[mgt_3]

Looking for some feedback. Thank in advance

[frogsrangers]

Tail my college picks and you won't be let down

[Wilfred]

Everyone thinks they are for Football

[MoneyLineDawg]

NCAAF I crush......Only sport I run shit in, can hold my own in NFL and NCAAB

MLB ehhh don't even bet much and NBA buries me

Frogs has impressed me already with his NCAAF writeups as well

[MoneyLineDawg]

90% of my picks last year......Check the log too, no bullshit here

[frogsrangers]

You think my football writeups are good wait until college hoops season

You guys will make more money during the Great Alaska Shootout and the other season opening tourneys than you will during the entire year

[frogsrangers]

MLDawg I am impressed with your picks, I imagine we are both on Gamecocks -6.5 on Thursday I think that's one of the easiest week 1 games

[MoneyLineDawg]

MLDawg I am impressed with your picks, I imagine we are both on Gamecocks -6.5 on Thursday I think that's one of the easiest week 1 games

Thanks, pal....Just a standard play for me because I really do like it as a bettor......As a fan though it scares me a little, naturally

I do think Vandy will be solid this year but the Gamecocks could roll here

[Balco10]

BOL on the CF season.

[jjgold]

no such thing as the best at anything with gambling

guys come and go

win and lose

[Smoke]

breaking even in gambling is winning

most wont even make it that far

[agendaman]

exactly jj

[BIGDAY]

Not me. I suk

[mrjenkins462]

Tail my college picks and you won't be let down

I will tail your picks and hope you do well. The points are for your avatar though...nice!

[ebbearsfb1]

Your your own best capper, past results don't guarantee future success

[mrjenkins462]

MLDawg I am impressed with your picks, I imagine we are both on Gamecocks -6.5 on Thursday I think that's one of the easiest week 1 games

How about the UNDER in the South Carolina game? Can Vandy score more than 10 on that SC defense?

[mrjenkins462]

I mentioned this in another thread on Service Plays, but since we're on the topic...... 60 Percent Guaranteed is supposed to be really good (consistently between 65-75%).

I just checked their website and prices are very reasonable. I don't really bet enough to use a service, but for those interested you might want to consider this one.

http://www.60percentguaranteed.com/

[PAULYPOKER]

MY bowl season plays to date>

[Boner_18]

Zzzzbooooooooooooiiiiiiizzzzzzzzzzzzzz!! !!!!!!!!

[mgt_3]

Tail my college picks and you won't be let down

Will be sure to follow...thx

[mgt_3]

90% of my picks last year......Check the log too, no bullshit here

Koo...I'll be following hopefully u can follow it up with a good year this season. Thx

[BigDeem5]

Take the opposite of my picks, it is called a 'fade'.

For example, if I'm on Vandy +7, take SC -7. Profittable.

[Urbanwildlife]

That strategy is what you use against the picks of PaulyPoker.

[oldschool02]

slight over 50-50 in rs, at beast mode during the playoffs. didnt take care bout college football.

[tobydicesare]

Become the expert yourself.....One week of studying 8 hours/day...will leave you with more knowledge than 90% of the people out there...but improving from there....would require a full-time investment....just my opinion

[venture]

Last year 78-54, 59.1% +32.13x

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/college-fo...thread-p2.html

[diveoregon]

You'll always find people on this side, and others on that side.

Some get offended by the banter, but that is all that is valuable here.

Read the write-ups, take in the stats, compare it against your research, and make your best educated guess!

[McBa1n]

As far as NFL cappers go - they ALL lose badly. LT Profits is solid - not great, as we disagree a ton - but solid.
For college - Pags was the BEST, too bad he got chased off. Not only a solid capper - a solid guy. You won, over the season, with him, IMO, it wasn't for the WTF morons that pollute these boards that chased him off.

No reason why, no idea if he still posts, but Pavyracer was a good 'impulse' betting person. Again - don't follow who or who doesn't post.

Just saying, the NFL side is INCREDIBLY weak on these forums. I can pick off of my hand the nice cappers in the sport (Darkhorse is another).

The NFL is impossible for the average punter. But I figure, if you're not doing your homework on the NFL, of course you're getting abused.
The NFL is ALL i bet. I'm wrong a ton, but I've never got broke norst had a losing season playing it.

It requires, IMO, EVERYTHING you got to be great at. It also requires a TON of film study and also strong math. You will lose a ton in some instances - but get paid off playing dogs in the NFL. It's ALL about matchups. With NFL.com having a sub that INCLUDES the 22 man cam - it SHOULD make it easier on us. Sorry if I sound like a shill (I'm not, I won't pay it, it's too much, for my style) - but studying games with that tape is NOTHING us punters have EVER seen - don't care how many times you rewound a play... You do not see the 22 cam. That, IMO, is how you evaluate the NFL. I disagree SHARPLY with the spreadsheet/math guys on the NFL over this and always will. If they get paid? good. If I get paid - better. IMO, the NFL is won/lost on the field, not probability. I believe that. I think you have to study players and also pay in mind WHERE said players are playing at that time. There's a f-ton of value on dogs and the o/u numbers - you just have to do the work. VERY few NFL 'people' do that work on these forums, at least, that post. I trust in those that do, but I do not track them. To me, the magic bullet in the NFL is a 60 hour+ week studiying film and you MAY hit the magic 53 percent+.

It's hard, but if you work HARD, you can get there. That all said, my published picks MAYBE are 20 percent in the NFL.
Superstition, I figure, for me. That's why I keep quiet, mostly.

[jbart28]

As far as NFL cappers go - they ALL lose badly. LT Profits is solid - not great, as we disagree a ton - but solid.
For college - Pags was the BEST, too bad he got chased off. Not only a solid capper - a solid guy. You won, over the season, with him, IMO, it wasn't for the WTF morons that pollute these boards that chased him off.

No reason why, no idea if he still posts, but Pavyracer was a good 'impulse' betting person. Again - don't follow who or who doesn't post.

Just saying, the NFL side is INCREDIBLY weak on these forums. I can pick off of my hand the nice cappers in the sport (Darkhorse is another).

The NFL is impossible for the average punter. But I figure, if you're not doing your homework on the NFL, of course you're getting abused.
The NFL is ALL i bet. I'm wrong a ton, but I've never got broke norst had a losing season playing it.

It requires, IMO, EVERYTHING you got to be great at. It also requires a TON of film study and also strong math. You will lose a ton in some instances - but get paid off playing dogs in the NFL. It's ALL about matchups. With NFL.com having a sub that INCLUDES the 22 man cam - it SHOULD make it easier on us. Sorry if I sound like a shill (I'm not, I won't pay it, it's too much, for my style) - but studying games with that tape is NOTHING us punters have EVER seen - don't care how many times you rewound a play... You do not see the 22 cam. That, IMO, is how you evaluate the NFL. I disagree SHARPLY with the spreadsheet/math guys on the NFL over this and always will. If they get paid? good. If I get paid - better. IMO, the NFL is won/lost on the field, not probability. I believe that. I think you have to study players and also pay in mind WHERE said players are playing at that time. There's a f-ton of value on dogs and the o/u numbers - you just have to do the work. VERY few NFL 'people' do that work on these forums, at least, that post. I trust in those that do, but I do not track them. To me, the magic bullet in the NFL is a 60 hour+ week studiying film and you MAY hit the magic 53 percent+.

It's hard, but if you work HARD, you can get there. That all said, my published picks MAYBE are 20 percent in the NFL.
Superstition, I figure, for me. That's why I keep quiet, mostly.

\


thanks for your post.

I am a college hoops/ baseball capper only. I notice you take your craft very seriously. good shit

[GunShard]

I wouldn't blindly follow a capper. Do the research yourself.

My personal rules on sports gambling:
1. Bankroll money management and Kelly Criterion. You should only be betting 1% to 10% of your total bankroll. Be discipline.
Kelly Criterion basically says to bet large on -110 and bet small on -500, and bet large on a straight bet, bet small on a parlay bet.
2. Do your research by watching game footage, finding useful trends and useful statistics.
3. Never bet on heavily juiced lines. Like a line at -1000 for example.
4. Never bet on heavily valued lines. Like a terrible team at 100 to 1 odds to win championship.
5. Teams with home field/court advantage tend to win games.
6. Be a strategic gambler by picking your spots and wait for the right opportunity. Never be an impulsive gambler by betting for the action, just because it feels good or it's your favorite team. Patience is virtue.
7. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession.
8. Parlays should be no longer than 2 teams, the bigger the parlay is, the bigger the House Edge. Research and Secure your first pick before moving on to your second pick.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=89HtJmQgjww
9. Teasers should never pass through the zero.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RP3P9OJvukQ
10. Never bet on double digit road favorites. You will lose in the long run.
11. Always make your bet near game time. Players could get injured during the week before game time.
12. Sportsbook have an edge on the NFL than the NCAAF because they can focus on the 32 NFL teams but cannot focus on the hundreds of NCAAF teams.
13. Never deposit money for sportsbook bonus money that requires rollover. You are immediately juiced before you even placed your first bet.
14. Never bet on preseason games on any sport. Predicting a 2nd string and 3rd string team is stupid.
15. If you are extremely impulsive, arrogant and biased. The best advice is to "Don't Gamble".
16. Never gamble if you are drunk, sleepy, hungry, depressed or angry.
17. Moneyline favorites are more likely to win than Moneyline underdogs. Favorited lines are juiced because of this reason.
18. Learn from your mistakes. Too many gamblers don't learn from their mistakes. That's why I am helping gamblers with this list.

[Harry N. Lloyd]

I mentioned this in another thread on Service Plays, but since we're on the topic...... 60 Percent Guaranteed is supposed to be really good (consistently between 65-75%).

I just checked their website and prices are very reasonable. I don't really bet enough to use a service, but for those interested you might want to consider this one.

http://www.60percentguaranteed.com/

Wow. First day on the forum and you're shilling for a brand new company. Nobody will see through that, right? How about I give you 2 to 1 odds on any amount of $$ you choose that 60%.com doesn't hit 60% for a season. Seems more than fair, right?

[fishmonger]

Anyone claiming to be the best is clearly not. And tailing can burn you. Most people are full of shit.

[Regul8er]

I like what GunShard is doing here.
Everytime I post like this comes up, kid posts his 18 personal rules. Most of it is obvious, but nice to review once in a while!

[fergie's balls]

That's a lot of rules

[CarpeDime]

90% of my picks last year......Check the log too, no bullshit here

fukin A dude, nice