Tuesday Night College football is back again this week with a Sun Belt Conference matchup between two teams in Troy and Florida International who are underachieving this season, considering they were preseason picks to finish 1-2 in this conference. odds for tonight’s matchup have FIU as a 6 point home favorite with a total set at 55.5.
Tonight’s play: Under 55.5
Troy enters this matchup tonight 2-4 overall on the season while going just 1-5 ATS. The Trojans of Troy have seen have lost four straight against the line while watching the under hit in three of their last three games. The Trojans under run is hitting due to the struggling offense that they have going right now. Troy opened the season with three straight overs in which they were averaging over 28 points per game that has since changed the last three games where they are averaging just 17 points per game. The defense has even got better for Troy considering that were allowing over 38 points per game during those first three games what went over. The defense the last three games for Troy has allowed 30.6 points per game.
Florida International enters this matchup tonight losing three of their last four games while going 0-4 ATS. FIU started the season looking like they were going to live up to the preseason hype of being top team in the Sun Belt with three wins while going 3-0 against the line, since then though they have fallen off a bit thanks to the struggling defense. The defense from FIU allowed just 9 points per game the first three games but since has allowed 29.5 points per game the last four games. For FIU to get back to winning ways they need to step up that defense that they played the first three games of the season. The offense has taken a step back also going from averaging over 28 points per game the first four games to just 23 points per game the last three games and a lot of that could have been due to the injury to star wide receiver Ty Hilton who came back last week and looks to be getting right back into the grove with six catches last week for 97 yards and a TD.
There are a few trends I like for this game tonight.
- Under is 5-0 in Troy’s last 5 Tuesday Night games.
- Under is 4-1 in Troy’s last 5 conference games.
- Under are 4-1 In Troy’s last 5 road games as an underdog of 3.5-10.
- Under is 9-1-1 in FIU last 11 against a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-3-2 in FIU’s last 12 home games.
- Under is 8-1-2 in FIU’s last 11 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.
The last three times these two teams have met we have seen the final score end up over the posted total with an average final score of 72.6 points per game in those three games. I do not see that happening tonight. Both of these teams have been struggling on offense FIU knows they need to get that strong defensive play back to get back to winning ways. I just feel we will see a strong defensive effort from both teams tonight and we should see this game stay under the posted total.
Good Luck Everyone!