1. #1
    dreamlanding
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    Large parlay ends with Jones... hedge advice needed.

    1) No hedge alpha move
    2) Hedge w/ DC moneyline (+175 now)
    3) Hedge w/ Under 4.5 with the logic that DC won't win a decision and hope to middle it
    4) Something else?


    $590.00 $6,781.16 Pending 12 Team Parlay
    Win 1/3/15 10:00am England Soccer 810 Swansea (ENG-FA Cup) -236* vs Tranmere (ENG-FA Cup)
    Win 1/3/15 10:00am England Soccer 817 West Bromwich (ENG-FA Cup) -456* vs Gateshead (ENG-FA Cup)
    Win 1/3/15 10:00am England Soccer 819 Birmingham (ENG-FA Cup) -328* vs Blyth Spartans (ENG-FA Cup)
    Win 1/3/15 10:00am England Soccer 841 Derby (ENG-FA Cup) -623* vs Southport (ENG-FA Cup)
    Win 1/3/15 9:15am France Soccer 1017 Nantes (FRA-Cup) -1088* vs Franciscain (FRA-Cup)
    Win 1/3/15 12:30pm Greece Soccer 1508 PAOK (GRE-S) -369* vs Panionios (GRE-S)
    Win 1/3/15 3:15pm Portugal Soccer 1860 FC Porto (POR) -504* vs Gil Vicente (POR)
    Win 1/3/15 10:00am Scotland Soccer 1911 Rangers (SCO-Cham) -345* vs Dumbarton (SCO-Cham)
    Win 1/3/15 10:00am Spain Soccer 102 Atletico Madrid (ESP-P) Over ½ -1420* vs Levante (ESP-P)
    Win 1/3/15 12:00pm Spain Soccer 105 Sevilla (ESP-P) Over ½ -685* vs Celta Vigo (ESP-P)
    Win 1/3/15 4:00pm Spain Soccer 117 Malaga (ESP-P) Over ½ -670* vs Almeria (ESP-P)
    Pending 1/3/15 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1002 Jon Jones -175* vs Daniel Cormier

  2. #2
    mirinquads
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    Let it ride you lil pussy
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  3. #3
    dreamlanding
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    Loading up on longshot DC props might be fun though

  4. #4
    UncleChael
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    Lemme tail you next time, Pal!

  5. #5
    JIBBBY
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    Nice run even with mostly all the bets being heavy favorites!!..... Impressive!!!!!

  6. #6
    Beelzebubzy
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    590 on DC but I'm a bitch

  7. #7
    NunyaBidness
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    In order of best decisions to make:

    1) Don't hedge, if you liked it when you placed it what changed? If you were going to hedge, you would've been better to leave it off completely.

    2) Cormier +4.5 gives you a chance to hit a middle.

    3) Cormier ML.

    4) Anything else is retarded, can easily lose both.
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  8. #8
    rocky16
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    $7371.16 DC +175 to win 12899.53.

  9. #9
    Git Lo
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    Hedging jones?? Y

  10. #10
    brooks85
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    Hedging is based on one thing and one thing only, math.

    If you want to look at it from an investment point of view, whether you should hedge or not, depends on how big your bank roll is.

    However, the odds of it being big enough to just ignore a free 3k is highly unlikely so no point in even going further.



    I've been wrong before and will be again but not on hedging. Here is an example of the last guy who ignored my advice(math)

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...ions-here.html
    Last edited by brooks85; 01-03-15 at 09:52 PM.

  11. #11
    dreamlanding
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    Full hedge on DC moneyline. Last poster was correct, free 3k to watch the fight in peace was worth it. I'm wavering slightly on Jones from a lot of stuff people are writing plus the earlier line movement.

  12. #12
    Sykes
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    That's some Dugan bet. Hedge to get at least 2k out of it.

  13. #13
    Sykes
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    Degan....

  14. #14
    mirinquads
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    Quote Originally Posted by dreamlanding View Post
    Full hedge on DC moneyline. Last poster was correct, free 3k to watch the fight in peace was worth it. I'm wavering slightly on Jones from a lot of stuff people are writing plus the earlier line movement.
    You still there, pussy?

  15. #15
    marzwoody
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    Hedging is for pussys.
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  16. #16
    Git Lo
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    Lmao so you just throw out 1k, like others said man up

  17. #17
    marzwoody
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    You hedge on the champ / Pound for pound best? fkn puss.

  18. #18
    Sykes
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    Nice win man. You poxed them football scores big time. Fuk the haters that's a nice win.

  19. #19
    NunyaBidness
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sykes View Post
    Nice win man. You poxed them football scores big time. Fuk the haters that's a nice win.
    People always go nuts congratulating people on hitting these big stupid parlays. Yeah, it'd be great to play one and hit one, but he's probably got 50 losers just like it. Finally hits one and throws away some of his profit.
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  20. #20
    Sykes
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    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    People always go nuts congratulating people on hitting these big stupid parlays. Yeah, it'd be great to play one and hit one, but he's probably got 50 losers just like it. Finally hits one and throws away some of his profit.
    Man you can buy a car with that money. Id of arb'd like fuk. Dont get me wrong, he got so lucky with that football serious, football always fuks u, it does time n time again, betting 590 on it think he really dont need the 3k.

  21. #21
    MD
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    Quote Originally Posted by brooks85 View Post
    Hedging is based on one thing and one thing only, math.

    If you want to look at it from an investment point of view, whether you should hedge or not, depends on how big your bank roll is.

    However, the odds of it being big enough to just ignore a free 3k is highly unlikely so no point in even going further.



    I've been wrong before and will be again but not on hedging. Here is an example of the last guy who ignored my advice(math)

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...ions-here.html
    What a surprise, the guy who doesn't understand EV gives even more absolutely terrible advice about another topic which you clearly don't understand.

    Being a failed gambler is sad, but being a failed betpoint poker player is pathetic. Enjoy your life.

  22. #22
    Sykes
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    A guy that bet this bet is either. R

  23. #23
    Sykes
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    This guy is either rich or has plenty of money. The picks are so 'all the favorites' for $590. 590 is nice money people can live off that shit ya know.

  24. #24
    Sykes
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    Like Nun, do you just do parlays for 600 for the craic?

  25. #25
    Sykes
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    you prolly do. Me n u need to make a site.

  26. #26
    NunyaBidness
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sykes View Post
    Like Nun, do you just do parlays for 600 for the craic?
    I dunno what craic is, but I rarely do parlays.

  27. #27
    Sykes
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    Well - thats wat his bet was imo. That or an all in fuk it bet.

  28. #28
    mirinquads
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    Quote Originally Posted by mirinquads View Post
    You still there, pussy?
    Told you son. You threw a car down the drain.

  29. #29
    marzwoody
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sykes View Post
    This guy is either rich or has plenty of money. The picks are so 'all the favorites' for $590. 590 is nice money people can live off that shit ya know.
    Yes 590$ is a lot of money. especially betting it on a big parlay, mostly made up of dumb unpredictable football matches. honestly that shit is ridiculous. not gonna act like some big dikk bandit over here.

  30. #30
    marzwoody
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    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    In order of best decisions to make:

    1) Don't hedge, if you liked it when you placed it what changed? If you were going to hedge, you would've been better to leave it off completely.

    2) Cormier +4.5 gives you a chance to hit a middle.

    3) Cormier ML.

    4) Anything else is retarded, can easily lose both.
    This.

  31. #31
    Sykes
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    Quote Originally Posted by marzwoody View Post
    Yes 590$ is a lot of money. especially betting it on a big parlay, mostly made up of dumb unpredictable football matches. honestly that shit is ridiculous. not gonna act like some big dikk bandit over here.
    Dude asked ofr advice on betting more than you can get for a weeks work, For more that you can go change your life with, go get a car, some mad nights out n shit. Comon. Kid.
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  32. #32
    Educ8d Degener8
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    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    I dunno what craic is, but I rarely do parlays.
    You're missing out. Parlays are magic.

  33. #33
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Educ8d Degener8 View Post
    You're missing out. Parlays are magic.
    I think they are magic in MMA when the odds are slightly over your comfort zone for betting straight.. Other sports it's poorlays in my humble opinion for what ever it's worth.. Like Nunya says tease it instead with point spreads.....

  34. #34
    NunyaBidness
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Like Nunya says tease it instead with point spreads.....
    I dream of a day when Tony let's me tease MMA handicaps.

  35. #35
    brooks85
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    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    What a surprise, the guy who doesn't understand EV gives even more absolutely terrible advice about another topic which you clearly don't understand.

    Being a failed gambler is sad, but being a failed betpoint poker player is pathetic. Enjoy your life.
    lol idiot, how many times do you want to get embarrassed?

    you must have a very strong protective ego

    and thanks for admitting you have no idea how to hedge, that is a fact. Just like you completely made up a term, another FACT.

    Just like you will NEVER enter a contest that has even a shred of accountability. FACT





    Quote Originally Posted by brooks85 View Post
    Just like you will NEVER enter a contest that has even a shred of accountability. FACT

    oh and just like you won't address this for 10th time. FACT
    Last edited by brooks85; 01-04-15 at 09:53 AM.

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