1. #36
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by UncleChael View Post
    Beneil "Benny" Dariush all day. Dariush +125 ML line came down from +161.
    Not sure how I feel about this one yet. What makes you like Dariush?

  2. #37
    UncleChael
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Not sure how I feel about this one yet. What makes you like Dariush?
    He's fukking smart, a black belt in jiu-jitsu, he can wrestle, and his striking game improves every time.
    Last edited by UncleChael; 11-01-16 at 01:33 PM.
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  3. #38
    PaperTrail07
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    Improve on my 2nd place LOL....who is this guy .........Like the UFC fighter that get the belt and say...just trying to keep improving my game LOL........nice nice work there....
    Quote Originally Posted by JAKEPEAVY21 View Post
    thanks JIBBY, I'm trying to hang on...I need a 5-0 week to springboard into the top 5...I have been very fortunate with the 2x picks as I have only lost 1 the entire contest, need to keep that trend going...trying to take the whole thing down and improve on my 2nd place a few years ago.

    I can make an argument for both RDA and Ferguson...I'll take the guy that is on a long winning streak and is also at + money and hope he just swarms and overwhelms RDA

  4. #39
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    Not sure how I feel about this one yet. What makes you like Dariush?
    Yep that Russian ain't no joke.. I'm leaning very slightly towards the Russian myself..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Rashid-Magomedov-41524

    If Daruish can get Magomedov on the ground and on his back he then has a chance though.. I agree with Uncle with the slight wrestling and jits advantage..

    I think Rashid will have the advantage standing...




    I'm certainly considering the sub prop as a hedge for profit though..

    1427 Dariush wins by submission +485
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 11-01-16 at 02:21 PM.

  5. #40
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Yep that Russian ain't no joke.. I'm leaning very slightly towards the Russian myself..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Rashid-Magomedov-41524

    If Daruish can get Magomedov on the ground and on his back he then has a chance though.. I agree with Uncle with the slight wrestling and jits advantage..

    I think Rashid will have the advantage standing...




    I'm certainly considering the sub prop as a hedge for profit though..

    1427 Dariush wins by submission +485
    I see this one going the distance and possibly being a split decision type of fight with Dariush pressing and Magomedov countering. I have a small bet on Dariush KO/TKO at (+755) but that might be my only action for this bout.

  6. #41
    Hugo de Naranja
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    What do you guys think about the Lamas-Oliveira fight?

  7. #42
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    Quote Originally Posted by PaperTrail07 View Post
    Improve on my 2nd place LOL....who is this guy .........Like the UFC fighter that get the belt and say...just trying to keep improving my game LOL........nice nice work there....
    lol, I am not playing for a participation prize or min cash...going for the jugular my friend

    will it happen? not likely but I'm shooting for the 10k

  8. #43
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    What do you guys think about the Lamas-Oliveira fight?
    I like Oliveira and maybe by decision in this one..

  9. #44
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    I like Oliveira and maybe by decision in this one..
    leaning Lamas here myself..

  10. #45
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by JAKEPEAVY21 View Post
    lol, I am not playing for a participation prize or min cash...going for the jugular my friend

    will it happen? not likely but I'm shooting for the 10k
    GL, have a one bad week from this point forward and you can kiss that 10k goodbye.. Top players are all close in records right now 1 thru 10...

    Gotta keep a winning record going week to week til the end of the season.. Not easily done but if anyone can do it maybe you can Jakester.. Better cap your ass off from this point forward (hit those x2 plays every time)... Somebody has to win it and I'll be rooting for ya..

  11. #46
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by JAKEPEAVY21 View Post
    leaning Lamas here myself..
    Take him ITD and or by KO as I think that will be his best pathway to victory, Oli could get dropped by Lamas... I highly doubt Lamas can win a decision against Oli though....

  12. #47
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hugo de Naranja View Post
    I see this one going the distance and possibly being a split decision type of fight with Dariush pressing and Magomedov countering. I have a small bet on Dariush KO/TKO at (+755) but that might be my only action for this bout.
    If you say so Hugo..

    I go by the numbers.. Dariush only has 3 ko's on his record compared to his 6 submission wins..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Beneil-Dariush-56583

    The Russian has never been KO'd and his only loss is by submission.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Rashid-Magomedov-41524

    Numbers don't lie... GL..

    I don't see Dariush knocking out Rashid, I do however see Rashid possibly knocking out Dariush.. Rashid has 8 ko wins in 19 pro fights.. He packs some power.. Dariush has been dropped before also..

    I'm gonna play the Russian Straight though as this could go to decision but that KO prop is tempting at those odds..

    1433 Magomedov wins by TKO/KO +346

  13. #48
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    I like Oliveira and maybe by decision in this one..
    Was thinking the same. Hedge with Lamas KO perhaps

  14. #49
    Hugo de Naranja
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    If you say so Hugo..

    I go by the numbers.. Dariush only has 3 ko's on his record compared to his 6 submission wins..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Beneil-Dariush-56583

    The Russian has never been KO'd and his only loss is by submission.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Rashid-Magomedov-41524

    Numbers don't lie... GL..

    I don't see Dariush knocking out Rashid, I do however see Rashid possibly knocking out Dariush.. Rashid has 8 ko wins in 19 pro fights.. He packs some power.. Dariush has been dropped before also..

    I'm gonna play the Russian Straight though as this could go to decision but that KO prop is tempting at those odds..

    1433 Magomedov wins by TKO/KO +346
    Maybe it's just Dariush's performance against Vick that has me thinking this way. Good point about the numbers, I just don't see a whole lot of value to be had on this one.

  15. #50
    Thrilla
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  16. #51
    PaperTrail07
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    LOL as you should.....someone had to hassle you......
    Quote Originally Posted by JAKEPEAVY21 View Post
    lol, I am not playing for a participation prize or min cash...going for the jugular my friend

    will it happen? not likely but I'm shooting for the 10k

  17. #52
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    MMA MANIA Prelim previews --- PART 1



    185 lbs.: Sam Alvey vs. Alex Nicholson
    The momentum for Sam Alvey (28-8) -- bolstered by a trio of first-round knockouts -- came to a crashing halt thanks to a knockout loss to Derek Brunson and tepid performance against Elias Theodorou. He has since regained some of it by choking out Eric Spicely and knocking out Kevin Casey.He was originally set to face Nicholson on the ill-fated Manila card.

    Alex Nicholson (7-2) brought a five-fight win streak into UFC, only to have both is and his jaw broken by Misha Cirkunov in his February debut. Dropping to Middleweight, he took on "Lookin’ for a Fight" product Devin Clark and knocked him out in the waning seconds of the first round.All seven of his wins have come by stoppage, six of them in the first round.

    The defining flaw of Alvey’s style is that he’s a counter-puncher who waits for opportunities instead of making his own. When his opponent doesn’t play ball and rush in, he’s content to let rounds slip away from him.

    Luckily for him, Nicholson is exactly the kind of foe that Alvey is built to destroy. Nicholson’s relentless offense produces countering opportunities on the regular and Alvey’s chin is more than durable enough to keep him afloat until his moment arrives. Expect Nicholson to land some hard knocks early on before Alvey gets his timing down and flattens him.

    Prediction: Alvey via first-round knockout


    155 lbs.: Polo Reyes vs. Jason Novelli


    The heavy-handed Polo Reyes (6-3) reached TUF: "Latin America 2" semifinals before falling to teammate and fellow slugger Horacio Gutierrez, who knocked him out in the first round. He’s since gone perfect (2-0) in UFC proper, destroying Cesar Arzamendia and warring with Dong Hyun Kim en route to a brutal third-round knockout.
    Five of his wins have come by form of knockout. Jason Novelli (11-2-1) entered UFC on a five-fight unbeaten streak, the sole blemish a split draw with Yosdenis Cedeno that really should have gone Novelli’s way. "Flipside" made his Octagon debut in August, losing to TUF veteran David Teymur by second-round knockout.Six of his nine stoppage wins came via submission.

    There’s a very good chance that this one winds up being a peach of a fight. Both men are capable on their feet and Reyes proved his brawling prowess in the Kim fight. That said, Novelli’s got a handful of red flags that have me leaning toward the Mexican slugger.

    "Flipside," in addition to pushing 40, seemed hesitant to grapple against both Cedeno and Teymur, the former of whom is notoriously helpless off his back and the latter of whom was kicking his ass in the stand up. If he gives Reyes that same sort of leeway to tee off without fear of takedowns, he’s in for it. Reyes ends an entertaining slugfest with power punches partway through the second.

    Prediction: Reyes via second-round technical knockout


    145 lbs.: Enrique Barzola vs. Chris Avila


    Peru’s Enrique Barzola (11-3-1) became the first non-Mexican to win a TUF: "Latin America" tournament when he dominated Horacio Gutierrez at TUF: "Latin America 2" Finale. He returned to the cage in August, where he dropped a close decision to Kyle Bochniak in Vancouver.He will give up three inches of height to the 5’10" Chris Avila (5-3).

    Avila -- a disciple of the Diaz brothers -- joined UFC on a three-fight win streak ... all finishes. He debuted at UFC 202 against Artem Lobov, who took home a dominant decision over the 23-year-old. He has three wins by knockout and one by submission on his record.There’s Nick Diaz, there’s Nate Diaz, and there’s Avila, whom I think of as Nyquil Diaz. He’s got the reach and the punching style, but none of the pressure or grit that make the brothers such devastating fighters. He couldn’t even keep Artem Lobov off of him and Lobov needs a stepladder to reach his toilet tank.

    Barzola figures to have the advantage pretty much wherever the fight goes. Avila’s call up was simply too much, too soon -- tough to finish or not, he’s badly outgunned. Barzola dominates for 30-27's across the board.

    Prediction: Barzola via unanimous decision
    Part 2




    135 lbs.: Erik Perez (16-6) vs. Felipe Arantes (18-7-1)
    After three first-round finishes in his first three Octagon appearances, "Goyito" hit a 1-2 stretch with losses to Takeya Mizugaki and Bryan Caraway. A seventeen-month layoff followed, since which he’s defeated Taylor Lapilus and Francisco Rivera. He is two years younger than Arantes at twenty-six.
    A 3-3-1 run at featherweight, capped off by a loss to Andre Fili, lead to "Sertanejo" moving down ten pounds in 2015. There, he’s submitted Yves Jabouin and Jerrod Sanders, both of them by armbar. He’s knocked out seven opponents and submitted another six.
    This is a terrific, evenly-matched fight that is more than worth your attention. Both men are proven finishers on the feet and the mat and neither appears content with going to a decision. I’ve got Arantes, whose game is a little more polished and who excels at capitalizing on the sorts of openings Perez’s aggression leaves.
    Arantes’ wrestling still isn’t where it needs to be to crack the division elite, but he’s a match for anyone without the bulldozing takedowns he’s struggled with in the past. He and Perez trade punches and submission attempts for an entertaining fifteen minutes before Arantes gets his hand raised.
    Prediction: Arantes by unanimous decision
    140 lbs.: Marco Beltran (8-3) vs. Joe Soto (16-5)
    Beltran, a member of the inaugural TUF: Latin America cast, reached the semifinals before losing a decision to teammate Jose Alberto Quinones. He's since won three straight in the UFC itself, including an impressive submission of TUF: Brazil 4 winner Reginaldo Vieira his last time out.
    Soto entered the UFC on a six-fight winning streak, which came to an abrupt end five rounds into his last-second title shot against T.J. Dillashaw. Losses to Anthony Birchak and Michinori Tanaka followed, although he managed to choke out Chris Beal in June for his first victory in the promotion. He replaces Guido Cannetti on just four days' notice.
    I've got this one a lot closer than the Tapology users do. Soto's got the better résumé, but he's also struggled to impose his wrestling in the UFC and seems to be outmuscled by the rest of the division; being a phenomenal scrambler doesn't matter much when you can't consistently take it to the mat.
    Still, he's so much more battle-tested than Beltran that it's hard to pick against him. A Beltran win wouldn't surprise me at all, but Soto's veteran savvy and scrappiness ought to carry him to a submission midway through.
    Prediction: Soto by second-round submission
    170 lbs.: Erick Montaño (7-4) vs. Max Griffin (12-3)
    Mexico’s Montaño picked up a pair of first-round stoppages on his way to the Ultimate Fighter: Latin America 2 finals, where he upset teammate Enrique Marin by split decision. This set up a bout with Randy Brown, who choked "Perry" out with a power guillotine early in the third. He’s submitted four opponents and knocked out another two.
    Max "Pain" made his short-notice Octagon debut with eight wins in his previous nine fights, culminating in a forty-three-second knockout of UFC veteran David Mitchell. He couldn’t handle Colby Covington’s wrestling, however, and succumbed to punches midway through the third round. He has six wins by knockout, four of them in the first round.
    Montaño just isn’t all that good. He’s a grappling specialist with flimsy submission defense and neither his striking nor his wrestling are anything to write home about. Griffin has his own issues, especially his tendency to give up the back, but I’m not convinced Montaño can both survive his power and wrestle consistently enough to exploit that flaw.
    So long as Griffin doesn’t come in looking to grapple like Brown did, he should be able to keep it standing and take Montaño out early.
    Prediction: Griffin by first-round TKO
    135 lbs.: Enrique Briones (16-5-1) vs. Douglas Andrade (23-1)
    Fighting for Team Velasquez on The Ultimate Fighter: Latin America, Briones fell in the quarterfinals to a vicious Marlon Vera upkick. He’s gone 1-1 in the UFC itself, choking out castmate Guido Cannetti and becoming the first man to last the distance with Cody Garbrandt in a losing effort. "Henry Bure" has knocked out eight opponents and submitted six.
    Andrade entered the UFC with seven consecutive knockouts, but fell short against fellow striker Zubaira Tukhugov in his promotional debut. One year later, he dropped to bantamweight and upset Cody Gibson in Porto Alegre. He’s knocked out eighteen opponents overall.
    I’m actually torn on this one. Andrade has ferocious power and showed much better counter-wrestling than I expected against Gibson, but he’s only fought twice in the last three years and faced late in that fight. At the same time, the Vera upkick was the only time Briones has ever been knocked out as an amateur or professional; even Garbrandt couldn’t put him away, although he did score a knockdown.
    Still, he can be hurt and I’m willing to put at least some of the blame for Andrade’s cardio issues on it being his bantamweight debut. With more time to acclimate to the weight cut, the Brazilian’s athletic edge and raw power should carry the day. He blitzes Briones early for an impressive finish.
    Prediction: Silva de Andrade by first-round TKO

  18. #53
    JIBBBY
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    Just remember boys, Jibs brings the meat to MMA capping on this forum.. That's why I'm still the undisputed prop king champ until someone better then me steps up and takes me out..


    Professional MMA capper that is a bit drunk right now and ready to watch this game 7 tonight!!!.. ....

    Cheers bitches!!

  19. #54
    UncleChael
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Just remember boys, Jibs brings the meat to MMA capping on this forum.. That's why I'm still the undisputed prop king champ until someone better then me steps up and takes me out..


    Professional MMA capper that is a bit drunk right now and ready to watch this game 7 tonight!!!.. ....

    Cheers bitches!!
    Game 7 is WOW.. Cheers JIBBBYS.
    Youre the prop KING cuz you hedge your bets with UNC picks

  20. #55
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by UncleChael View Post
    Game 7 is WOW.. Cheers JIBBBYS.
    Youre the prop KING cuz you hedge your bets with UNC picks
    Shhhhh don't let the secret out....
    Points Awarded:

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  21. #56
    Demonata
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    I can't wait to make money on lamas, that line has to be a joke

  22. #57
    Thrilla
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    lol

    Why prop king?..... I like the hedge master better.

  23. #58
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Thrilla View Post
    lol

    Why prop king?..... I like the hedge master better.
    Prop King is more professional sounding, hedge master sounds like a gardener.. ..

    I was a little buzzed last night and having some fun on this forum.. SBR is my play ground at times..

    Ok back to topic and time to get serious... Must win money with this event!!!!

  24. #59
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    JIBBY, you are starting to sound like joshknows..

    let's stay humble while we crush the books pal!!

  25. #60
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by JAKEPEAVY21 View Post
    JIBBY, you are starting to sound like joshknows..

    let's stay humble while we crush the books pal!!
    Say it ain't so.. ... I'm not the one posting saying I'm going after the 10 gees.. Don't be hypocritical now Jakester....

    I am a humble soul normally but when drunk I got swag and get fired up what can I do??? Shame on mey!!!

  26. #61
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Say it ain't so.. ... I'm not the one posting saying I'm going after the 10 gees.. Don't be hypocritical now Jakester....

    I am a humble soul normally but when drunk I got swag and get fired up what can I do??? Shame on mey!!!
    I said that after you brought it up

    just giving you some shit pal

  27. #62
    JIBBBY
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    All good Jakester.. No worries ^^^

  28. #63
    JIBBBY
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    Staying off topic.....

    Jake I finally cracked the top 100... I'm pretty happy about this considering I've never had much luck betting football over the years, this year has been different so far.... I've changed up my capping strategies completely and it's helping.. Trying to catch up to you pal..


    Overall Leaderboard
    View All


    Rank Name Record Win Percent Streak Action Units Pending
    1 MBENZ 30-10-0 75.00 % W 3 238.0 +24.78 2 pending
    2 aakj 29-12-1 70.73 % W 2 68.5 +22.77 3 pending
    3 WINGZ 28-13-0 68.29 % W 1 62.0 +21.91 4 pending
    4 JAKEPEAVY21 28-11-1 71.79 % W 5 20.0 +21.78 3 pending
    5 Slipknot26 28-13-0 68.29 % L 2 75.5 +19.60 1 pending
    6 darin67 28-12-1 70.00 % L 2 72.0 +19.47 2 pending
    7 trytrytry 27-12-2 69.23 % L 2 140.5 +18.80 4 pending
    8 SBR Breadman 26-11-2 70.27 % W 1 122.5 +17.78 -
    9 Iwinwithsports 28-13-2 68.29 % W 6 49.0 +17.78 1 pending
    10 stump 26-13-1 66.67 % L 1 56.0 +17.60 -
    95 JIBBBY 23-17-1 57.50 % W 2 12.5 +8.80 4 pending
    403 The Prick 21-19-1 52.50 % L 1 74.0 +2.12 4 pending




    These are my next 4 picks.. Let's see what sticks... I'm liking the favorites again even though it's not Bellator

    Sunday, November 6, 2016
    Play Risk To Win
    N.Y. Jets
    Miami
    00:00
    0
    -
    -
    MIAMI -3.5 (-110) [General] 1.10 1.00
    Dallas
    Cleveland
    00:00
    0
    -
    -
    DALLAS -7 (-110) [General] 1.10 1.00
    New Orleans
    San Francisco
    00:00
    0
    -
    -
    NEW ORLEANS -4 (-115) [General] 1.15 1.00
    Indianapolis
    Green Bay
    00:00
    0
    -
    -
    GREEN BAY -7 (-115) [General] 1.15 1.00
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 11-03-16 at 11:24 PM.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: JAKEPEAVY21

  29. #64
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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    I'm convinced Diego Sanchez is not all there...


  30. #65
    JIBBBY
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    ^^ Diego was never all there Locky.. I'm rolling with him.. I think it's a great style match up for him.. This is how I'm playing it so far..

    $50.00 $340.00 Pending 11/5/16 10:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1305 Sanchez wins inside distance +680* vs Not Sanchez inside distance


    $153.00 $336.60 Pending 11/5/16 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1201 Diego Sanchez +220* vs Marcin Held


    Still might hedge with the Held sub but haven't yet... Hard to envision Diego tapping from an ankle lock.. I think he'd rather have it break in a fight like this..

    Could Held win by decision like he did against Wil Brooks perhaps but I doubt it, Diego is a high energy fast paced fighter so I'm kinda ruling that out especially since this fight is in Mexico.. I'm not convinced Held can out wrestle and put DS on his back either in this fight..

    1231 Held wins by submission
    +250
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 11-04-16 at 12:25 AM.
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  31. #66
    UncleChael
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Yep that Russian ain't no joke.. I'm leaning very slightly towards the Russian myself..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Rashid-Magomedov-41524

    If Daruish can get Magomedov on the ground and on his back he then has a chance though.. I agree with Uncle with the slight wrestling and jits advantage..

    I think Rashid will have the advantage standing...




    I'm certainly considering the sub prop as a hedge for profit though..

    1427 Dariush wins by submission +485
    I'm going to laugh at you after the fight, if you go against Dariush..

  32. #67
    JAKEPEAVY21
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    hopefully we will both finish in the top 10, Jibbster

    I'm having trouble finding games that look good this week, still need to select 2 more.

    What is your new strategy? I have only picked 2 NFL games all year. For me, the NFL is so much harder to beat than college. Anyone can win on a given day in the NFL.

  33. #68
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by JAKEPEAVY21 View Post
    hopefully we will both finish in the top 10, Jibbster

    I'm having trouble finding games that look good this week, still need to select 2 more.

    What is your new strategy? I have only picked 2 NFL games all year. For me, the NFL is so much harder to beat than college. Anyone can win on a given day in the NFL.
    My strategy this year is very simple and that's just to play the hot teams (at home especially) and don't get spooked with the big spreads - with the strong hot offenses - I also like and have been playing the overs regardless of the big lines and defenses they face also.....

    For example - Like last night I took Atlanta -4.5 (x2) because I knew how potent that Falcons offense is.. Figured they would simply out score the Tampa Bucs which they did... Liked the Over as well.. I was right..

    So teams like the Patriots I have also been riding since Brady came back, Greenbay finally looked good last week so I think that carries over to this week at home, Miama Fins got a big win against Buffalo last week so I like them against the struggling Jets at home, Dallas Cowboys just keep finding ways to win and cover so I've been riding them all year, lastly Drew Brees and that offense is as potent as they come right now and like the Falcons I think they will simply out score the 49ers (quarterback struggles) and cover this week..

    In the past I would get spooked by large spreads or large overs and pass, not this year.

    That's about it for my change in NFL capping.. How about you Jake? Got any tips to share that you look for in general?
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 11-04-16 at 11:09 AM.

  34. #69
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by UncleChael View Post
    I'm going to laugh at you after the fight, if you go against Dariush..
    Unc you're selling this Russian short.. Tough Stylistic match up I believe for Dariush going into this one IMO... Russian I think is better with his striking and hits harder..

    Dariush probably better on the ground..

    We'll see what happens and where this fight goes?
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 11-04-16 at 11:23 AM.

  35. #70
    Thrilla
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    - Paul Shaughnessy (@PaulShag) and Cody Saftic (@CJSaftic) break down all the action from UFC Fight Night Mexico City.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Hugo de Naranja

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