise for this game actually i got SJ at -6.5 at -110 this morning before work started(5:30 am) 8 hours later my book has them at -7.5 at -115 indicating it should be going to -8 soon!
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  25. 12-27-12 01:43 PM #25
    RG3ING
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    Quote Originally Posted by sportsguy04 View Post
    Bowling greens defensive numbers are skewed! They played the worst Mac schedule.
    Whats ur lean on bearcats game
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  26. 12-27-12 01:46 PM #26
    sportsguy04
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    Quote Originally Posted by RG3ING View Post
    Whats ur lean on bearcats game
    Tough call. Haven't seen duke play this year but based on what I've seen and read, their defense is atrocious. Bearcats could put up a 40-50 spot on them. Ill probably play bearcats anything under - 9.5 just as a action small play.
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  27. 12-27-12 01:51 PM #27
    RG3ING
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    Quote Originally Posted by sportsguy04 View Post
    Tough call. Haven't seen duke play this year but based on what I've seen and read, their defense is atrocious. Bearcats could put up a 40-50 spot on them. Ill probably play bearcats anything under - 9.5 just as a action small play.
    I hear you Duke Defense is suspect at best prolly side with you for small wager! I realy like Baylor tonight it could be the trap of all traps!!
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  28. 12-27-12 01:53 PM #28
    sportsguy04
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    Quote Originally Posted by RG3ING View Post
    I hear you Duke Defense is suspect at best prolly side with you for small wager! I realy like Baylor tonight it could be the trap of all traps!!
    Plus duke has been shittt passed 5 games.
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  29. 12-27-12 02:28 PM #29
    PaperTrail07
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    Duke's offense will suprise people but the play is still Cincy.....would love to see the #'s bet on this
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  30. 12-27-12 02:50 PM #30
    jinxpro13
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    Quote Originally Posted by RG3ING View Post
    Like your RLM angle I have big success using that as 1 of my factors finding an edge but i am not seeing any RLM spread wise for this game actually i got SJ at -6.5 at -110 this morning before work started(5:30 am) 8 hours later my book has them at -7.5 at -115 indicating it should be going to -8 soon!
    if it dipped under 7 at any point for you, that was massive RLM and your book was begging for san jose money.
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  31. 12-27-12 02:52 PM #31
    Cuse0323
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    A coach leaving screws up the game again, never again will I back a team with an interim coach.
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  32. 12-27-12 03:25 PM #32
    RG3ING
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    Quote Originally Posted by jinxpro13 View Post
    if it dipped under 7 at any point for you, that was massive RLM and your book was begging for san jose money.
    The Line never dipped it opened at 6.5 closed at 7.5 i run an RLM thread an documented picks i know what the hell RLM is bro!
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  33. 12-27-12 03:48 PM #33
    PaperTrail07
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    go sharks!
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  34. 12-27-12 04:01 PM #34
    jinxpro13
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    Quote Originally Posted by RG3ING View Post
    The Line never dipped it opened at 6.5 closed at 7.5 i run an RLM thread an documented picks i know what the hell RLM is bro!
    thought the line opened at -7.5.. http://www.thespread.com/ncaa-colleg...t#.UNzE-4njnXE

    & it was at 7 everywhere yesterday before i went to bed.


    if you looked at the betting trends, there was slight rlm with this game on the side and huge rlm on the total.
    Last edited by jinxpro13; 12-27-12 at 04:05 PM.
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  35. 12-27-12 04:17 PM #35
    isotopes
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    Vegasinsider had this as SJSU opening at -8.5 with about 70% of bets on SJSU and it went to -7. If it opened at -7.5 and went to -7 I wouldn't really consider that enough movement to see an RLM trend. However, RLM has been killing it in the bowls and lately in the NFL.
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