Originally Posted by
Educ8d Degener8
UFC 126 Plays
Risk / To Win / Wager
2.00u / 0.74u / Ellenberger
0.25u / 1.06u / Rocha by Sub
0.50u / 3.00u / Cerrone v Kelly FoTN
0.25u / 0.81u / Forrest v Rich FoTN
1.00u / 0.66u / Jon Jones, Silva v Belfort not distance
0.50u / 0.38u / Mendes, Ellenberger
0.50u / 1.85u / Mendes via decision, Torres v Banuelos starts Rd 2, Forrest v Rich goes to decision -- will hedge if first two legs hit.
0.13u / 0.78u / Kingsbury, Paul Taylor, Kelly v Cerrone not distance, Ellenberger v Rocha over 1.5 rounds
I'm weighted heavy on Ellenberger. I'm really enamored with plays on him; and hedging with Rocha by sub, as I feel that's the only way he can win.
Was gonna lay money on Rich, but I agree with many that this goes to a decision, and given the judges f*ckeration of scores, and Forrest's notoriety, I'm not gonna lay money on Rich... Will be curious to see if Forrest's size advantage causes serious problems for Rich.
Silva down to -220... keeping a keen eye on that one...