[gabe]

UFC on FOX 4 plays will be posted soon enough...

I like this for today:

Mike Minor/Strikeouts o4½ (-110)

Also like the Reds (won,) Braves, and Angels +1.5

In Tennis; Federrer, Djokovic, and Williams parlayed.

[gabe]

UFC on FOX 1: 4-3
UFC on FOX 2: 6-3
UFC on FOX 3: 3-3

UFC on FOX 4:

Play #1

Manny Gamburyan -170

After Manny's fight vs Nunes, I told myself I'm done betting on this guy. But I can't help but pass betting him in this fight, as I think is the best stylistic match-up for him. I was hoping to get him as a +200 dog and pound it, but the books were a lot smarter than I thought. This fight is a gift for Manny to get back on the winning side of things. He's been beating up Japanese judokas since he was a kid. He will control Omigawa in the grappling, and will also have an advantage in the stand-up. Manny's got a powerful overhand right, and that is a weakness for Omigawa. Omigawa has two things to look out for: Manny's right hand and his superior grappling/judo. This really is Manny's fight to lose, and if he does lose, he most certainly deserves to be cut. He has been training for this fight harder than previous fights, and is more motivated than he has been in a long time. It might be because he is fighting at home in front of all his family in Los Angeles. In any case, I love this match-up for him, and it will be my biggest play of the night.

[PunisherIND]

UFC on FOX 1: 4-3
UFC on FOX 2: 6-3
UFC on FOX 3: 3-3

UFC on FOX 4:

Play #1

Manny Gamburyan -170

After Manny's fight vs Nunes, I told myself I'm done betting on this guy. But I can't help but pass betting him in this fight, as I think is the best stylistic match-up for him. I was hoping to get him as a +200 dog and pound it, but the books were a lot smarter than I thought. This fight is a gift for Manny to get back on the winning side of things. He's been beating up Japanese judokas since he was a kid. He will control Omigawa in the grappling, and will also have an advantage in the stand-up. Manny's got a powerful overhand right, and that is a weakness for Omigawa. Omigawa is two things to look out for: Manny's right hand and his superior grappling/judo. This really is Manny's fight to lose, and if he does lose, he most certainly deserves to be cut. He has been training for this fight harder than previous fights, and is more motivated than he has been in a long time. It might be because he is fighting at home in front of all his family in Los Angeles. In any case, I love this match-up for him, and it will be my biggest play of the night.

gabe, dont you think you should add a disclaimer whenever you bet on an armenian fighter?

[gabe]

gabe, dont you think you should add a disclaimer whenever you bet on an armenian fighter?

if he were fighting (mostly) anybody else, i would fade him. so, no.

[Vaughany]

[PunisherIND]

if he were fighting (mostly) anybody else, i would fade him. so, no.

lol, just fukkin with ya.

[gabe]

[Vaughany]

[DirtyX]

UFC on FOX 1: 4-3
UFC on FOX 2: 6-3
UFC on FOX 3: 3-3

UFC on FOX 4:

Play #1

Manny Gamburyan -170

After Manny's fight vs Nunes, I told myself I'm done betting on this guy. But I can't help but pass betting him in this fight, as I think is the best stylistic match-up for him. I was hoping to get him as a +200 dog and pound it, but the books were a lot smarter than I thought. This fight is a gift for Manny to get back on the winning side of things. He's been beating up Japanese judokas since he was a kid. He will control Omigawa in the grappling, and will also have an advantage in the stand-up. Manny's got a powerful overhand right, and that is a weakness for Omigawa. Omigawa has two things to look out for: Manny's right hand and his superior grappling/judo. This really is Manny's fight to lose, and if he does lose, he most certainly deserves to be cut. He has been training for this fight harder than previous fights, and is more motivated than he has been in a long time. It might be because he is fighting at home in front of all his family in Los Angeles. In any case, I love this match-up for him, and it will be my biggest play of the night.

Yo, you got any other plays other than this one?

[gabe]

Yo, you got any other plays other than this one?

already told u in the pm lol but yeah i'll post 'em in due time

[Beelzebubzy]

Are you concerned about his shoulder?
Are you fading omigawa? Did you really think +200?

[gabe]

Are you concerned about his shoulder?
Are you fading omigawa? Did you really think +200?

Shoulder is always a concern, but I'm not worried about it.

No, not fading Omigawa. No, I didn't think +200, I hoped +200.

[Oblivian]

Interesting to see this take on Manny/Omigawa. I actually think Omigawa's grappling is easily good enough to neutralize Manny's grappling. I do think Manny's overhand right is something to always watch for, but he's starting to really telegraph his striking. I think it will probably end up being a close decision with Omigawa avoiding a lot of Manny's bombs and a lot of clinch stalemates. I think the big deciding factor will be if Manny's aggressiveness overshadows Omigawa's offense (or lack thereof).

[gabe]

Interesting to see this take on Manny/Omigawa. I actually think Omigawa's grappling is easily good enough to neutralize Manny's grappling. I do think Manny's overhand right is something to always watch for, but he's starting to really telegraph his striking. I think it will probably end up being a close decision with Omigawa avoiding a lot of Manny's bombs and a lot of clinch stalemates. I think the big deciding factor will be if Manny's aggressiveness overshadows Omigawa's offense (or lack thereof).

In a Judo match, Manny would win.

In a BJJ match, Manny would win.

In a wrestling match, I think Manny would win.

In a boxing match, Manny would win.

In an MMA match, Manny should win.

Big play for me.

[Educ8d Degener8]

And Manvel will have the whole of Glendale in the arena backing him as well...

[gabe]

Jamie Varner +100

I think Jamie gets the better of Joe in an exciting first round, then completely takes over in rounds 2 and 3, either winning by sinking in a rear naked choke or cruising to a decision. If it gets to a decision, round 3 will be all Varner. I think he will be smart enough to avoid the early onslaught by Lauzon. He'll avoid the submission attacks and press his game on. I think this is his fight, and believe he should be -200.

[sideloaded]

sorry gabe but michihiro knocks him out. jmma lives.

[gabe]

sorry gabe but michihiro knocks him out. jmma lives.

lol you and your hard-on for japanese fighters... you asian or just a huge fan of japanese mma?

[sideloaded]

huge fan of japanese porn

[Mercersux]

huge fan of japanese porn

Is that because you like the asian chicks or they always fuzz out the chinese guys dongs...

[sideloaded]

nah mang i got that uncensored connection

[NunyaBidness]

Huge JMMA fan here. I expect Omigawa to win the fight and lose the decision. I then expect Gabe to explain why it wasn't a bad decision when every online site scores it for Omigawa. That is my prediction.

[gabe]

Huge JMMA fan here. I expect Omigawa to win the fight and lose the decision. I then expect Gabe to explain why it wasn't a bad decision when every online site scores it for Omigawa. That is my prediction.

Why would I win a bad decision and say it was the right call? I've won tons of bad decisions where I felt I dodged a bullet, i.e. Shields vs Akiyama.

I think Ring beat McGee and online sites saw it that way, too, but most fans seem to think McGee won. Point being, online judging doesn't mean shit.

[Educ8d Degener8]

I miss the ring girls from the Dream promotion

[Vitooch]

Why would I win a bad decision and say it was the right call? I've won tons of bad decisions where I felt I dodged a bullet, i.e. Shields vs Akiyama.

I think Ring beat McGee and online sites saw it that way, too, but most fans seem to think McGee won. Point being, online judging doesn't mean shit.

If you had money on McGee, there is no doubt in my mind you would have come on here and said McGee won.

[gabe]

If you had money on McGee, there is no doubt in my mind you would have come on here and said McGee won.

There is no doubt in your mind, but there isn't anything else in your mind, either.

Having money on a fight doesn't make me score the fight favorably for the guy I've got money on. If anything, I give close rounds to the opponent. Stay out of my thread with your dumb shit.

[NunyaBidness]

There is no doubt in your mind, but there isn't anything else in your mind, either.

Having money on a fight doesn't make me score the fight favorably for the guy I've got money on. If anything, I give close rounds to the opponent. Stay out of my thread with your dumb shit.

I'll ship 100 points to the first person who feels like going through gabes posts and finding 5 instances of this not being true.

[gabe]

I'll ship 100 points to the first person who feels like going through gabes posts and finding 5 instances of this not being true.

I didn't say I haven't bet on guys who lost where I thought they won. For instance, I thought Brookins beat Koch and Bisping beat Sonnen. Doesn't mean I always score the fight for who I had money on. More often than not, it's the other way around. I score against the guy I bet on, and he ends up winning. i.e. Shields vs Akiyama and Sadollah vs Lopez.

Thanks for filling my thread with dumb shit, though. Feels like the old days.

[NunyaBidness]

Thanks for filling my thread with dumb shit, though. Feels like the old days.

Don't be mad. I'll still smoke down with you even if Nate won't.

[gabe]

Don't be mad. I'll still smoke down with you even if Nate won't.

Sorry, bud. For some reason, Vitooch's comment rubbed me the wrong way and I was in a negative mood 'cos of it while responding to you, too.

[bogbat]

I miss the ring girls from the Dream promotion

The UFC need to get some ring girls with a bigger ass:

[gabe]

Pending:

8 Team - Parlay #652 - Croatia - W ML (-2000) #659 - France - W ML (-1500) #28474 - Brazil ML (-600) #22005 - USA - W ML (-800) #4125 - Roger Federer ML (-490) #90101 - Jamie Varner ML (-110) #90402 - Manny Gamburyan ML (-170) #958 - Atlanta Braves ML (-180)

$34.00

$249.84

8 Team - Parlay #4125 - Roger Federer ML (-390) #4128 - Novak Djokovic ML (-200) #4626 - Serena Williams ML (-310) #90101 - Jamie Varner ML (-110) #90252 - Mike Swick ML (-230) #90402 - Manny Gamburyan ML (-170) #90452 - Ulysses Gomez ML (-200) #958 - Atlanta Braves ML (-180)

$40.00

$972.07

8 Team - Parlay #4125 - Roger Federer ML (-420) #4128 - Novak Djokovic ML (-200) #4626 - Serena Williams ML (-310) #90101 - Jamie Varner ML (-110) #90252 - Mike Swick ML (-230) #90352 - Philip De Fries ML (-220) #90402 - Manny Gamburyan ML (-170) #90452 - Ulysses Gomez ML (-200)	$32.00	$714.04
6 Team - Parlay #4125 - Roger Federer ML (-420) #4128 - Novak Djokovic ML (-200) #4626 - Serena Williams ML (-310) #90101 - Jamie Varner ML (-110) #90252 - Mike Swick ML (-230) #90402 - Manny Gamburyan ML (-170) 8 Team - Parlay #709 - Spain ML (-2500) #652 - Croatia - W ML (-2000) #4128 - Novak Djokovic ML (-180) #4626 - Serena Williams ML (-300) #90101 - Jamie Varner ML (-110) #90352 - Philip De Fries ML (-220) #90402 - Manny Gamburyan ML (-180) #90452 - Ulysses Gomez ML (-200) $30.00 $410.25 5 Team - Parlay #4101 - Roger Federer ML (-3000) #4108 - Juan Martin del Potro ML (-250) #4665 - Victoria Azarenka ML (-2000) #94713 - Petra Kvitova ML (-290) #90202 - Phil Davis ML (-600) $109.00 $150.78 7 Team - Parlay #752 - Russia ML (-2000) #754 - Spain ML (-1100) #758 - Brazil ML (-940) #4090 - Milos Raonic +1½ (-155) #4668 - Nadia Petrova ML (-600) #4705 - Serena Williams ML (-780) #90202 - Phil Davis ML (-600) $91.00 $200.35 6 Team - Parlay #754 - Spain ML (-1100) #758 - Brazil ML (-940) #28450 - Brazil ML (-650) #4668 - Nadia Petrova ML (-600) #4669 - Venus Williams ML (-450) #90202 - Phil Davis ML (-580) $132.00 $175.32 #94509 - Phelps wins 100m Butterfly ML (-140) $56.00 $40.00 #94507 - USA wins 4x100 Medley Relay ML (-190) $76.00 $40.00 7 Team - Parlay #754 - Spain ML (-1100) #758 - Brazil ML (-940) #4073 - David Ferrer ML (-2000) #4096 - Novak Djokovic ML (-800) #4669 - Venus Williams ML (-420) #90202 - Phil Davis ML (-580) #903 - San Diego Padres +1½ (-160) $60.00 $141.78 7 Team - Parlay #754 - Spain ML (-1100) #758 - Brazil ML (-940) #28450 - Brazil ML (-650) #4073 - David Ferrer ML (-2000) #4096 - Novak Djokovic ML (-800) #4669 - Venus Williams ML (-400) #90202 - Phil Davis ML (-580) $142.00 $200.34 6 Team - Parlay #754 - Spain ML (-1100) #758 - Brazil ML (-940) #4073 - David Ferrer ML (-2000) #4096 - Novak Djokovic ML (-860) #90101 - Jamie Varner ML (+100) #90202 - Phil Davis ML (-580) $52.00 $120.49	$73.00	$707.04

A lot of plays with Davis as the last leg, some with Davis & Varner.

[gabe]

Couple more:

8 Team - Parlay #754 - Spain ML (-1100) #758 - Brazil ML (-940) #4096 - Novak Djokovic ML (-740) #4101 - Roger Federer ML (-2500) #4668 - Nadia Petrova ML (-600) #4669 - Venus Williams ML (-450) #90101 - Jamie Varner ML (+100) #90202 - Phil Davis ML (-600)	$27.00	$101.00
7 Team - Parlay #754 - Spain ML (-1100) #758 - Brazil ML (-940) #4096 - Novak Djokovic ML (-740) #4101 - Roger Federer ML (-2500) #4668 - Nadia Petrova ML (-600) #4669 - Venus Williams ML (-450) #90202 - Phil Davis ML (-600)	$73.00	$100.04

[gabe]

Looks like Murray might beat Djokovic and ruin a couple of parlays...

[Vaughany]

damnnn...Djokovic is king of comeback tho and Murray is known to bottle it!