1. #1
    MMANick
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    Eryk Anders vs Lyoto Machida

    Thoughts on this one guys? What do you expect the odds to be here? I really think Anders can get this done.

  2. #2
    Hugo de Naranja
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    I like Anders to win this. He has a good pressure wrestling game and power in his hands. Machida’s best path to victory seems likely to be catching Anders with a knockout blow if he is sloppy to close the distance. I expect Anders to be around (-180) for his opening price.

  3. #3
    TPowell
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    I like Anders to win this. He has a good pressure wrestling game and power in his hands. Machida’s best path to victory seems likely to be catching Anders with a knockout blow if he is sloppy to close the distance. I expect Anders to be around (-180) for his opening price.
    I think you'll see Anders under -140 personally

  4. #4
    Hugo de Naranja
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    I hope so

  5. #5
    JIBBBY
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    Machida getting old and knocked out lately, starting his decline...

    Still is his decline a gap big enough to bet on Anders? Hmmm? I'd say it probably is.. Fading Machida might be the call and by KO. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Eryk-Anders-93407
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  6. #6
    KingofKings
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    Eryk Anders -300?

  7. #7
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingofKings View Post
    Eryk Anders -300?
    Opened (-230) and quickly got bet up. I think waiting for KO/TKO and -3.5 props makes sense given the current ML price.

  8. #8
    KingofKings
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Opened (-230) and quickly got bet up. I think waiting for KO/TKO and -3.5 props makes sense given the current ML price.
    I agree. Thoughts on Michel Prazeres and Desmond Green?

  9. #9
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingofKings View Post
    I agree. Thoughts on Michel Prazeres and Desmond Green?
    Slight lean to Prazeres so I basically agree with the current odds. Over 2.5 seems Parlayable as both guys are Decision machines.

  10. #10
    KingofKings
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Slight lean to Prazeres so I basically agree with the current odds. Over 2.5 seems Parlayable as both guys are Decision machines.
    Can't argue with that logic. Would be cool to see Prazeres hit another north south choke

  11. #11
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingofKings View Post
    Can't argue with that logic. Would be cool to see Prazeres hit another north south choke
    Yeah I think there have only been a few ever finished in UFC history. Who are your early leans?

  12. #12
    KingofKings
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Yeah I think there have only been a few ever finished in UFC history. Who are your early leans?
    Thiago Santos, Green&Prazeres over 2 1/2 rds, Anders, Pedro Munhoz
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  13. #13
    KingofKings
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    I don't why but I have a feeling Sergio Moraes catches Tim Means in a sub.

  14. #14
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingofKings View Post
    Thiago Santos, Green&Prazeres over 2 1/2 rds, Anders, Pedro Munhoz
    Nice!! I like all of those. I put a huge bet down on Santos at (-150). Parlayed up Green+Prazeres O2.5 and Anders and took Munhoz and Moraes straight at dog money. Let's cash

  15. #15
    TPowell
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    Wow, this is unreal. Anders has a ton of potential but Machida closing in on +300? That is insane. I'll have to throw some on him ITD if this keeps up

  16. #16
    TPowell
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    I like Moraes straight at dog money but I like Dodson A LOT so far against Munhoz. Will probably wait and play by decision though

  17. #17
    KingofKings
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Nice!! I like all of those. I put a huge bet down on Santos at (-150). Parlayed up Green+Prazeres O2.5 and Anders and took Munhoz and Moraes straight at dog money. Let's cash
    I saw that you hit Santos at -150. Kudos man. Early bird gets the worm.

  18. #18
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    I like Moraes straight at dog money but I like Dodson A LOT so far against Munhoz. Will probably wait and play by decision though
    Hmm can you tell me more about this one? I like Dodson but he is SO low volume at times.

  19. #19
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingofKings View Post
    I saw that you hit Santos at -150. Kudos man. Early bird gets the worm.
    Thank you sir!

  20. #20
    TPowell
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    When was Santos -150? Best Fight Odds literally has the opener at -240 but Breaking MMA Odds released it at -150

  21. #21
    TPowell
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Hmm can you tell me more about this one? I like Dodson but he is SO low volume at times.
    He's low volume but he isn't getting taken down by Munhoz and his boxing is really good. He ends up in tight decisions a ton which can make you nervous but when you bet him by decision like I did last fight at +180 or so and he loses an absolute toss up fight that I thought he probably won, you realize the guy can compete with anyone. I would expect Dodson by DEC to come out around +140 or 150 and I'll definitely be on it.

  22. #22
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    When was Santos -150? Best Fight Odds literally has the opener at -240 but Breaking MMA Odds released it at -150
    He was (-150) for the first 12 seconds after the odds were released. Moved steadily down from there.

  23. #23
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    He's low volume but he isn't getting taken down by Munhoz and his boxing is really good. He ends up in tight decisions a ton which can make you nervous but when you bet him by decision like I did last fight at +180 or so and he loses an absolute toss up fight that I thought he probably won, you realize the guy can compete with anyone. I would expect Dodson by DEC to come out around +140 or 150 and I'll definitely be on it.
    Couldn't Dodson get a KO here too? He's a huge puncher and Munhoz can be hit.
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  24. #24
    TPowell
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Couldn't Dodson get a KO here too? He's a huge puncher and Munhoz can be hit.
    He could I suppose but Munhoz hasn't been knocked down by Font or Rivera and actually was competitive in those fights/won. The difference here is that Dodson is much better defensively than Font and has a better chin. One reason I like this fight to hit the scorecards for sure. The other thing is Dodson could EASILY be 4-0 at BW and be a top 2-3 guy right now IMO. I know MMA math doesn't work but the guy has survived some super dangerous competition and arguably won the fights.

  25. #25
    TPowell
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    He was (-150) for the first 12 seconds after the odds were released. Moved steadily down from there.
    Damn, I capped it at -250 or so

  26. #26
    MMANick
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    I am interested in the Anders-3.5 or -5.5 prop. I think that'll hold some great value. He'll be pressing the action the entire fight. I think he scores a stoppage here.

  27. #27
    KirkG
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    Putting money on Anders, as much as I like Machida I can't see him winning. He still has a chance with some quick surprise ko but it's pretty slim.

  28. #28
    Sanity Check
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    Machida hasn't been the same since he got popped for steroids.

    The weight cut down to 185 seems to make it worse.

    Can't remember who Eryk Anders is...

  29. #29
    JollyRogerMMA
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    Machida is going to get KOed by a stiff Anyders Jab ..... Bulet is hitting that Under 2 1/2 because the crackhead chick has 0 technique.

  30. #30
    JC2008
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    Let's not forget Machida's inactivity and getting starched in round 1 his last time out. I see the result being no different in this fight. Anders KO and probably round 1.

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