1. 08-20-10 07:21 PM #1
    CaptNumbers
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    Games that end in a 1 run decision

    I have been doing some analysis regarding games that end in a 1 run decision and thought I might share this with everyone else.

    I did the analysis myself using the database at sportsdatabase.com.
    Here is what I show: (As you can see there is not a ton of variance from year to year)

    All Games
    Home Favorites Away Favorites
    Year -     Games - % Games - %
    2005 - 1719 - 69.88% 741 - 30.12%
    2006 - 1642 - 66.78% 817 - 33.22%
    2007 - 1666 - 67.83% 790 - 32.17%
    2008 - 1765 - 71.78% 694 - 28.22%
    2009 - 1743 - 70.88% 716 - 29.12%
    Total - 8535 - 69.43% 3758 - 30.57%

     1 Run Decisions
    Home Favorites Away Favorites
    Year -     Games - % Games - %
    2005 - 504 - 29.32% 225 - 30.36%
    2006 - 452 - 27.53% 227 - 27.78%
    2007 - 464 - 27.85% 218 - 27.59%
    2008 - 500 - 28.33% 189 - 27.23%
    2009 - 480 - 27.54% 186 - 25.98%
    Total - 2400 - 28.12% 1045 - 27.81%

    I am left with the conclusion that it is safe to assume that 28% of the games end in a 1 run decision.
    Points Awarded:

    HoulihansTX gave CaptNumbers 3 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    HoulihansTX gave CaptNumbers 3 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  2. 08-20-10 07:36 PM #2
    dolphan34
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    Nice work. Probably took a while.
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  3. 08-21-10 04:54 PM #3
    CaptNumbers
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    Thanks dolphan. Hopefully this will help someone out.
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