1. 10-22-10 09:45 AM #1
    pokerwhiz90
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    Phillies vs Giants hedge bet

    The hedge is this:
    Giants Outright +140
    Phillies by 1.5 +150

    going to put in a small wager to see if I can win a .4 or .5 units, if phillies win i can see them winning by a lot as they dominated last time up on sanchez at home while oswalt was a complete stud

    what do you guys think - only way i lose is if phillies win by 1
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  2. 10-22-10 09:47 AM #2
    J-Ro11
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    Quote Originally Posted by pokerwhiz90 View Post
    what do you guys think - only way i lose is if phillies win by 1
    stick to poker
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  3. 10-22-10 09:53 AM #3
    pokerwhiz90
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    hey! j-ro have you checked out some of my other threads? we have another profiting day in ncaafb and tennis
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  4. 10-22-10 09:56 AM #4
    ayuntalo
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    So basically you are laying 2x to win .5x..
    Just bet a +2 1/2 if you want to risk big for a small profit IMO
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  5. 10-22-10 10:00 AM #5
    MarlinsFan2212
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    Phillies win 5-4 in this one.
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  6. 10-22-10 10:05 AM #6
    pokerwhiz90
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    yeah i lay 2x to win .5x but the odds are a lot better than your typical -400 bet
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  7. 10-22-10 10:15 AM #7
    ayuntalo
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    Ahmmm..that's the same I guess
    Try to do the math..
    Anyways thats just my opinion..
    Goodluck with whatever you wager
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  8. 10-22-10 10:16 AM #8
    jetsjets1028
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    phillies in 7 while texas wins poss in 7
    Last edited by jetsjets1028; 10-22-10 at 10:24 AM.
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  9. 10-22-10 11:18 AM #9
    Blax0r
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    Reverse middle bets like these have a small upside and a much larger downside; especially in baseball where the fav winning by exactly 1 isn't a rare event. However, if you truly believe this is +EV (ie, Pr(fav win by 1) < .2), then more power to you; good luck!
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