1. #1
    gamble
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    Cards RL Blog 8/14 (14-1 on blogs)

    The St Louis Cardinals will take on the Chicago Cubs for Game 2 of this series Saturday afternoon in St. Louis. The Cardinals have been playing arguably their best baseball over the last 7 games, winning 6 while only losing 1. The Cardinals bats have really come alive, as they have scored 46 runs in their last 7 games, almost averaging 7 runs per game. Their pitching has been stellar as well, only giving up 20 runs in those 7 games. The Cubs come into this game losing 8 of their last 10 games overall, as they seem to have all but given up on this year. They lost game 1 in this series after jumping out to a quick 2 run lead, only to give that lead up and the game by a score of 6-3. For game 2, the Cardinals are currently set as -250 ML favorites, while being -115 RL favorites, with the game runs total being set at 7.5 runs.

    Chris Carpenter gets the start for the Cardinals in this game, who has pitched great this year as expected. His season ERA stands at 2.90 with a WHIP of only 1.16 on the year. He has been even better of late, pitching to a 1.61 ERA in his last 3 starts, with a WHIP of 1.03. Carpenter always pitches well when the Cards need it, and I think he is gearing up for another playoff run by pitching the Cards into the playoffs. On the other side, Carlos Zambrano will be pitching for the Cubs on Saturday, who has been nothing short of a disaster this year. His ERA stands at 5.85 but that does not tell the whole story for his season. He has been through the toughest season of his career this year by being demoted the bullpen at one point and even getting suspended for one of his patented outbursts in his dugout. He blatantly embarrassed his teammates during a game he was pitching, belittling them in the dugout for not "diving for balls they could have gotten to". What Zambrano should have been worried about were the home run balls he was serving up to the other team, not his teammates' effort levels. He has historically been decent against the Cardinals, with a 3.50 ERA, but I do not expect him to be pitching well as the Cubs face off against one of the hottest offenses in the league right now. Zambrano's ERA is also a little worse in day games, rising to 3.69 in his career

    I also expect Carpenter to be able to shut down the Cubs' offense on Saturday pretty handily. Carpenter is a much better pitcher than Jake Westbrook, who limited the slumping Cubs' offense. Carpenter rose up big to the challenge on Monday night against the Reds and I expect to come up big for the rest of the season in the NL Central division race. I expect the Cardinals to win by at least 2 runs, probably in a 6-2 type of game, similar to the one played on Friday night. Play the Cardinals on the RL Saturday afternoon against the Cubs.



    I am now 14-1 on my blog write-ups so tail or fade, whatever you gotta do
    Points Awarded:

    Yezzir gave gamble 20 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    paco gave gamble 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    linedrivr gave gamble 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Tomasitas

  2. #2
    Saluki09
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    Great write up Gamble, going to tail you and Paco

  3. #3
    ericfree2010
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    Hey Nice work Gamble, Thanks for the write again !

  4. #4
    19th Hole
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    Gamble...Thank you for the time and energy that
    you put into this post.
    Convincing take on today's game.

    Good Luck To All!

  5. #5
    Yezzir
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    Gamble is killing the books.

  6. #6
    gamble
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    very generous of you yezzir, thanks for the points and kind words, i hope you've been on some of these winners i'm throwing out and hope we got another here

  7. #7
    Tomasitas
    Lithuania
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    CHC are 13-3 in Zambranos last 16 starts vs. STL

  8. #8
    Tomasitas
    Lithuania
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    only once in 20 games when played STL vs CHC won underdog

  9. #9
    Lion4Life
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    Nice write up, good luck!

  10. #10
    superman613
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    good write up...GL with the play


  11. #11
    paco
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    Nice write up pal.

    I saw the exact same thing as u and agree 100%.

    Also, Crazy Z walked a shitload of Giants batters last game but Giants just couldn't capitalize on em, he can't make that mistake against the Cards, they will make him pay

    Goodluck

  12. #12
    shermanator
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    Tailing you on this one on the RL as well.

  13. #13
    Duby
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    Great writeups and I agree...This is my POD today.

    2 unit play...If it wasnt so juicy it would have been a max 3 unit play but the juice prevented that from hapenning.

    GL

  14. #14
    pokerpro44
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    i like it.good luck.

  15. #15
    gamble
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    thanks guys, that's exactly what I was I was thinking paco, I think z got a little lucky last start

  16. #16
    Pauulzcappin
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    I've been looking at this game for sometime. Kinda worries me the Cubs have had success against Carpenter and it's a day game he's not usually good at.

  17. #17
    linedrivr
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    excellent analysis pal. I agreee 100% on this one.

  18. #18
    gamble
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    Carpenter is gonna be locked in this game, he's a team leader, I don't expect him to let down at home whether its day or night

  19. #19
    AceKingHigh
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    Tailing this one

  20. #20
    Duby
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    Cards TT over 4.5 also looks tempting

  21. #21
    gamble
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    yea i just don't see the cardinals not scoring a bunch off zambrano, they've been hitting lately and they always seem to hit when at home

  22. #22
    bauerranch
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    Lets go Cards!

  23. #23
    Duby
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    Quote Originally Posted by gamble View Post
    yea i just don't see the cardinals not scoring a bunch off zambrano, they've been hitting lately and they always seem to hit when at home


  24. #24
    gamble
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    my apologies to anyone who tailed me on this play, still can't believe the cardinals didn't get us that one, moves me to 14-2 on blogs so far barring a 9th inning comeback

    i will be playing the White Sox tonight as well, I can't see them losing at home to the Tigers tonight, making it my makeup play tonight

  25. #25
    Rbyrne
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    Cards just killed my bankroll.....

  26. #26
    gamble
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    my bad dude, I figured with me and paco both on it we would have a winner

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