Ball State +4
Ball State is dominating the time of possession, just like Army, and their offense is more balanced. They can both run and pass. The last time these two schools met, Army won by 7 and failed to cover the spread, despite winning the turnover battle 4-1. They actually scored the game winning TD on an interception return. They lead this series 2-0 but never played Ball State on the road. Army could be in letdown mode after winning as home dog against a B10 school. The last time they beat a B10 school was in 1988 and it was against NW as well. Army is also a horrible favorite historically, going 37-60 ATS in last 97.
West Virginia +6 (but half pt)
West Virginia is not an easy out for anyone, especially at home. And they know how to play winning teams. They are 3-0 ATS since last season against unbeaten teams including a cover at LSU last season. They are also 17-5 ATS in last 22 as pkem or dogs against winning teams. LSU plays great football but they are stil 0-8-1 ATS in last 9 against unbeaten teams if the opponent is at least 3-0. LSU is not used to play a non conference game on the road in between two conference games. It happened only 5 times in last 20+ years and LSU went 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in those games.
Tease: Ball State +11 and West Virginia +12.5