1. #1
    imgv94
    imgv94's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-05
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    What do you think of this strategy?

    If you can, read these linked threads over a little to get the idea of what I was doing last season. It was a very short lived experiment but quite profitable nonetheless. Ended up making almost 15 units with it. I'm not going to lie the amounts I was betting was extremely small so it's not like I made a fortune of it but still.

    Baseball is very streaky and because of that I decided to focus on a single team and follow or fade them for a couple of weeks. Here are the threads...

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-h...-37320-p3.html

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-h...-38699-p2.html

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-h...nd-season.html


    Let me know what you think of this strategy, with baseball being so streaky and a lot of us having a good feel on certain teams I think some money can be made.. I think I'll be able to see a Dodger slump coming, or an Angel winning streak ahead. I'm sure a lot of you can and will do the same with your teams.

    Last edited by imgv94; 03-27-08 at 03:38 AM.

  2. #2
    WestsidePete
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    Join Date: 07-19-07
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    fade the giants....they started their opening day lineup vs their triple AAA team fresno and hitters getting 3 plate appearances each with zito starting and lost 4-3...zito pitched 6 innings giving up 8 hits 4 runs...the've got bengie molina hitting cleanup...this team will suck this year and not score runs...here are some trends from last year to look at this year...I took these from a report before the last game was played for each team..

    2007 Moneyline Betting Records
    (Updated 9/30/2007)
    Overall
    Rockies 88-73 +21.89
    Mariners 87-74 +19.75
    Diamondbacks 90-71 +18.54
    Nationals 73-88 +16.74
    Phillies 88-73 +12.42
    Angels 94-67 +11.58
    Indians 95-66 +11.50
    Red Sox 96-65 +6.02
    Rangers 75-86 +4.69
    Padres 89-72 +4.08
    Blue Jays 83-78 +1.77
    Tigers 87-74 +1.06
    Royals 69-92 +0.14
    Braves 84-77 -4.53
    Cardinals 76-83 -5.13
    Dodgers 82-79 -5.39
    Mets 88-72 -6.51
    Brewers 82-79 -6.70
    White Sox 72-89 -9.87
    Cubs 84-76 -10.48
    Yankees 93-68 -11.97
    Twins 78-83 -13.06
    Marlins 70-91 -13.52
    Devil Rays 65-96 -14.20
    Reds 71-90 -14.57
    Orioles 69-92 -15.00
    Pirates 68-93 -15.78
    Athletics 75-86 -16.42
    Astros 72-89 -18.56
    Giants 70-91 -21.33

    Home
    Rangers 47-34 +14.23
    Diamondbacks 50-31 +12.74
    Rockies 49-31 +12.35
    Mariners 48-33 +12.24
    Angels 54-27 +11.97
    Blue Jays 49-31 +10.64
    Brewers 50-30 +9.96
    Nationals 40-41 +8.01
    Indians 51-29 +7.67
    Phillies 46-34 +5.66
    Red Sox 51-29 +1.70
    Cardinals 43-38 -0.99
    Yankees 52-29 -1.01
    Padres 47-34 -1.17
    Dodgers 43-37 -3.27
    Braves 44-37 -3.28
    Tigers 45-36 -3.50
    Astros 41-39 -4.67
    Devil Rays 37-44 -5.13
    Royals 35-45 -5.69
    White Sox 38-42 -6.67
    Pirates 37-43 -8.36
    Cubs 43-37 -9.81
    Reds 38-42 -9.83
    Giants 39-42 -10.46
    Marlins 36-45 -12.11
    Orioles 35-45 -12.33
    Athletics 39-41 -13.23
    Twins 41-40 -14.23
    Mets 41-38 -18.78


    Road
    Mets 47-34 +12.27
    Rockies 39-42 +9.54
    Nationals 33-47 +8.73
    Mariners 39-41 +7.51
    Phillies 42-39 +6.76
    Royals 34-47 +5.83
    Diamondbacks 40-40 +5.80
    Padres 42-38 +5.25
    Tigers 42-38 +4.56
    Red Sox 45-36 +4.32
    Indians 44-37 +3.83
    Twins 37-43 +1.17
    Angels 40-40 -0.39
    Cubs 41-39 -0.67
    Braves 40-40 -1.25
    Marlins 34-46 -1.41
    Dodgers 39-42 -2.12
    Orioles 34-47 -2.67
    Athletics 36-45 -3.19
    White Sox 34-47 -3.20
    Cardinals 33-45 -4.14
    Reds 33-48 -4.74
    Pirates 31-50 -7.42
    Blue Jays 34-47 -8.87
    Devil Rays 28-52 -9.07
    Rangers 28-52 -9.54
    Giants 31-49 -10.87
    Yankees 41-39 -10.96
    Astros 31-50 -13.89
    Brewers 32-49 -16.66

    vs. Lefties
    Mariners 26-13 +15.07
    Tigers 28-15 +13.38
    Nationals 24-23 +12.38
    Diamondbacks 28-17 +11.84
    Indians 32-18 +11.09
    Blue Jays 26-17 +8.44
    Padres 29-22 +3.96
    Cardinals 28-26 +2.38
    Brewers 27-23 +1.73
    Royals 19-25 +1.39
    Dodgers 25-21 +1.17
    Athletics 24-23 +0.50
    Rangers 22-25 +0.43
    Pirates 23-25 +0.17
    Devil Rays 20-25 -0.01
    Phillies 26-26 -0.03
    Astros 22-23 -1.49
    Mets 29-23 -2.95
    Braves 31-32 -3.80
    Rockies 21-24 -4.62
    Giants 21-26 -4.73
    Twins 22-24 -4.76
    Red Sox 25-23 -5.78
    Marlins 20-28 -6.68
    Orioles 19-26 -7.58
    Angels 19-20 -8.36
    Yankees 19-19 -8.74
    Cubs 20-23 -9.10
    White Sox 16-27 -11.16
    Reds 23-37 -12.40

    vs. Righties
    Rockies 67-49 +26.51
    Angels 75-47 +19.94
    Phillies 62-47 +12.45
    Red Sox 71-42 +11.80
    Diamondbacks 62-54 +6.70
    Mariners 61-61 +4.68
    Nationals 49-65 +4.36
    Rangers 53-61 +4.26
    White Sox 56-62 +1.29
    Indians 63-48 +0.41
    Padres 60-50 +0.12
    Braves 53-45 -0.73
    Royals 50-67 -1.25
    Cubs 64-53 -1.38
    Reds 48-53 -2.17
    Yankees 74-49 -3.23
    Mets 59-49 -3.56
    Dodgers 57-58 -6.56
    Blue Jays 57-61 -6.67
    Marlins 50-63 -6.84
    Orioles 50-66 -7.42
    Cardinals 48-57 -7.51
    Twins 56-59 -8.30
    Brewers 55-56 -8.43
    Tigers 59-59 -12.32
    Devil Rays 45-71 -14.19
    Pirates 45-68 -15.95
    Giants 49-65 -16.60
    Athletics 51-63 -16.92
    Astros 50-66 -17.07

  3. #3
    diogee
    fadeable flamingo
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    Thanks for that info WSP...not too surprised to see the Rockies at the top after the late season run they made.

  4. #4
    imgv94
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    Yankees

    93-68 -11.97 All Games
    74-49 -3.23 vs Righties
    52-29 -1.01 @ Home
    41-39 -10.96 on road

    Damn dude.. whoa

  5. #5
    OLGC_Slayer
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    Good one Pete. We should try to put all this valuable info on one thread.......

  6. #6
    WestsidePete
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    once we have ten games completed I'll throw out this trend stuff to look at for this year...but you can see from last year that even if the Yankees win a lot again you don't cash in on units because of the chalk on the ML if that's how you play them...

  7. #7
    MrX
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    imgv,

    I wouldn't put too much stock in your ability to see a slump or a good streak coming any better than the market will. I would discourage you from attempting to handicap MLB by feel.

  8. #8
    Nismo
    Nismo's Avatar SBR PRO
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    If you would see a hot or cold streak coming, just buy and sell the odds to win or lose their division.

  9. #9
    OLGC_Slayer
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    I'm thinking about fading the Colorado Rockies for the April. Expectations might be kind of high and there might be some value on their opponents.

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