1. #1
    Jayvegas420
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    Jayvegas420's Bowl Games

    Nevada +9.5
    When Zona beat USC, I thought they were the real deal. Then I bet on the Colorado Buffalo's TT under & realized that Zona had a horrible defense. This was of course after I watched the Bruins run them up for 66 the week before.
    The allowed Utah to score 21 or 24 & the let Arizona State Sun Devils score 41.

    Nevada scored 30+ points vs:
    Cal, South Florida, SD ST.
    Fresno St. & Air Force.

    Nevada score 60+ points vs:
    Hawaii


    I think Nevada score well more than their projected TT. Arizona was 1-3 (away) ATS this year. 2-7 (away) ATS in their last nine.
    Wolf Pack are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in December.

    Toledo +10

    Toledo covered every game as a dog this season. They did this vs Cinci & N. Illinois & W. Michigan & Wyoming & Arizona.
    The bet in this game is the OVER 57.5
    I think there will be a combined 450-480 passing yards & bot these teams average nearly 300 rushing yards per game, each.


    BYU -2.5
    BYU almost ended The Irish's undefeated streak. They also shut out Hawaii when I bet them. I bet SD ST one night vs. Hawaii & they covered but SD ST allowed Hawaii 2 TDs.
    SD ST allows nearly 37 points scored against them per game. The gave up 41 points to North Dakota & 38 to Nevada.
    The big play for me in this game is the OVER 48.5
    The let Fresno st. score 50+ on them.

    Central Florida -7
    I liked C. Fla in this game but have been doubting this pick & realizing I wasn't giving Ball St enough credit.
    5 convincing wins in a row. 6wins in a row over all.
    I guess I really don't know who I like in this game.

    Washinton +5
    Besides Rutgers & Michigan St. This is the lowest Over/Under posted for the month.
    The BCS Game is 41 but NO one knows what to do with that! I don't really like either side in this one.
    Maybe moneyline on Boise but there is no value there. So Washington moneyline would be a small play for me.


    Fresno St. +14 (-125)
    Fresno St. only lost by more than 2 TD's once this year & it was to the Ducks.
    The BUlldogs may not play in the best conference but, you have to respect what they are doing in the last two months. They are an incredible 11-1 ATS.
    Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 bowl games.
    Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 neutral site games.
    I like the over 59 but, I really like Fresno St. with the points.

    Central Michigan +5.5

  2. #2
    rainmaker82
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    Fresno is - not +, and it's down to 12.5. If they we're + against SMU I would unload my whole roll on it.

  3. #3
    Killer_Demo
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    hell no fresno is not the underdog read it again

  4. #4
    70CoupeDeVille
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    Neither Toledo nor Utah State averages 300 yds rushing. Averages are 197 and 192, respectively. San Diego St doesn't allow an avg of 37 ppg. Avg is 24.5. How's that Fres bet working out for ya?

  5. #5
    Mike Huntertz
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    Like Wolfpack......with a total of 75.......anybodys game.
    GL

  6. #6
    Jayvegas420
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    Yeah, I might have misread the stats in that Toledo game. I read the "L AVG".
    vs. L Avg compares the team offense or defense against the league average assuming it is a base level of 100%
    And I think I counted 47 points that Fresno St. scored against Navy against them instead of for the, I don't know where to go to get all the stats I need so, sometimes I do the math myself.
    Now that I see that Fresno St. is the favourite not a +14 point dog. I don't know that I like them to cover 13.5
    I don't really trust that SMU can avoid being blown out here either.
    Misread stats aside, I still stand by that over as one of my strongest picks in the Pre-Christmas Bowls.

  7. #7
    Jayvegas420
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    my pick for largest margin of victory is WVU over Syracuse by 43+ (+4000)
    My book has the most likely team to win by 43+ OK St. (+800)
    I think these other teams have a chance to win by 43+
    FSU (+2000)
    Georgia (+2000)
    USC (+2000)
    Texas Tech (+2000)

  8. #8
    Jayvegas420
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    B.Y.U & the over could put me in the black tonight.
    Also improve me to a winning record!

  9. #9
    Jayvegas420
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    They could have given Fresno St. 30 points & it wouldn't have helped
    Hope no one bet their roll on it!

    Duke +7.5
    I simply think Duke is due to cover as a dog.
    They have not been able the projected lines in their last 4 tries. They covered -10.5 vs. Tar Heels, covered -21.5 vs. Memphis and covered 35.5 vs. N.C. Central. The public seems to be all over Duke & I believe they may be right.
    VT -1 (-140)
    With the exception of the Hurricanes game this is the smallest spread VT has been asked to cover. I thought the line would open at 9.5 so, I jumped all over this early. Rutgers has lost three of their last 5. All these losses were to other Bowl Teams. Completely different teams butm Rutgers hasn't beat the Hokies since I was in High School!

    Cyclones -1
    Iowa St. played an incredible game vs. WVU and nearly won. When they beat Baylor I jumped this bandwagon. When they beat the J-Hawks I was convinced!

    Nebraska/Georgia over 59.5

    This is my lock of the week. You're Welcome!



    Any thoughts on my chances of winning this bet?!

    Selections
    No. Selections Event Event Date E/W Terms Odds Result
    1 MIN Vikings MIN Vikings @ STL Rams
    (Money Line)
    12/16/2012 None +125 Won
    2 WAS Redskins WAS Redskins @ CLE Browns
    (Money Line)
    12/16/2012 None -115 Won
    3 Syracuse -19.5 Canisius @ Syracuse
    (Point Spread)
    12/15/2012 None -162 Won
    4 Under 49.0 BYU vs San Diego State
    (Game Totals)
    12/20/2012 None -110 Won
    5 BYU -1.0 BYU vs San Diego State
    (Point Spread)
    12/20/2012 None -145 Won
    6 Under 73.5 West Virginia vs Syracuse
    (Game Totals)
    12/29/2012 None -110 To Run
    7 Duke +3.5 Cincinnati vs Duke
    (Point Spread)
    12/27/2012 None +135 To Run
    8 West Virginia -7.0 West Virginia vs Syracuse
    (Point Spread)
    12/29/2012 None +125 To Run
    9 South Carolina to win by 43+ points Michigan vs South Carolina
    (Winning Margins)
    01/01/2013 None +4000 To Run
    Parlays
    Wager Type No of Bets Unit Risk Risk To Return Returns
    8 Play Parlays 9 0.52 4.68 19,512.09

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