1. 08-25-10 10:46 PM #1
    SkivChef
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    Someone talk me off the ledge!

    Thinking of going all in on phils rl on thursday. They owe me big! Also had the bravos today, WTF??? the phils can win by 2 tomorrow right?
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  2. 08-25-10 10:48 PM #2
    ttm
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    Phillys can't score right now. Step back from that ledge my friend.
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  3. 08-25-10 10:50 PM #3
    JamesBrown
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    Take a day or two off and find that perfect play to get things going again.
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  4. 08-25-10 10:53 PM #4
    SkivChef
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    Last week the cards hosed me, shot my roll all to hell. Last thurs went all in on yanks and hit. The phils can bring me back. they gotta start scorin sometime, why not tomorrow?
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  5. 08-25-10 10:54 PM #5
    Handjuice
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    too risky. The Jays would be a safer bet but i still wouldn't go all in.
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  6. 08-25-10 10:59 PM #6
    Gee
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    don't be stupid. what u doing to do if they lose?

    i suppose it also depends what all in means for you and whether YOU can afford it... if you're only talking about a few hundred, its a very different question than if you're talking about thousands.

    i know everyone will talk about managing their roll and betting percentages of it, but when i started, i was happy to play a larger percentage of the roll, well aware of the risk of wiping myself out. the plan was to keep the unit size the same when i hit my target, which i have, and work from there.
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  7. 08-25-10 11:00 PM #7
    dynamite140
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    This should be a close game.
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  8. 08-25-10 11:02 PM #8
    ttm
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  9. 08-25-10 11:02 PM #9
    sharpmoney
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    Phillies will be lucky to win the game, let alone winning it by two or more.
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  10. 08-25-10 11:03 PM #10
    ttm
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    I would just stay away from that game. Isn't going to be the best bet tomorrow.
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  11. 08-25-10 11:04 PM #11
    SkivChef
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    Worked hard to double my roll in 4 weeks, 2 weeks later i'm right back where i started. I'm sooooo pissed at the braves and phillies. I know, i know step back and take a deep breath. basrball is almost over!
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  12. 08-25-10 11:06 PM #12
    Fishscale
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    **** it, I'm with you. Got my ass kick today, threw whatever's left on the SD rl. Looking good so far. Howard will be in lineup, no way they are getting 4 game swept by the asstros.
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  13. 08-25-10 11:10 PM #13
    chazzy
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    save your money and stop betting
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  14. 08-25-10 11:10 PM #14
    SkivChef
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    not an option my friend
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  15. 08-25-10 11:27 PM #15
    Gee
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    just pull the trigger. you're obviously going to.

    personally i think pads and brewers are better plays though, but a lot scares me tomorrow.
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  16. 08-25-10 11:33 PM #16
    SkivChef
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    i imagine when i wake up tomorrow i will be off tilt.
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  17. 08-26-10 05:25 AM #17
    thebestthereis
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    wandy is one on the worst road pitchers in baseball, he doesn't win. if the phils lose today they are the ones that should jump.
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  18. 08-26-10 06:18 AM #18
    phLLyphan11
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    I wouldn't touch the Phils game personally...you never know what you are going to get out of Kendrick and their offense sucks right now. Trust me they are pissing me off too man.
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  19. 08-26-10 06:29 AM #19
    rthoughton
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    I lost over 400 sbr yesterday on the phils.
    I have been saying for months now that I would stop betting on my own team. It hurts more when it loses and clearly Imfucking biased.
    I was rollin' but now have hit that baseball rut, and honestly, it's all the Phillies' fault.
    It's time, for me especially, to start looking elsewhere.
    recognize the ruts and the streaks.
    It's time to start paying more attention to the Padres.
    And the Cubs seem to be rolling...
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  20. 08-26-10 07:11 AM #20
    thebestthereis
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    Quote Originally Posted by rthoughton View Post
    I lost over 400 sbr yesterday on the phils.
    I have been saying for months now that I would stop betting on my own team. It hurts more when it loses and clearly Imfucking biased.
    I was rollin' but now have hit that baseball rut, and honestly, it's all the Phillies' fault.
    It's time, for me especially, to start looking elsewhere.
    recognize the ruts and the streaks.
    It's time to start paying more attention to the Padres.
    And the Cubs seem to be rolling...
    stop laying -340, there are perfect times to bet the phillies. they were +money 5 times in their last 20 games or so and won all of them as dogs. were you betting them then? it's all situational and value.
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  21. 08-26-10 09:49 AM #21
    SkivChef
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    F**k It, it's done. I have a great feeling about this one! Thanks for all the input and wish me luck. Go Phils!
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  22. 08-26-10 09:55 AM #22
    million2one
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    Good luck man, Phillies are really struggling to score right now.
    With this lineup though they could break out at any time.
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  23. 08-26-10 10:06 AM #23
    pronk
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    Why don't you take twinkies instead?
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  24. 08-26-10 11:29 AM #24
    slimpickins
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    Stop betting based on "they are due"
    many smart people go broke using this theory.
    Instead try a ride the hot hand theory, not that I condone going all in but if I had to choose I would rather ride the SD over ARI again today vs. the hoping the Phillie bats wake up today!
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  25. 08-26-10 12:58 PM #25
    fjblair
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    Quote Originally Posted by slimpickins View Post
    Stop betting based on "they are due"
    many smart people go broke using this theory.
    Instead try a ride the hot hand theory, not that I condone going all in but if I had to choose I would rather ride the SD over ARI again today vs. the hoping the Phillie bats wake up today!

    The Braves were "due" yesterday, somehow I was able to stay away. The dogs ate it up yesterday.
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  26. 08-26-10 01:12 PM #26
    aman86
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    Quote Originally Posted by slimpickins View Post
    Stop betting based on "they are due"
    many smart people go broke using this theory.
    Instead try a ride the hot hand theory, not that I condone going all in but if I had to choose I would rather ride the SD over ARI again today vs. the hoping the Phillie bats wake up today!
    Agree 100%. Ride the hot teams not the due factor. I was sorry to see you went through with the bet after Many brought solid adverse points to the table. No offense but you almost deserve to lose dater your fellow mates were trying to talk you out of it and I don't think one supported your argument. I mean whats a forum for then?
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  27. 08-26-10 01:14 PM #27
    aman86
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    Padres are a great example cashed for me last two night they look good some I'm going again tonight. I'd much rather take a good hot team against a bad cold team than try to do the opposite with the phils stros
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  28. 08-26-10 01:23 PM #28
    SkivChef
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  29. 08-26-10 01:27 PM #29
    JamesBrown
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    Well at least it's a tax write off.
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  30. 08-26-10 01:28 PM #30
    timmyboy34243
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    Quote Originally Posted by SkivChef View Post


    save a bullet for me............
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  31. 08-26-10 01:30 PM #31
    Rixsaw
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    Quote Originally Posted by JamesBrown View Post
    Well at least it's a tax write off.
    Ya, tell the Fed you are betting on sports.
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  32. 08-26-10 01:30 PM #32
    SkivChef
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    Ha luv it. Here we go phils will score 4 in the 5th and win 9 to 5! Onlt positive thoughts here
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  33. 08-26-10 01:31 PM #33
    MUHerd37
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    Phils are down right embarrassing right now. 4 game sweep at home by the Astros??? WTF???
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  34. 08-26-10 01:45 PM #34
    SkivChef
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    thats ok who cares if u cant score with runners on 2nd and 3rd. get em next inn.
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