Brewers team total over 4 Runs (-115)
Brewers vs. A. Harang
Lets break down this game. THis is a day game and Harang was not at his best in day games in 2007. Harang was 5-4 in day games with an era of 5.01. Opposing team's batting average was 300. In night games, Harang was 11-2 with a 2.86 era and teams batting average was 200. Harang did pitch a day game at Miller Park (Milwaukee) in 2007 and allowed 9 hits, 6 runs and 4 homeruns in that game.
THe brewers have the advantage here that they have faced Harang before. On Tuesday, the brewers struggled to score runs against Cieto because they had never faced Cieto before. Just based on past performance against Harang, the brewers should be able to score some runs off Harang and the reds bullpen.
Braves team total under 4.5 runs (-115)
Jeff Francis is the best day time pitcher in the majors. Last year, Francis was 8-0, 2.48 era, 1.15 WHIP and one shutout in his day starts. Francis takes advantage of day home games that start at 305 pm central standard time. These are twilight games and after the game starts, the shadows start creeping in. I feel like the hitters are at a disadvantage when the shadows creep in.