Originally Posted by
gabe
My plays for UFC 150:
#1 - Nik Lentz - The first round could go either way, but I give the edge to Lentz. Second and third will be all Lentz. I don't see him getting caught and put away in the first, so as long as this fight makes it to the second, I see him finishing it with a choke. If it goes three, he takes the decision. I don't see it making the distance, though. Nik Lentz ITD is the play here. This is one of my biggest plays of the year.
#2 - Ben Henderson - I see Bendo finishing this one with a guillotine. Wouldn't be surprised if he scores a KO, either. I went all-in on Fight Goes Over 4.5 rounds last time around, but this time my gut is telling me the chances of it ending ITD are a lot better than before. I'm gonna take a shot at Bendo by Sub and Bendo ITD and sprinkle a little on Bendo by KO. Also taking him straight-up, big.
#3 - Max Holloway - I see Holloway winning by stoppage or decision. Worst case scenario, I think he earns a split decision. He should be able to get the better of one of the first two rounds, and the third will very likely belong to him due to his cardio advantage. Fighting at altitude in Denver is no good for Justin Lawrence. If he tries to wrestle Holloway, he's going to tire even quicker, 'cos Holloway has great TDD and if goes to the ground, is very active off his back. Especially for a blue belt.
#4 - Yushin Okami - Okami ITD is what I'm going with. I don't expect to see this make it to the second half of the fight, so I'm not too worried about him gassing like before. Also, I'm not too worried about him gassing out because Buddy Roberts has poor cardio, too, and doesn't possess the KO power Tim Boetsch has.
#5 - Donald Cerrone - Cerrone ITD -- For some reason, I see a lot of finishes on this card! May continue over from the FOX card... Cerrone should fight smart, and fight to win. I know he's an idiot, but I think he knows better this time around. Cerrone by sub.
#6 - Ed Herman - Herman ITD - Could see him taking a decision, too. I'm taking him straight up, parlayed with Nik Lentz.