1. 01-10-13 03:36 PM #106
    Sacrelicious
    Sacrelicious's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-29-12
    Posts: 5,984
    Betpoints: 1223

    Dont mean to look like I'm tailing you MD, but those are the logical plays.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 01-10-13 04:04 PM #107
    NunyaBidness
    NunyaBidness has a posse
    NunyaBidness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-26-09
    Posts: 9,345
    Betpoints: 4507

    You guys really think Cormier wins > 95% of the time? Seems silly to me.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 01-10-13 04:07 PM #108
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    yeah, hell he broke his hand in last fight, whats to say it doesnt happen again and has to quit at end of round 2! tht would be tragic!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 01-10-13 04:07 PM #109
    MD
    MD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 9,728
    Betpoints: 254

    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    You guys really think Cormier wins > 95% of the time? Seems silly to me.
    No, they're -EV parlays; Barnett is a losing play, also. There's an argument to be made that all of them are -EV, barring Marquardt, I think.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 01-10-13 05:52 PM #110
    Beelzebubzy
    Beelzebubzy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-06-11
    Posts: 6,995
    Betpoints: 5104

    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    yeah, hell he broke his hand in last fight, whats to say it doesnt happen again and has to quit at end of round 2! tht would be tragic!
    Exactly
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 01-10-13 06:04 PM #111
    Grabaka
    Update your status
    Grabaka's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-19-11
    Posts: 3,216
    Betpoints: 4034

    Mike Kyle $100.00 350 P

    Anthony Smith $100.00 260 P

    Tarec Saffiedine $100.00 250 P

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 01-10-13 06:24 PM #112
    Crassus
    Crassus's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-08-12
    Posts: 1,538
    Betpoints: 1058

    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    You guys really think Cormier wins > 95% of the time? Seems silly to me.
    Sometimes those instances occur.

    Edit:

    Is this card worthy of a 2U all-favorites on the main-card win parlay? It's happened at least twice in Strikeforce recently.
    Last edited by Crassus; 01-10-13 at 06:42 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 01-10-13 06:42 PM #113
    NunyaBidness
    NunyaBidness has a posse
    NunyaBidness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-26-09
    Posts: 9,345
    Betpoints: 4507

    Quote Originally Posted by Crassus View Post
    Sometimes those instances occur.
    Of course they do. But probably not in MMA. And if they do occur in MMA, probably not in Heavyweight MMA. And if they do occur in Heavyweight MMA, probably not when that guy has a history of kidney damage and broken hands.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 01-10-13 06:44 PM #114
    Crassus
    Crassus's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-08-12
    Posts: 1,538
    Betpoints: 1058

    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    Of course they do. But probably not in MMA. And if they do occur in MMA, probably not in Heavyweight MMA. And if they do occur in Heavyweight MMA, probably not when that guy has a history of kidney damage and broken hands.
    Probably fair...is there a cormier by sub prop anywhere?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 01-10-13 10:04 PM #115
    MMAbetMASTA
    MMAbetMASTA's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-24-11
    Posts: 1,931
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by Grabaka View Post
    Mike Kyle $100.00 350 P

    Anthony Smith $100.00 260 P

    Tarec Saffiedine $100.00 250 P

    playing smith and saff as well, there's some value there me thinks..

    Prices are way too steep for most these SF favs imo
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 01-10-13 10:24 PM #116
    JamesKim
    JamesKim's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-03-12
    Posts: 392
    Betpoints: 350

    How on earth does Saff beat Marquardt?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 01-10-13 11:57 PM #117
    Fenster
    Fenster's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-03-10
    Posts: 145
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by Grabaka View Post
    Mike Kyle $100.00 350 P

    Anthony Smith $100.00 260 P

    Tarec Saffiedine $100.00 250 P

    You'd be better off donating that to The Michael J. Fox Foundation for Parkinson's Disease Research.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 01-11-13 12:31 AM #118
    The Fobfather
    The Fobfather's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-25-12
    Posts: 156
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by JamesKim View Post
    How on earth does Saff beat Marquardt?
    Keep it standing, out strike him on the feet, and avoid the KO.

    Not saying it happens. But I am on Saff at +300
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 01-11-13 12:48 AM #119
    NunyaBidness
    NunyaBidness has a posse
    NunyaBidness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-26-09
    Posts: 9,345
    Betpoints: 4507

    Quote Originally Posted by Fenster View Post
    You'd be better off donating that to The Michael J. Fox Foundation for Parkinson's Disease Research.
    That's probably true. It is a good cause.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 01-11-13 01:19 AM #120
    Grabaka
    Update your status
    Grabaka's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-19-11
    Posts: 3,216
    Betpoints: 4034

    Quote Originally Posted by Fenster View Post
    You'd be better off donating that to The Michael J. Fox Foundation for Parkinson's Disease Research.
    Oh its you again? I do not donate to bogus foundations nor i listen to people that cant stablish a discussion. BTW cool breakdown.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 01-11-13 01:26 AM #121
    Grabaka
    Update your status
    Grabaka's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-19-11
    Posts: 3,216
    Betpoints: 4034

    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    That's probably true. It is a good cause.
    Never
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 01-11-13 01:27 AM #122
    JamesKim
    JamesKim's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-03-12
    Posts: 392
    Betpoints: 350

    Quote Originally Posted by The Fobfather View Post
    Keep it standing, out strike him on the feet, and avoid the KO.

    Not saying it happens. But I am on Saff at +300
    Ok.... How does he keep it standing, how does he oustrick Marquardt when he is the inferior striker, and how does he avoid the KO if Marquardt decides he's gonna keep it standing?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 01-11-13 03:23 AM #123
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    Quote Originally Posted by JamesKim View Post
    Ok.... How does he keep it standing, how does he oustrick Marquardt when he is the inferior striker, and how does he avoid the KO if Marquardt decides he's gonna keep it standing?
    How do you know he's an inferior striker?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 01-11-13 03:23 AM #124
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    Quote Originally Posted by Grabaka View Post
    Mike Kyle $100.00 350 P

    Anthony Smith $100.00 260 P

    Tarec Saffiedine $100.00 250 P

    Gl buddy, like your style cuz
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 01-11-13 03:51 AM #125
    Sacrelicious
    Sacrelicious's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-29-12
    Posts: 5,984
    Betpoints: 1223

    Quote Originally Posted by Grabaka View Post
    Mike Kyle $100.00 350 P

    Anthony Smith $100.00 260 P

    Tarec Saffiedine $100.00 250 P

    Very, very ballsy plays. I'm saving my ballsy plays for the next UFC PPV and going for favorites on this show, best of luck.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 01-11-13 03:53 AM #126
    Bagalut
    Bagalut's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-26-12
    Posts: 125
    Betpoints: 647

    I´m on Anthony Smith @ +279 aswell.

    Thinking about adding a play on Trevor Smith @ +385 aswell cause I give him a chance to submit Kennedy...but im too scared of him beeing exploited in the standup...so i will probably stay away from this.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 01-11-13 04:06 AM #127
    Grabaka
    Update your status
    Grabaka's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-19-11
    Posts: 3,216
    Betpoints: 4034

    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Gl buddy, like your style cuz
    Thank you cuz. I learned a lot from you. One of my senseis with sbjj, ezflyer and bankable.

    Quote Originally Posted by Sacrelicious View Post
    Very, very ballsy plays. I'm saving my ballsy plays for the next UFC PPV and going for favorites on this show, best of luck.
    Yep im gonna need that luck but im really hoping we get live betting on this event. I see them all doing good for a while and then probably lose. Thanks amigo Gl too.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 01-11-13 08:45 AM #128
    fattytrellis
    fattytrellis's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-16-12
    Posts: 18
    Betpoints: 609

    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    No, they're -EV parlays; Barnett is a losing play, also. There's an argument to be made that all of them are -EV, barring Marquardt, I think.
    So why are you betting them?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 01-11-13 09:02 AM #129
    MD
    MD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 9,728
    Betpoints: 254

    Quote Originally Posted by fattytrellis View Post
    So why are you betting them?
    Did you read my original post?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 01-11-13 10:12 AM #130
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    edit
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 01-11-13 10:36 AM #131
    fattytrellis
    fattytrellis's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-16-12
    Posts: 18
    Betpoints: 609

    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    Did you read my original post?
    I just didn't think that there were people who didn't like money.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 01-11-13 10:39 AM #132
    NunyaBidness
    NunyaBidness has a posse
    NunyaBidness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-26-09
    Posts: 9,345
    Betpoints: 4507

    Quote Originally Posted by fattytrellis View Post
    I just didn't think that there were people who didn't like money.
    Really? Have you walked into a casino, ever?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 01-11-13 11:22 AM #133
    Oblivian
    Oblivian's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-12
    Posts: 163
    Betpoints: 721

    Quote Originally Posted by fattytrellis View Post
    I just didn't think that there were people who didn't like money.
    You've never met anyone who is white trash?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 01-11-13 11:37 AM #134
    MD
    MD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 9,728
    Betpoints: 254

    Quote Originally Posted by fattytrellis View Post
    I just didn't think that there were people who didn't like money.
    I like having action more than I like petty amounts of money, it's fair to say.

    Also, guiz, contemplating putting some money down on Marquardt to fade DeFacto (whom I'm assuming is fading James Kim; read about this and other effective betting strategies in my new e-book "Advanced MMA Fading").
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 01-11-13 11:45 AM #135
    Sacrelicious
    Sacrelicious's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-29-12
    Posts: 5,984
    Betpoints: 1223

    Quote Originally Posted by MD View Post
    I like having action more than I like petty amounts of money, it's fair to say.

    Also, guiz, contemplating putting some money down on Marquardt to fade DeFacto (whom I'm assuming is fading James Kim; read about this and other effective betting strategies in my new e-book "Advanced MMA Fading").
    Can I pre order it on Amazon?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 01-11-13 11:52 AM #136
    MD
    MD's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 9,728
    Betpoints: 254

    Quote Originally Posted by Sacrelicious View Post
    Can I pre order it on Amazon?
    You could, up to a couple of weeks ago, but then people started fading it and Amazon refused to stock it any more; which leads me to believe that copies of the book had previously leaked and I was now getting Jewed by my own system, like when people used Limewire to pirate Limewire Pro.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 01-11-13 12:45 PM #137
    Fenster
    Fenster's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-03-10
    Posts: 145
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by Grabaka View Post
    Oh its you again? I do not donate to bogus foundations nor i listen to people that cant stablish a discussion. BTW cool breakdown.
    Bogus foundations? lol
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 01-11-13 12:46 PM #138
    Fenster
    Fenster's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-03-10
    Posts: 145
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    How do you know he's an inferior striker?
    Probably the same way I know: watching their fights. Was this a serious question?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 01-11-13 12:54 PM #139
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 01-11-13 12:57 PM #140
    illmatick
    Update your status
    illmatick's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-05-09
    Posts: 5,433
    Betpoints: 115

    where's pretty boy Rico?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
First 1234567 ... Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Boxing, MMA & UFC Betting | Next Thread »