1. #1
    LT Profits
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    Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Wednesday, 5/21/08

    Starting Thursday (May 1), we will start a new May Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest with a prize of $250 account at BetJamaica, 3 time roll-over. Last place will receive a $25 BetJamaica account with a 3 time roll over. If there is a tie for last place in both units and wins (20 plays minimum), there will be be multiple last place boobie prizes.

    *IMPORTANT*
    All players must have an account at BetJamaica prior to making picks Sign up here

    Before participating, players must PM their BetJamaica account ID to SBRforum Staff


    1. Check in the BASEBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

    2. Only the UNDERDOGS in games posted by LT will be eligible for selection, which will be only games that have underdog prices of greater than +110.

    3. All plays will be RISKING one unit, and selections may NOT be changed once posted.

    4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up! The write-up does not have to be long, just a sentence or two (or more) about why you are making your play.

    5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis will be NO ACTION. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake, need to add analysis or wish to enter a corrected line, do so in a separate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not go off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not contest selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts, LT's notes to posters or congratulatory posts.

    6. And here’s the fine print:

    • Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
    • One entry per home and computer.
    • Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
    • Maximum one underdog pick per day, minimum 20 underdog plays required to be eligible for monthly prize.
    • Tiebreaker for first place is total WINS. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head underdog match until winner is determined. This would begin on the first day of next month with no passes allowed. If co-leader passes during tie-breaking period, he or she is eliminated, even if other co-lealers lose.
    • All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
    • SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.

  2. #2
    LT Profits
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    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    Name            W       L       Units
    shantystar 	11	5	11.12
    Wrigley     	12	6	10.13
    bbyhill      	12	6	9.98
    fifawcs    	11	8	6.74
    louisvillekid  	11	9	4.97
    Cabo        	6	4	3.80
    Checkerboard	8	9	3.77
    Sportsgirl	8	7	3.66
    TexAg001   	7	5	3.60
    Wyndham 	3	1	3.08
    pats3peat 	4	3	2.90
    soli        	9	10	2.71
    rjt721      	6	5	2.41
    dog       	6	7	2.27
    mr. leisure 	9	9	2.27
    pimike        	2	1	2.03
    szaidi99    	5	4	1.93
    stevek173 	5	6	1.84
    MOONCRICKET	7	8	1.60
    wtt0315    	4	4	1.52
    stump      	3	3	1.29
    indy62      	6	7	0.74
    THE HITMAN	7	9	0.55
    Shooter    	6	7	0.49
    mofome    	4	6	-0.36
    greg66     	2	3	-0.51
    Pigpen     	3	5	-0.52
    clarkd32    	1	2	-0.52
    WakeuP420 	1	2	-0.52
    billmunny   	6	8	-0.67
    marley33   	1	2	-0.77
    Cee          	3	5	-0.93
    HedgeHog   	7	10	-0.98
    juuso      	6	9	-0.99
    anjac      	0	1	-1.00
    ClassicBaseball	0	1	-1.00
    justdoingit 	0	1	-1.00
    Poker Beast	0	1	-1.00
    twtb19     	0	1	-1.00
    WizardofWins	0	1	-1.00
    MonkeyF0cker	5	8	-1.25
    awatkins011	2	4	-1.28
    LB         	4	7	-1.43
    dannyt76 	1	3	-1.53
    DeluxeLiner 	2	5	-1.60
    SexyMit     	4	7	-1.65
    EaglesPhan36	5	8	-1.69
    capitalist pig	3	6	-1.70
    diogee    	5	8	-1.81
    Immortality  	3	6	-1.99
    aca          	0	2	-2.00
    Illusion    	0	2	-2.00
    Jiggy Fly  	0	2	-2.00
    elguason  	4	7	-2.05
    frostno98  	2	5	-2.15
    brock      	5	9	-2.17
    rsigley     	2	5	-2.35
    rake922      	5	9	-2.47
    GoHeels12	5	10	-2.69
    sharktank1  	7	13	-2.74
    regularguy  	4	8	-2.84
    THE POSTMAN	1	4	-2.86
    msubulldog	1	4	-2.89
    2Pac       	0	3	-3.00
    babaoriley 	0	3	-3.00
    gummo     	0	3	-3.00
    sportsfun   	3	7	-3.03
    Kaps       	2	6	-3.14
    20Four7     	3	7	-3.17
    Microphone	4	8	-3.19
    Meestermike	3	7	-3.20
    luciano    	4	8	-3.27
    junkman773	4	9	-3.48
    rm18        	1	5	-3.55
    ChuteBoxe  	2	6	-3.68
    goldengoat    	2	6	-3.75
    doye      	4	9	-3.84
    Bills Hooligan	3	8	-3.93
    WonTooManyBets	0	4	-4.00
    Bshark    	3	8	-4.24
    element1286	2	7	-4.72
    trytrytry   	1	6	-4.73
    mundane   	4	10	-5.04
    chipski      	4	10	-5.09
    mbr 18      	2	9	-5.67
    oakas      	6	13	-6.00
    Mr KLC      	3	10	-6.07
    LT Profits	5	14	-7.28
    pokernut9999	3	13	-7.90
    Junkyard Dog	4	15	-8.97
    treece     	2	14	-11.64

  3. #3
    20Four7
    Timmy T = Failure
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    Balt +136

    As per yesterday fading yankees is always value especially with how bad they have been playing. Baltimore is rolling along with 7 wins last 10 and the yanks....well who cares anymore.

  4. #4
    shantystar
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    mariners+131,strong inside info.

  5. #5
    stevek173
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    Stl (Looper) +130....Nice value here in getting one of the sports better teams so far against the sports worst. Young is good, but his #'s this year arent so much.

  6. #6
    junkman773
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    977 Cleveland +132
    Byrd 9-2 last 11 vs CWS with an ERA of 4.13

    CWS now 4-6 last 10 vs tribe

    Great spot for Tribe

    Cleveland + is the play

  7. #7
    rake922
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    Quote Originally Posted by shantystar View Post
    mariners+131,strong inside info.
    What inside info?

  8. #8
    chipski
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    lets see the 2 biggest dogs on the board are marlins and royals . which one has the best chance ? very tough decision . i like the dbacks to finally lose when webb starts but why go against he best . i dont like tomko for the royals or going against the mighty rsox at fenway . hmm

    indians +130
    maybe tribe win one , really i like the wsox but will try this one on here .

  9. #9
    LT Profits
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    Wed 5/21 951 San Francisco Giants +140
    3:05PM (EST) 952 Colorado Rockies

    Wed 5/21 953 Milwaukee Brewers
    7:05PM (EST) 954 Pittsburgh Pirates +121

    Wed 5/21 955 Arizona Diamondbacks
    7:10PM (EST) 956 Florida Marlins +149

    Wed 5/21 957 New York Mets +126
    7:10PM (EST) 958 Atlanta Braves

    Wed 5/21 959 Philadelphia Phillies
    7:10PM (EST) 960 Washington Nationals +120

    Wed 5/21 963 St Louis Cardinals +132
    10:05PM (EST) 964 San Diego Padres

    Wed 5/21 965 Cincinnati Reds +128
    10:10PM (EST) 966 Los Angeles Dodgers

    Wed 5/21 969 Kansas City Royals +152
    7:05PM (EST) 970 Boston Red Sox

    Wed 5/21 971 Seattle Mariners +130
    7:05PM (EST) 972 Detroit Tigers

    Wed 5/21 973 Baltimore Orioles +135
    7:05PM (EST) 974 New York Yankees

    Wed 5/21 975 Los Angeles Angels +123
    7:05PM (EST) 976 Toronto Blue Jays

    Wed 5/21 977 Cleveland Indians +132
    8:10PM (EST) 978 Chicago White Sox

    Wed 5/21 979 Texas Rangers +132
    8:10PM (EST) 980 Minnesota Twins

  10. #10
    LT Profits
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    MARLINS +149: Yes, I know Webb is 9-0, but he can’t win 0-0 right? The D-Backs are not hitting right now, batting .220 as a team over the last 10 games including a pathetic .179 vs. righties. The Snakes are averaging 3.90 runs over these 10 games, while Florida is averaging 5.80 runs in the same span. Now, Nolasco may not be much, but he has been fine in small doses, allowing three runs or less in four of his last five starts while never going more than six innings. A repeat would be fine given Florida’s fine 3.36 bullpen ERA.

  11. #11
    fifawcs
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    Marlins +149
    What better team to give Webb his first loss than the Florida Marlins? They hit righties well and the offense has been stagnant as of late. The way Gregg saved them yesterday makes me think he can hold any lead.

  12. #12
    Bshark
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    Baltimore

    Bullpen System Play here. With the Yankees struggling and the Os hot, I see value here.

  13. #13
    JRS21386
    The Oracle
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    MARLINS +149: Yes, I know Webb is 9-0, but he can’t win 0-0 right? The D-Backs are not hitting right now, batting .220 as a team over the last 10 games including a pathetic .179 vs. righties. The Snakes are averaging 3.90 runs over these 10 games, while Florida is averaging 5.80 runs in the same span. Now, Nolasco may not be much, but he has been fine in small doses, allowing three runs or less in four of his last five starts while never going more than six innings. A repeat would be fine given Florida’s fine 3.36 bullpen ERA.
    I think teams perform better behind certain pitchers... I think they start stickin the ball tonight with Webb on the mound..

  14. #14
    fifawcs
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    Quote Originally Posted by fifawcs View Post
    Marlins +149
    What better team to give Webb his first loss than the Florida Marlins? They hit righties well and the offense has been stagnant as of late. The way Gregg saved them yesterday makes me think he can hold any lead.
    I meant the Dbacks offense has been stagnant.

  15. #15
    bbyhill
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    Wed 5/21 973 Baltimore Orioles +135
    The O's are 3-1 against a strugling Yank team this season.They are 1-0 on the road against.Rasner is 0-2 starting against the O's.Was going to go for the Tribe think CWS are due for a loss.

  16. #16
    GoHeels12
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    Florida +149:Arizona hasn't been hitting and Florida will get at least 5, should be enough

  17. #17
    Wrigley
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    979 Texas Rangers +132
    Ponson has fared well against Twins his career Stats vs Twins 9-2, 2.56 ERA

  18. #18
    SexyMit
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    Florida +149

    Webb won't go 10-0 and Marlins are at home, They have been on a streak in the month of maym so I will take the home team. Diamondbacks have not been hitting that well lately so I will take Marlins at home.

  19. #19
    TexAg001
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    Wed 5/21 957 New York Mets +126
    Braves swept a dh yesterday and the mes are due to bounce back. Pelfrey has been more quality then not dispite his 2-4 reccord.

  20. #20
    Sportsgirl
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    Baltimore Orioles +135

    I liked Texas today, too, but I think with Olsen on the mound, the O's 20-9 nightgame record and the Yanks being only 6-10 in May games, Baltimore is the better value tonight.

  21. #21
    Meestermike
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    963 St Louis Cardinals +132

    Liking the Cards here today in a positive 'Dog spot.
    LOOPER is 2-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.750.
    SAN DIEGO is 10-23 (-15.1 Units) vs. the money line in night games this season & is 3-13 (-11.2 Units) vs. the money line after a win this season.

  22. #22
    Cabo
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    St Louis Cardinals +132
    Look for the Cards to bounce back tonight, after tough loss last night.

  23. #23
    louisvillekid
    slummin it
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    #963 STL +132 : got to back the team that's hitting .326 L7 vs. .238 L7, and these 2 pitchers faced off about a year ago in S.D. ,with STL winning 5-0.

  24. #24
    sharktank1
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    Orioles + 135

    Da birds are gonna be flying against the Yanks, in this battle of undefeated pitchers.

  25. #25
    Mr KLC
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    Washington Nationals +120

    I think Chico will be revitalized being in a starter role again. He's looked pretty good in his last 3 appearances. Moyer got shelled by the Nationals in April.

  26. #26
    soli
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    St Louis +132

    This is an even pitching match up but I will ride the bats of St Louis to edge
    this game out.

  27. #27
    mbr_18
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    Kansas City Royals +152
    They don't get swept & I could use the points (not good betting strategy)

  28. #28
    Pigpen
    High On The Hogs
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    Wed 5/21 963 St Louis Cardinals +132


    The Cardinal bats are coming around. In their last 3 games the Birds are hitting .318 while the Padres are just batting .218 in their last 3 contests.

  29. #29
    Checkerboard
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    Seattle Mariners +130

    Tigers in clubhouse disarray.

  30. #30
    JRS21386
    The Oracle
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    Angels +127 (Bodog)

  31. #31
    MonkeyF0cker
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    St. Louis +132

    A battle between two pitchers of equal talent, in my estimation. The Cardinals have the more potent offense, however.

  32. #32
    rjt721
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    Indians +132

    Typically very competitive games when these teams meet. Vazquez can be volatile at times, while Byrd does nothing but throw strikes and put the ball in play.

  33. #33
    elguason
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    Wed 5/21 965 Cincinnati Reds +128
    10:10PM (EST) 966 Los Angeles Dodgers

    Cueto had a no-hitter through five innings but started struggling with his location and gave up three hits (all home runs) in the sixth to receive a no-decision the Reds' 4-3 win over Cleveland on Friday. He finished with seven strikeouts.

    Kuroda, has only one win in nine starts.

  34. #34
    indy62
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    Los Angeles Angels +123 ..if laa can score one run in this contest they should win the way the jays offence has been

  35. #35
    mundane
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    St Louis Cardinals +132
    Cardinals are 7-3 in Loopers last 10 starts during game 3 of a series.
    Padres are 3-7 in Youngs last 10 starts during game 3 of a series.

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