[saminex]

Opening Lines:

UFC Fighting Money Line Total Points
UFC 179 - Featherweight 5 rounds - Ginasio do Maracanazinho - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil - PPV
Sat 10/25 1001 Chad Mendes +220 o4½ -115
11:59PM 1002 Jose Aldo -280 u4½ -115
UFC 179 - Light Heavyweight 3 rounds - Ginasio do Maracanazinho - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil - PPV
Sat 10/25 1101 Phil Davis +205 o2½ -190
11:30PM 1102 Glover Teixeira -285 u2½ +150
Sat 10/25 1201 Hans Stringer +110 o2½ -190
11:00PM 1202 Fabio Maldonado -150 u2½ +150
UFC 179 - Featherweight 3 rounds - Ginasio do Maracanazinho - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil - PPV
Sat 10/25 1301 Lucas Martins +110 o2½ -135
10:30PM 1302 Darren Elkins -150 u2½ -105
UFC 179 - Lightweight 3 rounds - Ginasio do Maracanazinho - Rio de Janeiro, Brazil - PPV
Sat 10/25 1401 Beneil Dariush +180 o2½ +125
10:00PM 1402 Carlos Diego Ferreira -260 u2½ -105

For the moment i like:

Aldo (-280)
Elkins (-175)

[saminex]

Aldo v Mendes analysis

This is a rematch of a fight from UFC 142. Although two years have passed, I see the outcome of the fight being the same. Jose Aldo is just a dangerous fighter. He is an excellent striker, has great leg kicks. Although not too much of a wrestler, fighters are so preoccupied with his striking that he nails 75% of his takedowns. Additionally, he has fought some great wrestlers(Lamas, Edgar) and has stuffed 91% of the takedowns. Even, when taking to the ground he has excellent grappling to get back to his feet.


Mendes remains the same fighter since UFC 142, He has a ton of power and good striking. He is an extremely good wrestler as well and shoots an awesome double leg to get his opponent to the ground. Unfortunately once on the ground, he doesn't have great grappling and uses the top position to smother rather than do damage. He has great takedown defense, and never has anyone taken down Mendes but I don't see Aldo looking for the fight to the ground in this fight, anyway.


The issue for this fight is the same ones Mendes faced in 2012. He shot 7 times in their last fight and was unable to get Aldo down a single time. Additionally, although he landed peppery shots it was clear that Aldo had the cleaner, stronger strikes. If Aldo is able to land his leg kicks, he will sap Mendes takedown ability. And that's whats going to happen again in this fight. Mendes has good striking, but nowhere near the capabilities of Aldo. Aldo has a 4 inch reach advantage and a baseball bat for a leg. I don't see Mendes being able to take Aldo down, and this fight will be in Aldo's domain with Aldo beating Mendes on the feet.

[mirinquads]

You can't even do an event thread right. Fooken embarrasing.