1. #1
    THE_LOCKSMITH
    THE_LOCKSMITH's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-25-08
    Posts: 7,237
    Betpoints: 5224

    UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick (August 25, 2018)



    FS1 10:00 pm ET
    Justin Gaethje vs James Vick
    Andre Fili vs Michael Johnson
    Courtney Casey vs Angela Hill
    Bryan Barberena vs Jake Ellenberger
    Deiveson Figueiredo vs John Moraga
    Eryk Anders vs Tim Williams

    FS2 8:00 pm ET
    Warlley Alves vs James Krause
    Iuri Alcantara vs Cory Sandhagen
    Markus Perez vs Andrew Sanchez
    Mickey Gall vs George Sullivan

    UFC Fight Pass 6:30 pm ET
    Joanne Calderwood vs Kalindra Faria
    Drew Dober vs Jon Tuck
    Luke Sanders vs Rani Yahya



    Points Awarded:

    Hugo de Naranja gave THE_LOCKSMITH 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  2. #2
    firekillex
    firekillex's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-13
    Posts: 6,420

    jake ellenberger +400 jeeze lol
    Points Awarded:

    PaperTrail07 gave firekillex 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  3. #3
    Hugo de Naranja
    Hugo de Naranja's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-16
    Posts: 14,140
    Betpoints: 621

    Quote Originally Posted by firekillex View Post
    jake ellenberger +400 jeeze lol
    I think he's pretty shot but that number is still a bit wide.

  4. #4
    firekillex
    firekillex's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-13
    Posts: 6,420

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    I think he's pretty shot but that number is still a bit wide.
    no doubt hes looked like trash lately losing a ton of fights 2-8 in his last 10 but hes fighting some decent guys
    Bryan Barberena isnt anything special, basically its win or retire for Ellenberger with this fight.. guy has power and some wrestling
    i dont think hes a fav by no means but +400 jeeze worth a small shot for that price imo

  5. #5
    Sanity Check
    A Rising Tide Lifts All Ships
    Sanity Check's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-30-13
    Posts: 10,972
    Betpoints: 12959

    Bellator 204: Darrion Caldwell vs Noad Lahat tomorrow.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bellat...8#Bellator_204

  6. #6
    Teem
    Teem's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-11-17
    Posts: 343
    Betpoints: 3534

    Check out Andrew Sanchez's Instagram. Training at Tristar and working on that cardio. Coming off of 2 KO losses will be tough for him but Perez gasses too and Sanchez has great wrestling. I like Sanchez in this fight.

  7. #7
    Demonata
    Demonata's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-12-11
    Posts: 25,800
    Betpoints: 5421

    This feels like years away lol.

  8. #8
    PaperTrail07
    MMA is the most pure sport
    PaperTrail07's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-29-08
    Posts: 20,423
    Betpoints: 585

    I like Sanders here..... BIG.... love Rani but age and cardio will get him the L here...

  9. #9
    Demonata
    Demonata's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-12-11
    Posts: 25,800
    Betpoints: 5421

    I might bet a lot on Michael johnson

  10. #10
    Teem
    Teem's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-11-17
    Posts: 343
    Betpoints: 3534

    I gotta back Gaethje here. Even if he loses, it's fun to bet on him. The Highlight will always put on a show. He goes out there to fukin take his opponent's soul. WAR ZOMBIE

  11. #11
    HurlSweatPants
    HurlSweatPants's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-28-15
    Posts: 951
    Betpoints: 3367

    Quote Originally Posted by Teem View Post
    I gotta back Gaethje here. Even if he loses, it's fun to bet on him. The Highlight will always put on a show. He goes out there to fukin take his opponent's soul. WAR ZOMBIE
    He is definitely a fan favorite and that fight against MJ is one of my all time favorites. Saying that, I really hope he protects himself a little better and utilizes some of his wrestling, even if its to engage in the clinch or change levels to set up his hands and deadly leg kicks. I'm just not sure he is built that way though, he's a warrior.

    I despise Vick, but I definitely think he got the better of the trash talk in the presser, said some shit that ALMOST made me like him.

  12. #12
    Hugo de Naranja
    Hugo de Naranja's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-16
    Posts: 14,140
    Betpoints: 621

    Quote Originally Posted by HurlSweatPants View Post
    He is definitely a fan favorite and that fight against MJ is one of my all time favorites. Saying that, I really hope he protects himself a little better and utilizes some of his wrestling, even if its to engage in the clinch or change levels to set up his hands and deadly leg kicks. I'm just not sure he is built that way though, he's a warrior.

    I despise Vick, but I definitely think he got the better of the trash talk in the presser, said some shit that ALMOST made me like him.
    Not really what his style unfortunately.

  13. #13
    firekillex
    firekillex's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-13
    Posts: 6,420

    either vick going to pick him apart from distance/ time a knee
    or gaethje gonna dirty box and finally wrestle a bit for a win

  14. #14
    Rich Benjamins
    Rich Benjamins's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-15-15
    Posts: 831
    Betpoints: 3698

    Quote Originally Posted by PaperTrail07 View Post
    I like Sanders here..... BIG.... love Rani but age and cardio will get him the L here...
    idk, Sanders got caught in a leg lock by Alcantra after beating his ass. Good chance he gets subbed in this fight. Maybe hedge Yahya wins by sub? It's +200 on 5dimes.

  15. #15
    Hugo de Naranja
    Hugo de Naranja's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-16
    Posts: 14,140
    Betpoints: 621

    Is anyone else going to be at this event? I just snatched up a few tickets.

  16. #16
    PaperTrail07
    MMA is the most pure sport
    PaperTrail07's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-29-08
    Posts: 20,423
    Betpoints: 585

    for sure....I jus think sanders should be more favored....don't even thnk I'll hedge...Roni is one of my fav's too
    Quote Originally Posted by Rich Benjamins View Post
    idk, Sanders got caught in a leg lock by Alcantra after beating his ass. Good chance he gets subbed in this fight. Maybe hedge Yahya wins by sub? It's +200 on 5dimes.

  17. #17
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1836

    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Is anyone else going to be at this event? I just snatched up a few tickets.
    Should be pretty close to free, no?

  18. #18
    JAKEPEAVY21
    JAKEPEAVY21's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-11-11
    Posts: 28,189
    Betpoints: 47523

    never been high on Fili..MJ should be able to take him out if he fights smart.
    Points Awarded:

    Demonata gave JAKEPEAVY21 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  19. #19
    Teem
    Teem's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-11-17
    Posts: 343
    Betpoints: 3534

    Quote Originally Posted by PaperTrail07 View Post
    for sure....I jus think sanders should be more favored....don't even thnk I'll hedge...Roni is one of my fav's too
    Careful, been seeing Sanders is back at Nashville MMA training with bums. No longer at Blackhouse or MMA Lab.
    Points Awarded:

    PaperTrail07 gave Teem 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  20. #20
    Hugo de Naranja
    Hugo de Naranja's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-16
    Posts: 14,140
    Betpoints: 621

    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Should be pretty close to free, no?
    Yeah super cheap since no one wants to go to Nebraska. Fine by me, who knows how many Gaethje fights we have left.

  21. #21
    ZINISTER
    ZINISTER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-03-12
    Posts: 1,651
    Betpoints: 4786

    Quote Originally Posted by Teem View Post
    I gotta back Gaethje here. Even if he loses, it's fun to bet on him. The Highlight will always put on a show. He goes out there to fukin take his opponent's soul. WAR ZOMBIE
    100% agree. He walks this guy down pretty easy.

  22. #22
    PaperTrail07
    MMA is the most pure sport
    PaperTrail07's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-29-08
    Posts: 20,423
    Betpoints: 585

    Sanders and Vick $$ Vick is laying $ on himself and I'll back that any day of the week

  23. #23
    Shagdogy
    Shagdogy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-16-10
    Posts: 3,564
    Betpoints: 5477

    I took the whole two week break to chill and I'm just now hopping back into this card.

    So far I have Gall/Sullivan as a no bet, with lean to Gall to win. In Dober/Tuck I like Dober a bit. I think he can keep it standing and win with volume and possibly have some success with his power. Both guys are pretty durable though, so depending the odds I will be looking at over or FGTD. I think this one could be pretty entertaining. And finally Moraga/Fig is a tough one to call. If Moraga had better TDD (he has a good getup game but just doesn't seem to prioritize not getting taken down in the first place), I would like him as the dog. As it stands, I would need better odds to bet him. Still not sure who I pick to win. Real close fight IMO. I can't unsee Fig's fight with Fontes where he was just wild and got dropped twice in the first round. It's worrisome.

  24. #24
    Shagdogy
    Shagdogy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-16-10
    Posts: 3,564
    Betpoints: 5477

    Jojo/Faria... couldn’t bear too deep of tape study for this one. The quick of it is that I like fighters in their first fights moving up in weight. Jojo is moving up here and she looks much better physically if you check out her Instagram. Both girls stink on the ground and I wouldn’t expect the fight to take place there. Doubtful either seriously hurts the other on the feet. Jojo by close decision.

  25. #25
    ZINISTER
    ZINISTER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-03-12
    Posts: 1,651
    Betpoints: 4786

    Quote Originally Posted by PaperTrail07 View Post
    Sanders and Vick $$ Vick is laying $ on himself and I'll back that any day of the week
    Last time we were on opposite side Paper you took the win. I'm not betting it. Just think he can walk this one down. GL

  26. #26
    unlearn
    unlearn's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-22-14
    Posts: 8,858
    Betpoints: 15427

    Mickey Gall has no business being a bigger favorite against Sullivan than he was CM Punk.

  27. #27
    PaperTrail07
    MMA is the most pure sport
    PaperTrail07's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-29-08
    Posts: 20,423
    Betpoints: 585

    Vick's reach is too much....guy goes for the kill too...still a chip on his shoulder-BETS on himself lol....love the attitude...We will see....
    Quote Originally Posted by ZINISTER View Post
    Last time we were on opposite side Paper you took the win. I'm not betting it. Just think he can walk this one down. GL

  28. #28
    PaperTrail07
    MMA is the most pure sport
    PaperTrail07's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-29-08
    Posts: 20,423
    Betpoints: 585

    That's hard to disagree with
    Quote Originally Posted by unlearn View Post
    Mickey Gall has no business being a bigger favorite against Sullivan than he was CM Punk.

  29. #29
    PaperTrail07
    MMA is the most pure sport
    PaperTrail07's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-29-08
    Posts: 20,423
    Betpoints: 585

    Added Dober

    #1) UFC Fighting
    Selection : J. Vick 8/25/2018 9:45PM - (PST) Money Line -150 for Game

    #2) UFC Fighting
    Selection : L. Sanders 8/25/2018 5:05PM - (PST) Money Line +100 for Game

    #3) UFC Fighting
    Selection : D. Dober 8/25/2018 4:05PM - (PST) Money Line -205 for Game

    Risking : 110.00 To Win : 435.52 USD

    Points Awarded:

    JAKEPEAVY21 gave PaperTrail07 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  30. #30
    Hugo de Naranja
    Hugo de Naranja's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-16
    Posts: 14,140
    Betpoints: 621

    Quote Originally Posted by unlearn View Post
    Mickey Gall has no business being a bigger favorite against Sullivan than he was CM Punk.
    At the moment he isn’t. Gall closed at (-430) against CM Punk and is currently (-330) against Sullivan.

  31. #31
    Wohlford
    Wohlford's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-12-11
    Posts: 292
    Betpoints: 716

    Quote Originally Posted by unlearn View Post
    Mickey Gall has no business being a bigger favorite against Sullivan than he was CM Punk.
    I'm not on Gall, but I have to question your logic here.

    Gall should have been -5000 against CM Punk. The fact that idiots bet on Punk and kept it at -400 means you can never lay a price on Gall again because it doesn't compare with the Deal of the Century we got on Gall versus Punk?

    No.

  32. #32
    Demonata
    Demonata's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-12-11
    Posts: 25,800
    Betpoints: 5421

    So pumped for this card. Michael johnson my most confident pick. Hits so fast and hard.

  33. #33
    Shagdogy
    Shagdogy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-16-10
    Posts: 3,564
    Betpoints: 5477

    Quote Originally Posted by Demonata View Post
    So pumped for this card. Michael johnson my most confident pick. Hits so fast and hard.
    He also gasses fast and quits hard. He’s surely skilled. I don’t blame you for liking him but I’d be careful being too confident in a guy like that.
    Points Awarded:

    Hugo de Naranja gave Shagdogy 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  34. #34
    Shagdogy
    Shagdogy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-16-10
    Posts: 3,564
    Betpoints: 5477

    Capped two more today...

    As much as I wanted to like Perez against Sanchez, I can’t pick him. Outside of the Janes fight I actually don’t think Sanchez’s cardio has looked that bad and he’s now at Tristar training with some big timers. He’s physically strong and fights well as the bully. Meanwhile, Perez is a bit small for the weight class and seems to lack game changing power on the feet. He thrives on countering TDs with his BJJ and against the bigger, stronger Sanchez this probably is a tough road. Sanchez has also never been subbed. I see this one looking similar to Anders/Perez with a bit more top time for Sanchez.

    Next I capped Alcantara and Sandhagen... my notes after Alcantara’s last fight were to just shy away from betting him since he is pretty unpredictable at this point. However, hard not to like Sandhagen to win. He’s got a significant speed and variety advantage on the feet. Despite his last fight, Alcantara’s not a big sub threat and he really is getting old and battle worn. Sandhagen should win. Betting him at the current price? Prob not.

  35. #35
    Hugo de Naranja
    Hugo de Naranja's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-16
    Posts: 14,140
    Betpoints: 621

    Quote Originally Posted by Shagdogy View Post
    He also gasses fast and quits hard. He’s surely skilled. I don’t blame you for liking him but I’d be careful being too confident in a guy like that.
    Excellent point. I'm picking Johnson but he is a flake.

1234 ... Last
Top