1. 05-26-14 10:35 AM #1
    THE_LOCKSMITH
    THE_LOCKSMITH's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-25-08
    Posts: 7,237
    Betpoints: 5224

    TUF Brazil 3 Finale: Maldonado vs. Miocic (May 31, 2014)



    FOX Sports 1, 10 p.m. ET
    Fabio Maldonado vs. Stipe Miocic
    Antonio Carlos Jr. vs. Vitor Miranda
    Warlley Alves de Andrade vs. Marcio Alexandre Jr.
    Demian Maia vs. Alexander Yakovlev
    Rony Jason vs. Robert Peralta

    FOX Sports 1, 8 p.m. ET
    Rodrigo Damm vs. Rashid Magomedov
    Ernest Chavez vs. Elias Silverio
    Paulo Thiago vs. Gasan Umalatov
    Mark Eddiva vs. Kevin Souza

    UFC Fight Pass, 6:30 p.m. ET
    Ricardo Abreu vs. Wagner Silva
    Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs. Richardson Moreira
    Matt Hobar vs. Pedro Munhoz

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 05-27-14 06:58 PM #2
    Lick496
    Lick496's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-11
    Posts: 590
    Betpoints: 2196

    my sweet sweet Paulo Thiago...

    oh god i wonder what the line on Maia is going to be
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 05-27-14 08:01 PM #3
    Ron_Paul_2012
    Ron_Paul_2012's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-13
    Posts: 3,953
    Betpoints: 3985

    Quote Originally Posted by Lick496 View Post
    my sweet sweet Paulo Thiago...

    oh god i wonder what the line on Maia is going to be
    The russian he is fighting is decent. He might have better striking than Maia & his wrestling is good. His MO is ground & pound. But Maia will probably sub him via triangle or arm bar.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 05-27-14 09:17 PM #4
    Lick496
    Lick496's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-11
    Posts: 590
    Betpoints: 2196

    ya, but 3 of his 4 losses were by sub
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 05-28-14 11:28 AM #5
    Beelzebubzy
    Beelzebubzy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-06-11
    Posts: 6,995
    Betpoints: 5104

    Is Jason the best play of the card for actual UFC fighters?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 05-28-14 11:44 AM #6
    Wilbo86
    Wilbo86's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-14
    Posts: 753
    Betpoints: 2706

    I can't believe I'm about to say this but...

    ...if the line moves against Moldonado, which i assume it will, there might be some ever so slight value.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 05-28-14 11:49 AM #7
    NunyaBidness
    NunyaBidness has a posse
    NunyaBidness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-26-09
    Posts: 9,345
    Betpoints: 4507

    Quote Originally Posted by Wilbo86 View Post
    I can't believe I'm about to say this but...

    ...if the line moves against Moldonado, which i assume it will, there might be some ever so slight value.
    I think the market already agrees with that to some extent. It seems like this line should've hit -1000 pretty fast.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 05-28-14 11:59 AM #8
    MD
    MD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 9,728
    Betpoints: 254

    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    I think the market already agrees with that to some extent. It seems like this line should've hit -1000 pretty fast.
    Yeah, I had the same feeling, especially since there seems to be a trend of steam coming in on heavy favourites and driving their numbers up.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 05-28-14 12:16 PM #9
    TheCalculator
    TheCalculator's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-10-11
    Posts: 1,683
    Betpoints: 5633

    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    Yeah, I had the same feeling, especially since there seems to be a trend of steam coming in on heavy favourites and driving their numbers up.
    Fight day is when the line has been moving heavily. Hoping for more of the same. Weigh ins should help since Fabio will look like a bag of milk.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 05-28-14 01:10 PM #10
    Wilbo86
    Wilbo86's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-14
    Posts: 753
    Betpoints: 2706

    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    I think the market already agrees with that to some extent. It seems like this line should've hit -1000 pretty fast.
    So what you're saying is your max bets haven't even put a dent in the lines then?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 05-28-14 03:16 PM #11
    FightFightFight
    FightFightFight's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-21-11
    Posts: 594
    Betpoints: 168

    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    Yeah, I had the same feeling, especially since there seems to be a trend of steam coming in on heavy favourites and driving their numbers up.
    Those guys are broke now though.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 05-28-14 03:55 PM #12
    NunyaBidness
    NunyaBidness has a posse
    NunyaBidness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-26-09
    Posts: 9,345
    Betpoints: 4507

    Quote Originally Posted by Wilbo86 View Post
    So what you're saying is your max bets haven't even put a dent in the lines then?
    Heh, I haven't bet it. I rarely cap main events as the lines tend to get released before I get around to looking at them, and I have difficulty coming up with a good number once I'm anchored to a release.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 05-28-14 04:25 PM #13
    Wilbo86
    Wilbo86's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-14
    Posts: 753
    Betpoints: 2706

    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    Heh, I haven't bet it. I rarely cap main events as the lines tend to get released before I get around to looking at them, and I have difficulty coming up with a good number once I'm anchored to a release.
    No comprende...? main events usually have the most value and highest limits?

    I like to think I can still cap decently even when anchored.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 05-28-14 04:33 PM #14
    NunyaBidness
    NunyaBidness has a posse
    NunyaBidness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-26-09
    Posts: 9,345
    Betpoints: 4507

    I'm speaking for myself only.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 05-30-14 02:13 AM #15
    Skel
    Skel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-04-14
    Posts: 1,284
    Betpoints: 0

    Alexander Yakovlev (Russian: Александр Яковлев, born July 18, 1984), also known as Sultan Tikhaev, is a Russian mixed martial artist and rapper.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 05-30-14 04:03 PM #16
    Imsmarterthanu
    Imsmarterthanu's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-02-12
    Posts: 1,878
    Betpoints: 293

    Found this funny ass ending to one of Warley Alves fights

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 05-30-14 04:10 PM #17
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,084
    Betpoints: 11901

    Didn't even see this thread... http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2...nd-predictions
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 05-30-14 05:00 PM #18
    Lick496
    Lick496's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-11
    Posts: 590
    Betpoints: 2196

    im liking a lot of the underdogs chances...especially being in brazil
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 05-30-14 05:54 PM #19
    Skel
    Skel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-04-14
    Posts: 1,284
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by Lick496 View Post
    im liking a lot of the underdogs chances...especially being in brazil
    Why does the fight being in Brazil give the underdogs better chances?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 05-30-14 07:07 PM #20
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,084
    Betpoints: 11901

    ^^^Stipe Miocic and Damian Maia in a parlay bet is the call I think.. I certainly don't see the dogs winning in either of those 2 fights...

    Maia should have an easy time, and as long as Stipe doesn't stand and trade too much I can't see him losing either.....

    Stipe should own Maldonado on the ground even though Maldonado has shown decent take down defense in his previous fights.. Stipe is too big, strong and athletic and should get the take downs at will and then commence the brutal ground and pound is my thinking..

    Still got to bet a lot to win a little unfortunately.. A win is a win though...
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 05-30-14 at 07:11 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 05-30-14 08:30 PM #21
    Skel
    Skel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-04-14
    Posts: 1,284
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    ^^^Stipe Miocic and Damian Maia in a parlay bet is the call I think.. I certainly don't see the dogs winning in either of those 2 fights...

    Maia should have an easy time, and as long as Stipe doesn't stand and trade too much I can't see him losing either.....

    Stipe should own Maldonado on the ground even though Maldonado has shown decent take down defense in his previous fights.. Stipe is too big, strong and athletic and should get the take downs at will and then commence the brutal ground and pound is my thinking..

    Still got to bet a lot to win a little unfortunately.. A win is a win though...
    Add Elias Silverio to the parlay and you're at almost even odds. Stipe should win as long as he fights with a modicum of intelligence and puts Maldonado away on the ground. The only way Maia should lose is if he gasses out and even then the fight will likely be close. I'm on all chalk this weekend, so I'm hoping the favorites come through.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 05-30-14 08:33 PM #22
    Lick496
    Lick496's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-11
    Posts: 590
    Betpoints: 2196

    i feel like judging is particularly shady there, no? I feel like that was a factor a while back but i could be mistaken for somewhere else. Damm and Magomedov have been going to a lot of decisions lately, im liking the brazilian at home.

    But, im also a good fade
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 05-30-14 09:00 PM #23
    Skel
    Skel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-04-14
    Posts: 1,284
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by Lick496 View Post
    i feel like judging is particularly shady there, no? I feel like that was a factor a while back but i could be mistaken for somewhere else. Damm and Magomedov have been going to a lot of decisions lately, im liking the brazilian at home.

    But, im also a good fade
    That could very well be a close fight. I have a little on the over, which is sitting at -175 right now on 5D.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 05-30-14 10:37 PM #24
    Unwritten Law
    Unwritten Law's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-31-13
    Posts: 2,532
    Betpoints: -1617

    Stipe over Maldonado
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 05-31-14 12:56 AM #25
    Ron_Paul_2012
    Ron_Paul_2012's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-13
    Posts: 3,953
    Betpoints: 3985

    Quote Originally Posted by Lick496 View Post
    i feel like judging is particularly shady there, no? I feel like that was a factor a while back but i could be mistaken for somewhere else. Damm and Magomedov have been going to a lot of decisions lately, im liking the brazilian at home.

    But, im also a good fade
    Mago is no joke. He has a victory vs Maia's opponent. He defeated the Russian rapper at 170 lbs. His striking is better than Damm's & Damm will not be able to get the fight to the ground.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 05-31-14 02:14 AM #26
    Skel
    Skel's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-04-14
    Posts: 1,284
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by Ron_Paul_2012 View Post
    Mago is no joke. He has a victory vs Maia's opponent. He defeated the Russian rapper at 170 lbs. His striking is better than Damm's & Damm will not be able to get the fight to the ground.
    Both Yakovlev and Tony Martin were able to get him down in the first round (Yakovlev in the second as well) but Magomedov was able to defend further attempts and win the striking. With the way Damm's been fighting lately, I'm not entirely sure if he'll shoot in at all. I see Magomedov taking a decision or late stoppage.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 05-31-14 10:05 AM #27
    Ron_Paul_2012
    Ron_Paul_2012's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-13
    Posts: 3,953
    Betpoints: 3985

    Bookmaker took the entire Miocic vs Maldonado card down. What's going on?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 05-31-14 10:35 AM #28
    NunyaBidness
    NunyaBidness has a posse
    NunyaBidness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-26-09
    Posts: 9,345
    Betpoints: 4507

    Quote Originally Posted by Ron_Paul_2012 View Post
    Bookmaker took the entire Miocic vs Maldonado card down. What's going on?
    Nope.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 05-31-14 05:28 PM #29
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,084
    Betpoints: 11901

    The double header is about to start now!!!!!... MMA overdose today...

    Who's on board for this one too?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 05-31-14 05:34 PM #30
    Ron_Paul_2012
    Ron_Paul_2012's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-13
    Posts: 3,953
    Betpoints: 3985

    I'm on Munhoz.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 05-31-14 05:36 PM #31
    THE_LOCKSMITH
    THE_LOCKSMITH's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-25-08
    Posts: 7,237
    Betpoints: 5224

    hur we go!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 05-31-14 05:41 PM #32
    Jim_Gunn
    Update your status
    Jim_Gunn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-19-13
    Posts: 542
    Betpoints: 0

    TUF Brazil 3: Risk $600.50

    Fabio Maldonado (+450) vs Stipe Miocic $25.00 for $112.50
    Stipe Miocic/Fabio Maldonado Over 2½ (-125) $62.50 for $50.00
    Miocic wins by 5 rnd unanimous decision (+320) $10.00 for $32.00
    Antonio Carlos Junior (-170) vs Vitor Miranda $85.00 for $50.00
    Miranda wins by 3 round decision (+458) $5.00 for $22.90
    Warlley Alves (-185) vs Marcio Alexandre Junior $46.25 for $25.00
    Alexandre Jr wins by 3 round decision (+467) $5.00 for $23.35

    Mark Eddiva (+270) vs Kevin Souza $25.00 for $67.50
    Abreu wins by 3 round decision (+196) $15.00 for $29.40
    Marcos Rogerio de Lima (-135) vs Richardson Moreira $33.75 for $25.00

    Parlays:
    Demian Maia (-460) + Rony Jason (-280) $77.00 for $50.22
    Elias Silverio (-410) + Rashid Magomedov (-290) $149.00 for $100.25
    Ricardo Abreu (-320) + Pedro Munhoz (-265) $62.00 for $50.08
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 05-31-14 05:45 PM #33
    Bumdeal
    Twirling his mustache
    Bumdeal's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-13
    Posts: 3,954
    Betpoints: 2984

    oops. was posting in the wrong thread. was big on Pedro! woot
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 05-31-14 05:51 PM #34
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,084
    Betpoints: 11901

    Hobart got steam rolled...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 05-31-14 05:53 PM #35
    Bumdeal
    Twirling his mustache
    Bumdeal's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-16-13
    Posts: 3,954
    Betpoints: 2984

    im parlay crazy tonight, lets see which fighter buries me!

    $50.00 $93.45 Pending 5 Team Parlay
    Pending 5/31/14 11:59pm UFC Fighting 2001 Stipe Miocic -620* vs Fabio Maldonado
    Pending 5/31/14 10:30pm UFC Fighting 2302 Demian Maia -485* vs Alexander Yakovlev
    Pending 5/31/14 10:00pm UFC Fighting 2401 Rony Jason -335* vs Robbie Peralta
    Pending 5/31/14 9:30pm UFC Fighting 2501 Rashid Magomedov -330* vs Rodrigo Damm
    Pending 5/31/14 9:00pm UFC Fighting 2601 Elias Silverio -475* vs Ernest Chavez


    $50.00 $87.50 Pending 5/31/14 8:30pm UFC Fighting 2701 Gasan Umalatov +175* vs Paulo Thiago


    $30.00 $82.50 Pending 5/31/14 8:00pm UFC Fighting 2801 Mark Eddiva +275* vs Kevin Souza


    $30.00 $78.00 Pending 5/31/14 7:00pm UFC Fighting 3002 Wagner Silva +260* vs Ricardo Abreu


    $160.00 $100.00 Pending 5/31/14 7:30pm UFC Fighting 2901 Marcos Rogerio de Lima -160* vs Richardson Moreira


    5/31/14 4:34pm $250.00 $155.80 Pending 2 Team Parlay
    Pending 5/31/14 9:00pm UFC Fighting 2601 Elias Silverio -460* vs Ernest Chavez
    Win 5/31/14 6:30pm UFC Fighting 3102 Pedro Munhoz -300* vs Matt Hobar


    5/31/14 4:32pm $100.00 $162.12 Pending 4 Team Parlay
    Win 5/31/14 4:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Gegard Mousasi -265* vs Mark Munoz
    Pending 5/31/14 11:59pm UFC Fighting 2001 Stipe Miocic -580* vs Fabio Maldonado
    Pending 5/31/14 9:00pm UFC Fighting 2601 Elias Silverio -460* vs Ernest Chavez
    Win 5/31/14 6:30pm UFC Fighting 3102 Pedro Munhoz -300* vs Matt Hobar


    5/31/14 3:13pm $75.00 $119.63 Pending 4 Team Parlay
    Win 5/31/14 4:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Gegard Mousasi -275* vs Mark Munoz
    Pending 5/31/14 11:59pm UFC Fighting 2001 Stipe Miocic -580* vs Fabio Maldonado
    Pending 5/31/14 9:00pm UFC Fighting 2601 Elias Silverio -460* vs Ernest Chavez
    Win 5/31/14 6:30pm UFC Fighting 3102 Pedro Munhoz -300* vs Matt Hobar


    5/30/14 1:28am $50.00 $127.71 Pending 5 Team Parlay
    Win 5/31/14 12:00pm UFC Fighting 1602 Iuri Alcantara -370* vs Vaughan Lee
    Pending 5/31/14 10:30pm UFC Fighting 2001 Stipe Miocic -500* vs Fabio Maldonado
    Pending 5/31/14 8:30pm UFC Fighting 2401 Rony Jason -270* vs Robbie Peralta
    Pending 5/31/14 7:30pm UFC Fighting 2601 Elias Silverio -450* vs Ernest Chavez
    Win 5/31/14 5:00pm UFC Fighting 3102 Pedro Munhoz -255* vs Matt Hobar
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
1234 ... Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Boxing, MMA & UFC Betting | Next Thread »