[BadBeatBodog]

I haven't posted this the last couple series but I'm going to remind people again: at least one game has gone under in every Padres home series. So put a chase on that under! GL guys.

[pimike]

thanks for the reminder

[BadBeatBodog]

NPs. I hope it makes people money.

As for the game lines, can someone help me figure out why the Brew Crew line is only -116? I want to bet on the Pads but I feel like I should be getting a lot more than +106

[Deke101]

It's not gonna happen in the first game.

Suppan's road ERA: 5.06 in 74.2 IP

Baek's home ERA: 6.96 in 32.1 IP (worst on his team)

San Diego has been getting their offense together.
Milwaukee is averaging 5.7 runs per game in their L7.
SD is averaging 6.1 runs per game in their L7.
Both bullpens are vulnerable.

My play of the day is the Over.

[BadBeatBodog]

Suppan is worse on the road but none of those starts were at Petco, easily the worst hitter's park in MLB.

As for Baek, does it make sense to you that his road ERA would be 3.72 while his ERA at Petco would be 6.33? Something must be up - and it is. He has been extremely unlucky pitching at home with an extremely high .352 BAbip. I don't know where to find home/away splits for LD% but I'm guessing that is high as well.

No doubt both offenses are playing well, but only one of those last seven games for the Padres were in Petco and the R/G is heavily inflated thanks to 16 runs at Coors against Livan.