1. #1
    WiseGrumpy
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    Facts behind the picks - 8.18

    Padres -143:


    Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
    Padres are 13-3 in their last 16 during game 3 of a series.
    Padres are 4-0 in Richards last 4 Wednesday starts.

    Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
    Cubs are 3-12 in their last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.

    Before this series started, I called a sweep, so I won't stop now that's for sure. The Pads are playing amazing, all around. The pitching rotation is strong, the hitting for the most part is very good, great defense and the Cubs are not the team to stop this solid team for stopping.
    Richard has a high ERA in his last 11 starts but his is 6-2 in that span. He usually doesn't last more than 6 innings and with one of the best pen in the league it makes the Pads even better.

    Cards -1.5 -120:


    Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games.
    Cardinals are 15-3 in Wainwrights last 18 Wednesday starts.

    Cardinals are 5-1 in Wainwrights last 6 starts vs. Brewers.

    The Brewers are a team that can score almost against anyone and gets hit by almost everyone, but Wainy at home, after a very bad lose that the Cards simply can't afford, I expect them to explode. Wainy hasn't allowed a run in five of his last seven starts, a stretch in which he's 5-1 with a 1.31 ERA. He is 9-0 with a 1.30 ERA in 10 day starts and 11-0 with a 1.22 ERA at home. Wolf is 2-0 with a 3.16 ERA in his past four starts but he had some terrible starts before that and MIL pen is not very good.
    I expect a SO win from the Cards.

    *
    MONSTER play.

    Reds -123:


    Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
    Reds are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
    Reds are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
    Reds are 4-0 in Volquezs last 4 starts.
    Reds are 18-4 in Volquezs last 22 road starts.
    Reds are 4-1 in Volquezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.

    Diamondbacks are 1-5 in Lopezs last 6 starts.
    Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Lopezs last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
    Diamondbacks are 0-5 in Lopezs last 5 starts vs. National League Central.

    Reds are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings.

    The Reds are taking full advantage of the Cards lose and they can stop now. They will have Volquez on the mound and he is getting better and better. He is 2-0 with a 1.53 ERA in his last three outings.
    Lopez didn't win in a month and he is 0-4 with a 6.69 ERA in his last six starts.
    After a very solid first game for the Reds I expect them to keep rolling all over AZ.

    * MONSTER play.

    RedSox -1.5 +115:


    Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
    Red Sox are 8-2 in Lackeys last 10 home starts.

    Angels are 1-5 in Kazmirs last 6 starts.

    Angels are 0-8 in the last 8 meetings.

    Betting this one is a must. Until the RedSox lose to the Angels this season I will be on them. In ALL 8 games they covered so I think it's same to bet the sox -1.5. They are hitting well, they are pitching well, they should keep crushing the Angels.
    Lackey isn't having a good year, but he is good at home and very good against the Angels this season.

    Twins -143:


    Twins are 5-1 in Lirianos last 6 starts.
    Twins are 8-2 in Lirianos last 10 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
    Twins are 10-2 in their last 12 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
    Twins are 21-5 in their last 26 games on grass.
    Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

    White Sox are 1-11 in Floyds last 12 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    White Sox are 2-9 in Floyds last 11 starts vs. American League Central.
    White Sox are 0-4 in Floyds last 4 Wednesday starts.

    White Sox are 5-21 in the last 26 meetings in Minnesota.
    White Sox are 1-4 in Floyds last 5 starts vs. Twins.

    Home team is 5-0 in Darlings last 5 games behind home plate vs. Minnesota.
    Home team is 9-2 in Darlings last 11 Wednesday games behind home plate.

    This is one of the most important match-ups of the season and the Twins that dominate the WhiteSox will face a pitcher they destroyed the last time and a team with a pen that can hold any wins to save their lives.
    With that Liriano is amazing lately. He is 5-0 with a 1.62 ERA in his last six starts. Folyd posted a 5.09 ERA in losing three straight starts to the Twins.
    The Twins are better, and even though their pen almost gave up the game last night, this game is a bigger lock than yesterday in my opinion.

    *
    MONSTER play.

    Dodgers Vs Rockies OVER 7 runs -125:


    Over is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 games following a loss.
    Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    Over is 4-1-1 in Hammels last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

    Over is 12-3-1 in Kurodas last 16 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

    Over is 4-1 in Kurodas last 5 starts vs. Rockies.

    Over is 4-0 in Hoyes last 4 Wednesday games behind home plate.

    This is a match-up of two pitchers that don't play well against each-others teams and it's a perfect mix for a high scoring game. Kuroda is 0-3 with a 7.57 ERA in five career starts against the Rockies, and 0-1 with an 8.68 ERA in two this year. Hammel is 1-4 with a 5.18 ERA in his last six outings. He fell to 2-6 with a 5.64 ERA in 10 road games. The Dodgers started hitting and even though the Rockies on the road is not even close to the Rockies at home I'm sure their can get some runs to make this a VERY easy OVER.

    Astros Vs Mets UNDER 7 +100
    :


    Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 overall.
    Under is 7-1 in Dickeys last 8 starts overall.
    Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 overall.
    Under is 6-1-1 in Myers' last 8 starts overall.
    Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
    Under is 8-2-1 in Wests last 11 Wednesday games behind home plate.

    The Mets can't hit, they hit poorly and they hit poorly most of all on the road. With that they will face Myers that lasted at least 6 innings for his last 24 outings. He also has 2.22 ERA and seven quality starts in his last eight outings. On the other side Dickey comes after a 1 hitter and other than one bad game against the Phillies he is playing very well lately.
    This game should go well under all the way to the 9th, then I hope the pen won't destroy the bet.
    Last edited by WiseGrumpy; 08-18-10 at 05:35 AM.

  2. #2
    drfunkmaster
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    good luck

  3. #3
    WiseGrumpy
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    Added the RedSox.
    I'm on my phone so I can't edit everything so I will just say it's of course 0-8 in last 8 and not 7.

  4. #4
    MikeZaW
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    I like the Sox pick a lot. GL

  5. #5
    kobefanatic
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    good luck

  6. #6
    superman613
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    solid card...GL today


  7. #7
    beenyok
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    Feel that Cards gonna smack brewers down... *monster too

  8. #8
    Meyhem
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    good stuff grumps

  9. #9
    WiseGrumpy
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    Thnx guys. Added two more plays.

  10. #10
    Angela
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    Looks good

  11. #11
    mp5070
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    Once again, thanks for the great facts!

  12. #12
    WiseGrumpy
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    Added one more play for now I'm done might have more later on.

  13. #13
    latinrus
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    I love the Twinkies, Cards and Red Sox! GL WG

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