1. #141
    phillybadboy
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    rick story+174

  2. #142
    phillybadboy
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    frank mir-117

  3. #143
    phillybadboy
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    brian stann-117

  4. #144
    tat1980
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    No running fine for me

  5. #145
    phillybadboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlariHaynes View Post
    How's things, a little off-topic but is anybody able to inform me if they are receiving a timeout error when they first come to this websites home page? best wishes
    don't think so

  6. #146
    phillybadboy
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    pactricky friere-115

  7. #147
    phillybadboy
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    hugo ruiz-130

  8. #148
    jin2daj
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    im not sure about rick story but i guess theres definately value to found at +175.

    alves has fought sooooo many wrestlers in the past that i just see story having a hard time. also story is strong as an ox....but thiago is probably just as strong?

  9. #149
    phillybadboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by jin2daj View Post
    im not sure about rick story but i guess theres definately value to found at +175. alves has fought sooooo many wrestlers in the past that i just see story having a hard time. also story is strong as an ox....but thiago is probably just as strong?
    yeah i'm not that confident about this one

  10. #150
    phillybadboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by phillybadboy View Post
    pactricky friere-115
    loss ,got kicked in the nuts three times

  11. #151
    phillybadboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by phillybadboy View Post
    hugo ruiz-130
    win

  12. #152
    phillybadboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by phillybadboy View Post
    hopkins+money may 21-11 solid
    wins

  13. #153
    phillybadboy
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    demetrious johnson-110

  14. #154
    phillybadboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by phillybadboy View Post
    rick story+174
    wins

  15. #155
    phillybadboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by phillybadboy View Post
    brian stann-117
    wins

  16. #156
    phillybadboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by phillybadboy View Post
    demetrious johnson-110
    wins

  17. #157
    phillybadboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by phillybadboy View Post
    frank mir-117
    wins

  18. #158
    Hannibal
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    bravo!

    now you just need a new thread, with a new title :P

  19. #159
    phillybadboy
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    hah,i was a little lazy to start a new one

  20. #160
    Vrakas
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    mir fought a smart fight.story is now one of the top guys.

  21. #161
    Kaladarus
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    Nice job, got them all. It was a good night of betting for most people.

  22. #162
    phillybadboy
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    thanks guys

  23. #163
    phillybadboy
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    anthony johnson+145

  24. #164
    phillybadboy
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    anthony pettis-145

  25. #165
    phillybadboy
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    mark munoz-112

  26. #166
    THE_LOCKSMITH
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    you're playing wat too many favs, remember to play underdogs to win long term

  27. #167
    bjpenn85
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    Long term is about evaluate risks corrcetly, not underdog vs favourite. G.tibau wins 8 out of 10 times against oliveira, mackens semerzier wins 8 or 9 times out of 10 against alex bruce leeroy and so on. I dont believe that you need to bet underdogs at all. I rarely do and i have never won more money in my life at this point.

  28. #168
    phillybadboy
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    i do think underdogs is the way to go,long term

  29. #169
    phillybadboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by bjpenn85 View Post
    Long term is about evaluate risks corrcetly, not underdog vs favourite. G.tibau wins 8 out of 10 times against oliveira, mackens semerzier wins 8 or 9 times out of 10 against alex bruce leeroy and so on. I dont believe that you need to bet underdogs at all. I rarely do and i have never won more money in my life at this point.
    i think a bad run can really hurt you, i was doing good with faves until my bad run, now it's mostly dogs

  30. #170
    bjpenn85
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    Sure. i have had bad nights. There is often less value betting the favourites in fight for the belts for instance where the level of both fighters are often very high. Then everything can happen, for instance bj penn vs frankie edgar. Its easy to get carried away. But if you choose a proven fighter against a guy that have proven to not stand a chance against ufc caliber fighter, i can easly go all in 10 times as i know i will win 8 or 9 times, i know i will win the lost money back next time. The dumbest thing you can do is to stop betting, because you had a bad run one night. Nothing is 100%, but you will win in the long run if you understand your chances. I do not deny picking underdogs as often as i can. I love dogs. bark.

  31. #171
    phillybadboy
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    bjpenn what do you think of the fabio maldonado kylle kingsburry fight? what was the odds on it?
    Last edited by phillybadboy; 05-31-11 at 11:21 AM.

  32. #172
    bjpenn85
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    The odds as far as i am concerned is not out yet. I think it might be a three round fight where kyle kingsbury grind maldonado. Kyle kingsbury usually win either by KO or decision, mostly decision. Maldonado as i have written before, has a lot of KO wins, actually 12 out of his 18 wins has comed by KO Maldonado is a former boxer therefor his high KO rate may not come as a surprise. Hib boxinng record is even better, 21 KO out of 22 fights. But most of this fight have been in brasilia and sao paulo, and i do not know anthing about the level down there. However, he fought a rejuvinated mcsweeney, and clearly lost the first round. This was because mcsweeney moved around a maldonado that is not very mobile and like to come charging forward. The brit more or less picked his shots, stood on the outside, and won that round. I dont know the reason why but after 10 secounds out in the secound round, mcsweeney is done. He is gassed out, as he got an asthma attack. His face is red. It didnt help much when maldonado later hit him in the stomach. after that mcswenney went down as a result of the punch, and got dominated the rest of that round visbily hurt. If it was from the stomach punch or a fractured rib i dont know, but it was something joe rogan commented as well. The third round maldonado showed his boxing skills against a fighter that couldnt do anything but defend and peppered that ugly brit to the canvas. conclusion: It is no possible to evaluate maldonados ground skills considering his last match because mcswenney is crappy on the ground, a wounded mcsweeney cant be better than i am, and i havent went for a bjj class in my life. his manager said he sucks on the ground and that this is his weak point. Standing up, he hold his hands very low, ala matt hamill, but his chin is ******* awsome. He taunted mcsweeney every time he got nailed. He is not quick. he doesnt kick. he doesnt check them either. If kingsbury use his athletic abilities, quickly come inside, take maldonado down, i dont think maldonado has the bjj skills to submit kingsbury of his back. I dont think it will be a good idea for kingsbury to stand toe to toe with a proven boxer with a granite chin. If Kingsbury comes in with the same game plan he had against hamman, i think he will win.
    Points Awarded:

    phillybadboy gave bjpenn85 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  33. #173
    phillybadboy
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    nice write up

  34. #174
    phillybadboy
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    carl froch wins 12 round decision -150

  35. #175
    phillybadboy
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    sam stout-156

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