1. 08-27-12 08:14 PM #36
    broadway6
    on to the next one
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    Quote Originally Posted by GunShard View Post
    I wouldn't blindly follow a capper. Do the research yourself.

    My personal rules on sports gambling:
    1. Bankroll money management and Kelly Criterion. You should only be betting 1% to 10% of your total bankroll. Be discipline.
    Kelly Criterion basically says to bet large on -110 and bet small on -500, and bet large on a straight bet, bet small on a parlay bet.
    2. Do your research by watching game footage, finding useful trends and useful statistics.
    3. Never bet on heavily juiced lines. Like a line at -1000 for example.
    4. Never bet on heavily valued lines. Like a terrible team at 100 to 1 odds to win championship.
    5. Teams with home field/court advantage tend to win games.
    6. Be a strategic gambler by picking your spots and wait for the right opportunity. Never be an impulsive gambler by betting for the action, just because it feels good or it's your favorite team. Patience is virtue.
    7. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession.
    8. Parlays should be no longer than 2 teams, the bigger the parlay is, the bigger the House Edge. Research and Secure your first pick before moving on to your second pick.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=89HtJmQgjww
    9. Teasers should never pass through the zero.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RP3P9OJvukQ
    10. Never bet on double digit road favorites. You will lose in the long run.
    11. Always make your bet near game time. Players could get injured during the week before game time.
    12. Sportsbook have an edge on the NFL than the NCAAF because they can focus on the 32 NFL teams but cannot focus on the hundreds of NCAAF teams.
    13. Never deposit money for sportsbook bonus money that requires rollover. You are immediately juiced before you even placed your first bet.
    14. Never bet on preseason games on any sport. Predicting a 2nd string and 3rd string team is stupid.
    15. If you are extremely impulsive, arrogant and biased. The best advice is to "Don't Gamble".
    16. Never gamble if you are drunk, sleepy, hungry, depressed or angry.
    17. Moneyline favorites are more likely to win than Moneyline underdogs. Favorited lines are juiced because of this reason.
    18. Learn from your mistakes.

    one of the best post ever
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  2. 08-27-12 08:34 PM #37
    dante1
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    no such thing as the best at anything with gambling

    guys come and go

    win and lose


    jj every once in a while you hit it right on the nose, law of averages I guess. lol just joking buddy you are 100% on this. But, I will check out frogranger, no pressure bud.
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  3. 08-27-12 08:35 PM #38
    B1GER1C828
    Bostoneric
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    the_seer is hands down the best, i hope he still posts.
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  4. 08-27-12 11:15 PM #39
    Okiejoe
    He's 6-5, with afro 6-9...
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    I have to give that to my boys at perfectionsports. Check out there facebook page they specialize in beating the closing line. I dont know if there website is done yet but they will be the RAS in all sports but specializing in collge and NFL. Last week gave out free pick saints O43, post pics of line moves in real time. They play only steam moves so your likely to get your limits choped or thrown on a 30 sec delay or banned offshore unless you have a pinny. Probable need to have a couple of outs like some mom and pop shops to truly take advantage of them. Guys a former book maker, and got connections to all the sharps and sports betting syndicates in CR and is very well liked down here. If you dont trust me go give mickey a call over at cris. Mike doesnt know im posting this but glad to have you back in CR my friend and excited about perfection sports.
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  5. 08-28-12 12:22 AM #40
    shopbar picks
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    Harry N Lloyd. His totals are usually very good
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  6. 08-28-12 12:35 AM #41
    Mac4Lyfe
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    It's a lot easier to find the "best" musher....
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  7. 08-28-12 01:02 AM #42
    crustyme
    dont i look killer?
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    tail brock's rubberband plays.....

    instant moneymaker.
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  8. 08-28-12 01:15 AM #43
    GunShard
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    Quote Originally Posted by Regul8er View Post
    I like what GunShard is doing here.
    Everytime I post like this comes up, kid posts his 18 personal rules. Most of it is obvious, but nice to review once in a while!
    Thanks!
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  9. 08-28-12 05:15 AM #44
    JR007
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    watch the screens and learn to pick the games yourself,............gotta put the time in
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  10. 08-28-12 05:21 AM #45
    ttrace35
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    Unrealz.
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  11. 08-28-12 08:11 AM #46
    dilaudid8
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    yes LT profits is good but on WAGER TRACKER last year I came in the top 10 .and this year I beat everyone I came in at number 1 at WAGER TRACKER LT profits was in the top 10 being in the top 10 2 year's in a row is very hard to do and winning it is even harder .gl my brother's if you want my bet's CAPPING THE GAME .COM is my home base that's where I post 1
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  12. 08-28-12 11:34 AM #47
    ToPHeR
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    So frogs is the consensus?
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  13. 08-28-12 12:48 PM #48
    ttrace35
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    Quote Originally Posted by ToPHeR View Post
    So frogs is the consensus?
    Just because someone has no life and copies 10 page write-ups, doesn't make them a top capper. As for nfl, everyone know trace owns it.

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-bettin...ays-thead.html
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  14. 08-28-12 12:52 PM #49
    CanuckG
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    Tracer too much hype settle down
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  15. 08-28-12 12:52 PM #50
    ebbearsfb1
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    No one is the concenus, past results don't mean jack the following year, best to make your own picks
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  16. 08-28-12 12:54 PM #51
    ttrace35
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    Quote Originally Posted by CanuckG View Post
    Tracer too much hype settle down
    Hype? Tracer been quiet.
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  17. 08-28-12 01:33 PM #52
    Coach Potato
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    just wait a while after the season starts and follow whoevers hot. Whoevers was good last might not be so good this year
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  18. 08-28-12 02:13 PM #53
    jaeguyoon
    [Too Long]
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    Quote Originally Posted by B1GER1C828 View Post
    the_seer is hands down the best, i hope he still posts.
    Seer is good. But where has he been???? I haven't seen a post from him in awhile.
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  19. 08-29-12 11:58 PM #54
    mgt_3
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    Appreciate the input from everyone, good stuff. Obviously there's a wide array of opinions out there although I will monitor a few and do a little research on my own and figure out what would be best for my style of wagering and my bank roll. BOL to everyone, STICK IT TO THE BOOKS WITH NO VASELINE!
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  20. 08-30-12 12:04 AM #55
    BigDofBA
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    Just do what I do. Lose for the first few months, wisen up, fade the board, win it back, and break about even.

    It's pretty amazing how consistently wrong some posters are. Why cap games when there are so many great fades?
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  21. 08-31-12 04:30 PM #56
    blue.eyed.tuna
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    Quote Originally Posted by frogsrangers View Post
    Tail my college picks and you won't be let down

    Not for nothing, but your spreadsheet has 35 wagers for WEEK 1 of college football. Do you really plan to make 400 bets in college football this year? If so I wish you luck but HIGHLY suggest that NOBODY tail you until they see how things work out for the first month or so. Too many games...that has suicide written all over it. Just my two cents
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  22. 08-31-12 04:30 PM #57
    blue.eyed.tuna
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDofBA View Post
    Just do what I do. Lose for the first few months, wisen up, fade the board, win it back, and break about even.

    It's pretty amazing how consistently wrong some posters are. Why cap games when there are so many great fades?

    agreed, when it comes to tailing or fading it is easier to find the guys mid season that will lose 60% than win 60%
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  23. 09-15-12 06:03 PM #58
    GunShard
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    It's easier to win on College than NFL.
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  24. 09-15-12 06:07 PM #59
    Br0nxer
    July 2012 Poster of the Month
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    dont tail anyone here

    dont fade anyone here

    make your own fukkin picks

    that is all
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  25. 09-21-12 11:14 PM #60
    gojetsgomoxies
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    BUMP, gonna read this later
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  26. 09-21-12 11:18 PM #61
    GChild
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    Fade Brandon Lang
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  27. 09-21-12 11:47 PM #62
    gojetsgomoxies
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    Quote Originally Posted by GChild View Post
    Fade Brandon Lang
    barely heard of him until a few days ago (found out he has a biography and an al pacino movie based on his life... funny, cause i think i knew him vaguely from being renowned for bad picks)
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  28. 09-23-12 02:59 AM #63
    nbaprofosor
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    deffinetly play boy it is
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-bettin...-read-p46.html
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  29. 09-23-12 06:03 AM #64
    p19101
    Giants!
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    Quote Originally Posted by GunShard View Post
    I wouldn't blindly follow a capper. Do the research yourself.

    My personal rules on sports gambling:
    1. Bankroll money management and Kelly Criterion. You should only be betting 1% to 10% of your total bankroll. Be discipline.
    Kelly Criterion basically says to bet large on -110 and bet small on -500, and bet large on a straight bet, bet small on a parlay bet.
    2. Do your research by watching game footage, finding useful trends and useful statistics.
    3. Never bet on heavily juiced lines. Like a line at -1000 for example.
    4. Never bet on heavily valued lines. Like a terrible team at 100 to 1 odds to win championship.
    5. Teams with home field/court advantage tend to win games.
    6. Be a strategic gambler by picking your spots and wait for the right opportunity. Never be an impulsive gambler by betting for the action, just because it feels good or it's your favorite team. Patience is virtue.
    7. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession.
    8. Parlays should be no longer than 2 teams, the bigger the parlay is, the bigger the House Edge. Research and Secure your first pick before moving on to your second pick.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=89HtJmQgjww
    9. Teasers should never pass through the zero.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RP3P9OJvukQ
    10. Never bet on double digit road favorites. You will lose in the long run.
    11. Always make your bet near game time. Players could get injured during the week before game time.
    12. Sportsbook have an edge on the NFL than the NCAAF because they can focus on the 32 NFL teams but cannot focus on the hundreds of NCAAF teams.
    13. Never deposit money for sportsbook bonus money that requires rollover. You are immediately juiced before you even placed your first bet.
    14. Never bet on preseason games on any sport. Predicting a 2nd string and 3rd string team is stupid.
    15. If you are extremely impulsive, arrogant and biased. The best advice is to "Don't Gamble".
    16. Never gamble if you are drunk, sleepy, hungry, depressed or angry.
    17. Moneyline favorites are more likely to win than Moneyline underdogs. Favorited lines are juiced because of this reason.
    18. Learn from your mistakes. Too many gamblers don't learn from their mistakes. That's why I am helping gamblers with this list.
    Betting 10% of BR on one bet is madness, even 5% is highly questionable.
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  30. 09-23-12 11:04 AM #65
    matt711
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    Heard Perfection Sports were really good,bot cost is like $3500 month, not sure if its worth the $40,000 a year.,,Ras is over 65%
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  31. 09-23-12 11:23 AM #66
    PrimetimePlays
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    I'm waiting for people to actually wake up and realize that I am a high percentage winner in ncaa and nfl football. 13-3 two years ago just documenting nfl. 27-6 last year ncaa and nfl combined. and this year I'm 6-1 with my only loss being mich st -7 against boise st and winning by 4 with four turnovers and a junk pick 6 against them. should be 7-0. I'm not an action junky. you wont see a pick out of me everyday. I find my spots and I bury the pick when i see great value. tail me and you wont be disappointed!!
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  32. 09-23-12 11:32 AM #67
    probettor1
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    no such thing as the best at anything with gambling

    guys come and go

    win and lose
    JJgold after saying this I take my hat off. You are the man.
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  33. 09-23-12 11:42 AM #68
    GatorFan
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    it's not a great idea to go against my " 1/4 All-in" play. I all i can tell ya. Good luck buddy!
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