I've been having good success with over/under plays the last few weeks. I've decided to solely focus on hitting this at a nice clip. Should really be called the "under" project, as it sems 80% of my total plays fall as unders.
1) Oakland (Braden) @ Baltimore (Matusz) - UNDER 8.5 Risking $125 to Win $100.
A couple reasons I like this game to stay under. Dallas Braden has been unreal lifetime against the O's. Over 38.1 innings, he has only given up 6 earned runs (1.41 ERA), while holding the Orioles to only 2 HR's, and a measley .173 average. The most staggering numbers are Adam Jones at 1-13 and Markakis at 2-15, then Scott/Wieters/Patterson combined are 3-21. I think its safe to say why I think Baltimore has trouble scoring runs tonight.
Brian Matusz has been showing flashes of potential, but sprinkles in starts where he really gets knocked up. His numbers are better home, with the opposition hitting .263. His K:BB ratio is almost 3 to 1 at home, but the 11 home runs in 7 home starts have killed him. The good news is Oakland is in town, and only have more HR's (50) then Seattle in the American League.
Finally, both teams had off days yesterday, allowing the bullpens to rest up. Oakland's has been solid all season and Baltimore's has really turned the corner and been integral to their .500 play the last 2 weeks.
HAHAHA......I just got home to see Oakland won 4-2. So winner right, no not even close, Braden didn't start, therefore the bet was pushed. Man, what a way to start.
All I can do is laugh fellas, all I can do is fu(kin laugh. Great read on the TB/Red Sox game, 3-1 into the 8th. A big reason I liked the play is the strength of the bullpens. And what happens, ohhh haha, its funny guys, Delcarmen decides to give up 6 runs without recording an out in the 8th. All of a sudden its 9-1, and a great pick, turns into a loser in no time.
I get myself back in the game, and I remember why I stayed out for so long. How do you guys put these horrible beats behind you? I have trouble and want to get it all back plus some on the next game, then I end up bankrupt.
glad to see you got it going my friend...i thought hard about the laa/chisox under but the more i looked at it the more i liked chisox and ended up just betting them....gl tonight
HAHAHAHAHAHA.....UNBELIEVABLE. 1-0 Orioles in the 7th, and now 5-5 in the bottom of 9 on a Cabrera bomb. Now there is no way I can win, hahahahahaha! Anyone have a bottle of whiskey!! I lose my fair share of these miracles, but never seem to win them, hmmmm, very strange!
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Regul8er's 2010 MLB Over/Under Project
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Let's hope to keep it rolling tonight.
