1. #1
    gamble
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    Cards RL Blog Take #2 (Now 15-4)

    Ok the last time I tried betting the Cardinals on the RL Carpenter let me down against the Cubs. I have more faith in Wainwright in this game however to get me a win.

    The St Louis Cardinals will be taking on the Milwaukee Brewers in this game on Wednesday afternoon for game 2 of the series. The Brewers took the first game of this series by a score of 3-2 in a game where the Brewers scored runs off costly errors by 3B Felipe Lopez. He botched 2 groundballs that both let runners on and allowed them to score as well. Although the defense did let start Jamie Garcia down, the offense is what cost the Cardinals the game last night in my opinion. They had many key chances in the game with runners on, and couldn't get the big hit to win this game. They shouldn't need too many runs in this game however, with their ace pitching on Wednesday. The Cards are currently listed as -240 favorites, and -120 RL favorites for Wednesday afternoon against the Brewers, with the run total being set at 7.5 runs.

    Adam Wainwright will be pitching for the Cardinals on Wednesday afternoon, and there are so many stellar statistics for this game your head will spin. To start off, Wainwright's overall ERA is at 1.99 with a disgusting 0.97 WHIP. Those numbers get even better when he pitches during the day, where he has a 1.30 ERA and a 9-0 record. They dip even lower when he pitches at home, where he has a 1.22 ERA and an 11-0 record. In his career, he has a 7-3 record against the Brew Crew, with an ERA of 1.94. He has already pitched against the Brewers twice this year, pitching 2 complete games and only surrendering 1 run in those 2 complete games. To top it all off, the top 6 hitters in the Brewer lineup (Braun, Fielder, Hart, Weeks, McGhee, and Escobar) are hitting a combined .189 off of Wainwright for their career. Bottom line is Wainwright has proven himself against these hitters and I would be shocked if they have much success at all against him. On the other side Randy Wolf will be pitching for the Milwaukee Brewers. He has mediocre numbers for this year, sporting a 4.86 ERA overall with a 1.52 WHIP. His numbers are even worse on the road this year, where his ERA balloons to 5.18 and his WHIP moves to 1.51. The Cardinals have also been hitting lefties well this year, and have been hitting better at home all year.

    I expect the Brewers to get shut down on Wednesday afternoon, as they did not hit that well on Tuesday night to begin with. Facing the Cy Young contender shouldn't help them any either. The Cardinals should be able to get some runs in this game, as Pujols have been absolutely on fire of late, hitting home runs in 7 of his last 13 games. Coming off a loss, the Cardinals should respond well with a big win. Play the Cardinals RL on Wednesday afternoon against the Brewers at -120.
    Points Awarded:

    jorge1 gave gamble 4 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    GTeater gave gamble 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  2. #2
    jorge1
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    more coin for your effort!!! please dont beat me up if the TB RL doesnt cash...i feel bad after seeing the amt of work you put in cappin, compared to me just simply going with my gut on this one... BOL my friend!!!

  3. #3
    tatddy
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    Good luck. I got in for 1 unit at -115 earlier. Seems this should play out like you outlined more often than not.

  4. #4
    gamble
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    Quote Originally Posted by jorge1 View Post
    more coin for your effort!!! please dont beat me up if the TB RL doesnt cash...i feel bad after seeing the amt of work you put in cappin, compared to me just simply going with my gut on this one... BOL my friend!!!
    thanks for the points man, and nah i like the tampa bay game with you as well, it looks good to me, I think we'll get that one too. thanks for the praise, good luck to you as well

  5. #5
    Pauulzcappin
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  6. #6
    gamble
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    alright i'm out for the night, let me know if you guys like this pick or any other comments

  7. #7
    Tommy_de1st
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    I like Cards RL very much but what scares me is that every person in the workd is gonna be on 'em

  8. #8
    Meyhem
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    always a good read gamble cheers for ya picks

  9. #9
    WiseGrumpy
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    Love the pick, one of my three monsters today.

  10. #10
    Sportsbetting123
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    This is a good matchup - I like the under. Best of luck!

  11. #11
    kobefanatic
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    like the cards RL as well

  12. #12
    GTeater
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    Looks good, thanks for the analysis .

  13. #13
    cala56
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    I love cardinals rl tonight, is my big play

  14. #14
    Regul8er
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    Goodluck with your play sir. Certainly looks like the right side, but you just never with these games.

  15. #15
    apwmel
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    I have the cards as well. I'm even going to play them on the -2.5 line.

  16. #16
    Lion4Life
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    I like it, nice write up. Good luck!

  17. #17
    gamble
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    Line movement making it look good to me, moving towards the cards

  18. #18
    Allure
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    Quote Originally Posted by gamble View Post
    Line movement making it look good to me, moving towards the cards
    You think line movements in baseball are worth considering? Imo they are not, but..

  19. #19
    gamble
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    Quote Originally Posted by Allure View Post
    You think line movements in baseball are worth considering? Imo they are not, but..
    In baseball I don't think they are much to consider, but I figured I'd throw it out there

  20. #20
    kboiler
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    Nice write up man. Good luck with your pick

  21. #21
    JohnnyD4916
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    Im on it

  22. #22
    jorge1
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    Gamble, buddyyyy, hope you are enjoying the games so far...That TB game really coming together huh? Wainwright is killin them BTW...and SD is comin through EARLY!!!

    This afternoon is lookin GOOD!!!

  23. #23
    gamble
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    Quote Originally Posted by jorge1 View Post
    Gamble, buddyyyy, hope you are enjoying the games so far...That TB game really coming together huh? Wainwright is killin them BTW...and SD is comin through EARLY!!!

    This afternoon is lookin GOOD!!!
    Ha I know, I told you that your rays would do it, lets hope they hold on. And wainwright looks good but we need some damn runs still. I'd say were looking good right now

  24. #24
    lunchbawks
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    wolf throwing a NO HITTER

  25. #25
    POTVINSUX
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    Not for long, Wolf is going to be opened up

  26. #26
    SRBI
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    Not lookin too great right now...at least Brewers were able to get men on base, Cards can't even do that right now.

  27. #27
    BravesFan
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    WTF RyaN? DOUBLE PLAY???? omfg i need this runline

  28. #28
    Rbyrne
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    Cardinals only have one hit and Wainwright got that hit so im a little worried at this point...Cards need runners and then the long ball

  29. #29
    gamble
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    yea they need to get pujols up with a runner on, i can't see them getting shut down by wolf all game but who knows

  30. #30
    SRBI
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    Yeah I had a feeling this would be the problem...Cards can't hit the ball if it came at em at 30mph...where the fuqq is the offense?

  31. #31
    GroundnPound
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    Talked myself out of the under because I have seen Wolf lighted up so many times. But Cardinaals can't do shit to him.

  32. #32
    Rbyrne
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    i cant believe the Cards offense cant even work the pitch count and get a walk

  33. #33
    CollegePro
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    lead off double by brewers to start the inning... this does not look good at all

  34. #34
    SRBI
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    I fuqqin hate baseball, why do I bet this god awful crap of a sport? Better off givin my money to some home-less person.

  35. #35
    gamble
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    not worried yet, wainwright is incredible with runners on, should get out of this

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