1. 02-24-12 11:21 PM #1
    getlucky2win
    faded
    getlucky2win's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-12
    Posts: 1,104
    Betpoints: 1796

    what do i do with my rampage bet now?

    i bet rampage at -230 few days ago. i can get bader +185 now. what should i do?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 02-24-12 11:27 PM #2
    NunyaBidness
    NunyaBidness has a posse
    NunyaBidness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-26-09
    Posts: 9,345
    Betpoints: 4507

    What do you think the current fair line should be? Bet the amount on either fighter that minimizes the expected negative edge.

    If you just want to get off your position bet enough on bader to cover your rampage bet.

    If you think the fair line is now even, then you should bet through your rampage bet and leave yourself heavily exposed on the bader side.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 02-24-12 11:29 PM #3
    gabe
    Screamin' Eagles
    gabe's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 7,405
    Betpoints: 300

    Double your bet with Rampage at a better line.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 02-24-12 11:30 PM #4
    Kaladarus
    Kaladarus's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-11-09
    Posts: 1,876
    Betpoints: 1

    Let it ride.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 02-24-12 11:34 PM #5
    dww123
    dww123's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-06-11
    Posts: 441
    Betpoints: 9200

    Arb out with Bader. Not only was Rampage 5 lbs. over, he looked old and awful. Rampage has his punchers chance of course but if it goes past the first round the advantage swings to Bader, who looked great at weighins BTW.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 02-24-12 11:35 PM #6
    NunyaBidness
    NunyaBidness has a posse
    NunyaBidness's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-26-09
    Posts: 9,345
    Betpoints: 4507

    Quote Originally Posted by gabe View Post
    Double your bet with Rampage at a better line.
    You're actually right here a significant portion of the time.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 02-24-12 11:46 PM #7
    getlucky2win
    faded
    getlucky2win's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-12
    Posts: 1,104
    Betpoints: 1796

    def. not puttin more money on page
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 02-24-12 11:50 PM #8
    getlucky2win
    faded
    getlucky2win's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-12
    Posts: 1,104
    Betpoints: 1796

    hard 4 me 2 handicap the fight with the injury
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 02-25-12 02:00 PM #9
    bipolar
    bipolar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-25-10
    Posts: 252
    Betpoints: 483

    Quote Originally Posted by NunyaBidness View Post
    What do you think the current fair line should be? Bet the amount on either fighter that minimizes the expected negative edge.

    If you just want to get off your position bet enough on bader to cover your rampage bet.

    If you think the fair line is now even, then you should bet through your rampage bet and leave yourself heavily exposed on the bader side.
    Get out of your position on page by betting enough on bader. +2
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 02-25-12 02:43 PM #10
    Wrecked
    Dreamin the live
    Wrecked's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-31-11
    Posts: 887
    Betpoints: 246

    Hedge it with Bader by decision.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 02-25-12 04:25 PM #11
    getlucky2win
    faded
    getlucky2win's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-12
    Posts: 1,104
    Betpoints: 1796

    i can only bet ml and o/u and with bader +165 being the best price available to me im prob just goin to let it ride on page 575 to win 250
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 02-25-12 04:31 PM #12
    omalley21
    omalley21's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-10
    Posts: 908
    Betpoints: 204

    I'm in the same boat. I hope some casual money comes in on rampage late and drives the number up a little bit.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 02-25-12 05:08 PM #13
    getlucky2win
    faded
    getlucky2win's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-12
    Posts: 1,104
    Betpoints: 1796

    if bader wins who would he fight next? i think phil davis would beat him
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Boxing, MMA & UFC Betting | Next Thread »