Nevada +9.5
When Zona beat USC, I thought they were the real deal. Then I bet on the Colorado Buffalo's TT under & realized that Zona had a horrible defense. This was of course after I watched the Bruins run them up for 66 the week before.
The allowed Utah to score 21 or 24 & the let Arizona State Sun Devils score 41.
Nevada scored 30+ points vs:
Cal, South Florida, SD ST. Fresno St. & Air Force.
Nevada score 60+ points vs:
Hawaii
I think Nevada score well more than their projected TT. Arizona was 1-3 (away) ATS this year. 2-7 (away) ATS in their last nine.
Wolf Pack are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
Toledo +10
Toledo covered every game as a dog this season. They did this vs Cinci & N. Illinois & W. Michigan & Wyoming & Arizona.
The bet in this game is the OVER 57.5
I think there will be a combined 450-480 passing yards & bot these teams average nearly 300 rushing yards per game, each.
BYU -2.5
BYU almost ended The Irish's undefeated streak. They also shut out Hawaii when I bet them. I bet SD ST one night vs. Hawaii & they covered but SD ST allowed Hawaii 2 TDs.
SD ST allows nearly 37 points scored against them per game. The gave up 41 points to North Dakota & 38 to Nevada.
The big play for me in this game is the OVER 48.5
The let Fresno st. score 50+ on them.
Central Florida -7
I liked C. Fla in this game but have been doubting this pick & realizing I wasn't giving Ball St enough credit.
5 convincing wins in a row. 6wins in a row over all.
I guess I really don't know who I like in this game.
Washinton +5
Besides Rutgers & Michigan St. This is the lowest Over/Under posted for the month.
The BCS Game is 41 but NO one knows what to do with that! I don't really like either side in this one.
Maybe moneyline on Boise but there is no value there. So Washington moneyline would be a small play for me.
Fresno St. +14 (-125)
Fresno St. only lost by more than 2 TD's once this year & it was to the Ducks.
The BUlldogs may not play in the best conference but, you have to respect what they are doing in the last two months. They are an incredible 11-1 ATS.
Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 bowl games.
Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 neutral site games.
I like the over 59 but, I really like Fresno St. with the points.
Central Michigan +5.5