I've looked at this matchup for three hours now. Here's what I've concluded:
-Keith Wenning will throw for more than 315 yards for Ball State
-David Fluellen will rush for more than 200 yards for Toledo
-Ball State will control time of possession
-Toledo will get great special teams play and get at least 1 INT
-Combination of Scott/Edwards will rush for more than 150 yards for Ball State
-Toledo's defense will be wore down in the 4th Qtr by Ball State's balance
-The backdoor cover WILL be in play in this game for Ball State, if they don't keep it close.
Final Score:
Ball State 31
Toledo 35
Ball State is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games and 4-1 ATS on the road this year.
BALL STATE +6.5