1. #106
    yisman
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    this game sucks

  2. #107
    yisman
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    live total=36.5

    man I'm hoping for under 38 (betislands)

  3. #108
    hels
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    At the Cardinals taking a timeout with 3:43 left down by 21.

  4. #109
    hels
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    Quote Originally Posted by yisman View Post
    live total=36.5

    man I'm hoping for under 38 (betislands)
    Nice live bet.

    Neither team looked like they wanted to go do anything risky in the 2nd half.

    Under is looking pretty good

  5. #110
    yisman
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    I wound up buying most of it back with over 30.5, hoping for a middle

    almost got it with fitzgerald there. so close.


    my under 38 was from before the game.

  6. #111
    hels
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    Quote Originally Posted by hels View Post
    Taking the square route tonight thinking the Under is good value. The line just moved to -110

    MNF SF/Ari U37.5
    4-2 this weekend
    15-6 Overall


  7. #112
    hels
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    Quote Originally Posted by yisman View Post
    I wound up buying most of it back with over 30.5, hoping for a middle

    almost got it with fitzgerald there. so close.


    my under 38 was from before the game.
    If Zona knew how to play redzone offense you would have middled.

    It was sad watching their last 4 plays.

  8. #113
    yisman
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    it sucked because they got so close with 1st and goal

    TD would've been huge

    also picked that arizona would score a TD in the second half on ESPN, and had Fitzgerald in fantasy games so it would've been a little added bonus.

    Might've actually lost a little tonight when it's all said and done.

  9. #114
    milwaukee mike
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    hels at 15-6

    buyout offer - true odds are 50/50, instead of giving you 500 + your 2000 back i'll bump it up to 600 + your 2000 back if you want

  10. #115
    hels
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    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    hels at 15-6

    buyout offer - true odds are 50/50, instead of giving you 500 + your 2000 back i'll bump it up to 600 + your 2000 back if you want
    This is a very tempting offer but I will have to decline.

    I am having fun with this contest and it's actually making me look a little more closely at games and make better real money decisions as well.

    I've tried starting season long NHL pick threads but I find I just don't care after a couple weeks since there is no true goal or purpose other than showing myself to pick winners.

    Although this thread doesn't seem to muster much attention it will forever be with SBR and show whether or not I am a good capper. I might lose the next 40 games and therefore null my opinion in NFL/CFB picks/threads. Or I might win the next 40 and show my opinions to be valid and considered.

    My strategy for this thread right now is to make more plays 6-10 per week for the next 6-8 weeks. Anything better than a 50% win rate will be a bonus. With the remaining 20-25 picks in the final weeks of the season/playoffs/bowl games I will pick and choose what I feel are the best picks.

    Of course this is just a 'plan' and if I only find 2 plays I like in a certain week then I'll only make those 2 plays.

  11. #116
    hels
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    TNF

    SD/KC U41

    Odds movements indicate SD will have trouble scoring. KC should obviously have more trouble scoring. I like KC+7.5 too but it's hard to know with such low class teams.

    Two weak teams can lead to surprises but under is the best bet I can find

    BOL on your plays yisman and Mike
    Last edited by hels; 11-01-12 at 07:10 PM. Reason: typing stupid as drinking happens

  12. #117
    hels
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    Phillip Rivers throwing a 3rd and goal at the 1 yard line INT with 20 seconds left in the half

  13. #118
    hels
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    Well this under might go to shit....

  14. #119
    yisman
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    brutal for under backers with the two lucky SD defensive TDs.

    went from a sure under and a possible KC cover to SD winning in a blowout

    Pinnacle actually opened at 44, and then obviously it got bet down.

  15. #120
    milwaukee mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by hels View Post
    TNF

    SD/KC U41

    Odds movements indicate SD will have trouble scoring. KC should obviously have more trouble scoring. I like KC+7.5 too but it's hard to know with such low class teams.

    Two weak teams can lead to surprises but under is the best bet I can find

    BOL on your plays yisman and Mike
    confirmed

    sitting at 15-7 according to my records

  16. #121
    hels
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    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    confirmed

    sitting at 15-7 according to my records
    15-7 it is.

    It feels awful when you make the correct play and it loses yet you feel justified when you make the wrong play and it wins.

    Had quite a bit of cash on TNF under and didn't hedge enough..... felt it.

    Winnings tomorrow.

  17. #122
    hels
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    Looking to have lots of winners today. These are my UNCOMFIRMED plays for 1:00.... I think I might be able to get a better line closer to kickoff so I'll make a new post closer to 1:00 with confirmed plays.

    Buffalo vs Houston U

    Denver vs Cincinnati U

    Carolina vs Washington U

  18. #123
    hels
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    Confirming Den/Cin now

    Denver vs Cincinnati U47.5

  19. #124
    hels
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    Confirming the other 2 plays

    Buffalo vs Houston U47.5
    Carolina vs Washington U48

  20. #125
    milwaukee mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by hels View Post
    Confirming Den/Cin now

    Denver vs Cincinnati U47.5
    confirmed

  21. #126
    milwaukee mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by hels View Post
    Confirming the other 2 plays

    Buffalo vs Houston U47.5
    Carolina vs Washington U48
    confirmed

  22. #127
    hels
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    Minnesota vs Seattle U38.5

    Tampa Bay vs Oakland U47 3:58
    Last edited by hels; 11-04-12 at 02:58 PM. Reason: pick added

  23. #128
    hels
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    Quote Originally Posted by hels View Post
    Confirming Den/Cin now

    Denver vs Cincinnati U47.5
    Loser

    Quote Originally Posted by hels View Post
    Confirming the other 2 plays

    Buffalo vs Houston U47.5
    Carolina vs Washington U48
    Winner Winner

    17-8 Overall record with 2 plays pending and most likely a play at 4:25

  24. #129
    milwaukee mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by hels View Post
    Minnesota vs Seattle U38.5

    Tampa Bay vs Oakland U47 3:58
    confirmed

  25. #130
    hels
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    No play for Giants/Steelers... leaned Over but big games seem to often go Under

    Already taking Minn/Sea as a loss

  26. #131
    milwaukee mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by hels View Post
    No play for Giants/Steelers... leaned Over but big games seem to often go Under

    Already taking Minn/Sea as a loss
    yeah your pick that was supposed to be low scoring is 14-7 and the game that was supposed to be a shootout is 3-0

    go figure

  27. #132
    hels
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    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    yeah your pick that was supposed to be low scoring is 14-7 and the game that was supposed to be a shootout is 3-0

    go figure
    I should just start watching more pregame shows and go against what the announcers say. They hype games up that turn out to be boring and slow.

    Giants/Pitts could go either way right now but with the way the horrible calls are going the Giants should win. OU is a tossup.

  28. #133
    hels
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    Quote Originally Posted by hels View Post
    Minnesota vs Seattle U38.5

    Tampa Bay vs Oakland U47 3:58
    0-2

    17-10 overall

  29. #134
    hels
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    Would have lost another game if I took NYG/Pitts Over

    Made some poor picks

  30. #135
    milwaukee mike
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    hang in there hels

  31. #136
    hels
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    Giants/Bengals U47.5

    Bucs/Chargers U46.5

    Titans/Dolphins U44

    Falcons/Saints O53.5

  32. #137
    hels
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    A bunch of shootouts today

  33. #138
    hels
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    Quote Originally Posted by hels View Post
    Giants/Bengals U47.5 31-13 Winner

    Bucs/Chargers U46.5 34-24 Loser

    Titans/Dolphins U44 37-3 Winner

    Falcons/Saints O53.5 31-27 Winner

    20-11 Overall

  34. #139
    hels
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    NY Jets

    Both NY teams enjoy giving away turnovers today

  35. #140
    milwaukee mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by hels View Post
    Giants/Bengals U47.5

    Bucs/Chargers U46.5

    Titans/Dolphins U44

    Falcons/Saints O53.5
    confirmed

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