This is MY year!
3* Nevada + 8.5
MWC is much stronger than advertised, Pac 12 is much weaker. AZ undersized and banged up on "D". Getting 8.5 with a great running game always a good wager. Cold + altitude helps Nevada vs. sun boys from AZ.
4* Utah State - 10.5
WAC is superior to MAC. This is WAC champ vs # 3-5 team in MAC. Toledo QB and RB banged up. Utah State has strong "D", Toledo "D" is terrible (# 107) even against inferior MAC competition. Toledo has to travel to hostile NW site, Utah St. will have more familiarity, been there before, and more fans. Utah St. lost heartbreaker, same bowl, last yr, wants to make amends. Also going for win and defend their Top 25 national rankings. Blowout.
(Ratings 1*-5*, one 6* GOY later)