1. #1
    NickBaragona
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    Ufn 23

    Evan Dunham -230 against Melvin Guillard seems like a great bet. We all know how Guillard has fared against wrestlers in the past. Expect Dunham to take him down, and control him on a way to a decision, or possible submission. Thoughts?

  2. #2
    Lincoln73
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    totally agree about the outcome but line is getting so high that the play is rapidly losing value.

  3. #3
    Jordan23
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    I expect Dunham to get a submission. His sub defense isn't going to be as good as Sherk's.

  4. #4
    NickBaragona
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    Very true, and with 7 Submission losses by Guillard, that makes it all the more likely. I wish there was a way to watch old fights, without paying the $10 a month for the UFC Vault. It would be nice to study past fights that were on the prelims, or that you just can't remember.

  5. #5
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by NickBaragona View Post
    Very true, and with 7 Submission losses by Guillard, that makes it all the more likely. I wish there was a way to watch old fights, without paying the $10 a month for the UFC Vault. It would be nice to study past fights that were on the prelims, or that you just can't remember.
    MMA-core still has some fights available:

    Great face-plant from "Rick Davis" in this one!:
    http://www.mma-core.com/videos/_Melv...004758&tid=100

    Guillard vs Tibau:

    http://www.mma-core.com/videos/_Melv...005365&tid=100

  6. #6
    NickBaragona
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    Thanks! I'll check out those links.

  7. #7
    lasker
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    I've been on the Evan Dunham bandwagon for a while; I won betting on him as the underdog against both Escudero and Griffin, and I also backed him against Sherk but he was robbed by the judges. There's no doubt he should be favored to win here, but I won't bet him unless I can get something better than -200. Guillard is training with what might be the best camp in the world, and has improved both his takedown and submission defense. He hits much harder than any of Dunham's previous opponents, and his striking technique in general is on another caliber from guys like Sherk, Griffin, Escudero, Aurelio, and Eklund. Dunham has very technical boxing himself, but he lacks the power that Guillard possesses and he has a good chin but remains very hittable, we've seen it in a number of his fights so far. Don't sleep on Guillard, he is going to be very dangerous especially in the early stages of this fight. Not that I expect Guillard to win, but it's all about value and I don't see it at these odds. If anything, I would take Guillard +190 over Dunham -230.

  8. #8
    Kaladarus
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    I like Dunham also, he is a beast. There's so many more ways he can win this fight and he's a lot more well rounded.

  9. #9
    rocky mattioli
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    Quote Originally Posted by NickBaragona View Post
    Very true, and with 7 Submission losses by Guillard, that makes it all the more likely. I wish there was a way to watch old fights, without paying the $10 a month for the UFC Vault. It would be nice to study past fights that were on the prelims, or that you just can't remember.
    if you can`t find a video on a particular fight,you can go to fight finder,pull your fighter up....and then click on the "event" listed for the particular fight you`re interested in....

    it gives you a list of options for that event that usually includes their round by round report....

    i know it`s not the video,but it does give you a feel for how a guy did vs a certain opponent...

  10. #10
    Poppa Catfish
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    Quote Originally Posted by rocky mattioli View Post
    if you can`t find a video on a particular fight,you can go to fight finder,pull your fighter up....and then click on the "event" listed for the particular fight you`re interested in....

    it gives you a list of options for that event that usually includes their round by round report....

    i know it`s not the video,but it does give you a feel for how a guy did vs a certain opponent...
    Great advice, and is something that I do all the time.

  11. #11
    Vaughany
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    MMAWeekly....

    For the last year, Melvin Guillard has taken his time and worked his way up the lightweight division, and now he’s done asking for opportunities. He’s ready to tell the UFC he wants a title shot.
    The one time “Ultimate Fighter” cast member has grown exponentially since joining up with Greg Jackson and his team in New Mexico, and what started out as a bold prediction in early 2010 has turned into reality, as Guillard gets ready for the main event at UFC Fight for the Troops against Evan Dunham.
    If Guillard gets past Dunham, he’s ready for his shot.
    “I think it’s my time,” Guillard told MMAWeekly Radio. “I’m not really asking anymore, I’m telling them I want my shot.”
    The Louisiana native was happy to get the call from the UFC offering him the upgrade to the main event slot. He admits he was somewhat apprehensive about facing his original opponent, Yves Edwards, because they were longtime training partners, and he looked at Edwards as a mentor.
    When the slot opened up to face Dunham in the main event, Guillard jumped at the chance. He also points out that he should have had the spot in the first place ahead of Kenny Florian, who was forced out of the fight with an injury.
    “Being moved to the main event, I feel like I’m in my rightful place. I’ve won six of my last seven fights in the UFC, and I just feel that I deserve a title shot. It was supposed to be Kenny Florian that’s up there, but this guy has had chance after chance. He’s had numerous chances to be in the No. 1 contender’s spot, and he choked. I just feel like there’s so many 55er’s in the weight class, give some of the other guys, give me and some of the other guys a chance to be in the spotlight,” Guillard said.
    “I wasn’t happy that Kenny got hurt, I like Kenny, he’s a cool guy and I’ve never had anything bad to say about him, but I feel like it was a blessing in disguise. Because originally I wanted to fight (Takanori) Gomi, but my teammate Clay Guida beat me to that prior to me asking and he ended up choking Gomi out anyway. So it was just one of those things it was meant to happen this way, and I’m happy that it happened this way.”
    Guillard believes it’s time for the lightweight division, which is ripe with talent, to get some new blood in the contender’s spots and not recycle rematches.
    “Everybody keeps seeing the same guys fight for titles, and at the end of the day we need to give the fans and you guys something different. There’s so much more talent out there, why keep having the same guys fight for the title? Unless it’s the middleweight class where they’re running out of guys to fight Anderson Silva, the 55 class shouldn’t be that way. There should be a new guy fighting for the title every fight,” he stated.
    Guillard points to two former title contenders that each fought in a championship bout and were then granted an immediate rematch, and he thinks it’s time to move on.
    “Even with B.J. (Penn), you know B.J. was the champion and he got an immediate rematch, I didn’t feel he deserved that immediate rematch. I felt he fell off the horse and he lost, and he should have accepted the loss, but because it was controversial and people thought he did win, they ended up giving him another title shot,” said Guillard.
    “Look at the Gray Maynard fight. Gray should have won that fight had he put him away at the beginning of the first round. Gray can’t blame anybody but himself for not finishing. Had he just settled down and picked his shots, Frankie Edgar wouldn’t have made it out of that first round. I’m sorry. I’m one of those guys that hits hard and I know I’m explosive. Had that been me hitting Frankie Edgar, that fight would have been over.”
    Guillard hopes to prove his point by beating Evan Dunham on Jan. 22, and then telling the UFC that he wants his title shot in 2011.

  12. #12
    lasker
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    “Look at the Gray Maynard fight. Gray should have won that fight had he put him away at the beginning of the first round. Gray can’t blame anybody but himself for not finishing. Had he just settled down and picked his shots, Frankie Edgar wouldn’t have made it out of that first round. I’m sorry. I’m one of those guys that hits hard and I know I’m explosive. Had that been me hitting Frankie Edgar, that fight would have been over.”

    True indeed.

  13. #13
    NickBaragona
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    Is it possible to edit my original post into a poll?

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