1. 08-03-10 12:36 AM #1
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    I might take PIT, BAL and SEA on Tuesday

    Gambling gods, help me.

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  2. 08-03-10 12:37 AM #2
    Pauulzcappin
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    1-2 if lucky
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  3. 08-03-10 12:44 AM #3
    ACCBlitz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    1-2 if lucky
    Agree
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  4. 08-03-10 12:44 AM #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    1-2 if lucky
    Here's my rationale:

    Bucco backers were a day off on the lefty to get the job done vs. Cincy. I think Maholm continues to do well against the Reds here (PIT has beaten them twice this year with Maholm on the bump, and he's allowed just 2 ER in 13.2 IP). Leake's given up 17 hits in 14.1 IP vs. PIT this year, and 19 ER in his last 31.2 IP.

    Guthrie has pitched very well for the O's lately (1.31 ERA in his last three starts). Let's face it: Baltimore is favored for a reason here, with Trevor Bell opposing Guthrie.

    Seattle is the longshot, but I really like this Vargas kid. I know the M's have been awful in the first games of series and I know Lewis has shut them down this year. This is just a gut lean and nothing more.

    Mind you, none of these are plays -- yet. I don't like this card much at all.
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  5. 08-03-10 12:44 AM #5
    lunchbawks
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    balti is your best shot IMO.
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  6. 08-03-10 12:46 AM #6
    Pauulzcappin
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    That's also what I think, Balty might squeeze you a win but that's all.

    Pirates got shutout tonight -- though it was by a stud pitcher, don't expect anything better from them tomorrow.

    Texas is just too much for Seattle.
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  7. 08-03-10 12:47 AM #7
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    I like the White Sox early, and Latos late. Square plays, but what's not to like about fading the Tigers and Dodgers right now?
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  8. 08-03-10 12:48 AM #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    Pirates got shutout tonight -- though it was by a stud pitcher, don't expect anything better from them tomorrow.
    I think Leake's hitting a rookie wall.
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  9. 08-03-10 12:49 AM #9
    Pauulzcappin
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    You know NC, I can't understand how Leake beat Wood on spring training, have you also noticed the huge difference between those two?
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  10. 08-03-10 12:50 AM #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    You know NC, I can't understand how Leake beat Wood on spring training, have you also noticed the huge difference between those two?
    I'm not sure how Leake did what he did for the first two months of the season.

    If the Bucs and Mets weren't so cold right now, I'd fade the hell out of both Leake and Lowe tomorrow.
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  11. 08-03-10 12:52 AM #11
    Salmon Steak
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    I only like Baltimore NC. How did that early sharp movement work out? Were they sharp or a little dull?
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  12. 08-03-10 12:53 AM #12
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    Quote Originally Posted by Salmon Steak View Post
    I only like Baltimore NC. How did that early sharp movement work out? Were they sharp or a little dull?
    Tonight? Horrible.

    I'm done with line watching. Waste of time.
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  13. 08-03-10 12:54 AM #13
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    Thinking about making a huge play on the Fighting Latos at -115 tomorrow night.
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  14. 08-03-10 12:55 AM #14
    Pauulzcappin
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    Looks like Padres' bats woke up, might be a good time to do it.

    Considering it myself.
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  15. 08-03-10 12:56 AM #15
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    Looks like Padres' bats woke up, might be a good time to do it.

    Considering it myself.
    The Padres are everything that's right about a whole being greater than the sum of its parts in baseball.

    The Dodgers are the exact opposite.

    That's probably why I'll fade Detroit early, too.
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  16. 08-03-10 12:57 AM #16
    paco
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    Gimme a hit of that crack
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  17. 08-03-10 12:59 AM #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by paco View Post
    Gimme a hit of that crack
    What are you doing with our kittens early tomorrow? Anything?
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  18. 08-03-10 01:01 AM #18
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    What are you doing with our kittens early tomorrow? Anything?
    I have to work that game

    From what my drunk ass can see out of 1 eye, imma make a play on the Tigers
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  19. 08-03-10 01:04 AM #19
    Pauulzcappin
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    Porcello and Buerhle didn't have very good outings last time. Maybe over is the way to go?
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  20. 08-03-10 01:06 AM #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by paco View Post
    I have to work that game

    From what my drunk ass can see out of 1 eye, imma make a play on the Tigers
    They'll probably win one tomorrow -- just not sure which.

    Buehrle's an enigma.
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  21. 08-03-10 01:08 AM #21
    Pauulzcappin
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    Yeah, guy can go five and give up 6 but he can also make a cg shutout.

    But I'm going to have to feed my addiction, so I'm trying to find an angle.
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  22. 08-03-10 01:10 AM #22
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    I see Lilly's throwing for the Dodgers, eh?
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  23. 08-03-10 01:14 AM #23
    Pauulzcappin
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    I love fading a pitcher on his debut, especially a guy who came to be an ace.
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  24. 08-03-10 01:16 AM #24
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    I love fading a pitcher on his debut, especially a guy who came to be an ace.
    If Lilly came to be an ace, this team's got more problems than we know about....

    I wish Padilla was pitching -- probably make a bigger play there. If it's Lilly, I'll still go with SD, but not as big.
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  25. 08-03-10 01:17 AM #25
    Pauulzcappin
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    If it's not Lilly who's their ace? Kershaw?
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  26. 08-03-10 01:18 AM #26
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    If it's not Lilly who's their ace? Kershaw?
    Bills and Kerfax.
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  27. 08-03-10 01:21 AM #27
    beanbag
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    seattle? wtf? I would never put money on that shitty team
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  28. 08-03-10 01:25 AM #28
    paco
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    Lilly,
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  29. 08-03-10 08:35 PM #29
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  30. 08-03-10 08:39 PM #30
    Muddy
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    Soooo... Seattle huh.
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  31. 08-03-10 08:40 PM #31
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    Quote Originally Posted by Muddy View Post
    Soooo... Seattle huh.
    I've already said Seattle is the biggest longshot. Profit with CHW and BAL already, with PIT up 6-1, so I might take it easy on SD and SEA.
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  32. 08-03-10 08:41 PM #32
    $Burm$
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    no coin, i hope u played ur leans this time...u always start these threads but then seem to go the other way..hopefully u cashed the O's at least
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  33. 08-03-10 08:43 PM #33
    Muddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I've already said Seattle is the biggest longshot. Profit with CHW and BAL already, with PIT up 6-1, so I might take it easy on SD and SEA.
    Yeah I know. I was just hinting that we should take Seattle as you surprised a few people in this thread.
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  34. 08-03-10 08:48 PM #34
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    Quote Originally Posted by paco View Post
    Gimme a hit of that crack
    Good sheet.

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  35. 08-03-10 11:48 PM #35
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    Why didn't I just leave the stupid KC/OAK total alone?

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