1. 06-24-10 02:03 AM #1
    flakeandbake
    flakeandbake's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-21-10
    Posts: 3,672
    Betpoints: 4278

    Its all about Statistics

    The odds a team is swept in a three game series is.. well I don't exactly but it seems that it only happens 2-3 times a week.. maybe 4 and thats really stretching it.

    -Tomorrow a total number of 11 teams are facing a sweep. I like to bet consistently against the sweep and find that it works more often than not, so i figured why not bet against the sweep for all ten games tomorrow bc u can bet your ass that not all 10 will lose. its all about the mathematics

    Lines for teams avoiding sweeps:
    1. Tampa Rays -190 (Rays haven't been swept once this year and r good at home)
    2. Indians +130
    3. Braves -110
    4. Twins +155
    5. Cubs +130
    6. Orioles +100
    7. Blue Jays +120
    8. Tigers +100
    9. Pirates +200
    10. Red Sox -105
    11. Dodgers +130

    Lets say 4 of these teams are swept out of 11, 11/4= 2.75 odd multiplier
    So if you bet 50 on each game and 7 win and 4 loose your looking at about a 140 dollar profit (50 x 2.75=137.5)
    - Seems like a decent theory for guaranteed profit

    2nd of all after taking these 11 games think about betting on Giants
    -Cain (6-5 2.16 ERA vs. Rodriguesz (3-10 6.10 ERA)
    Giants haven't won a series in two weeks and look to take advantage of struggling astros. Rodriguez is 0-2 with a 8.34 era vs Giants and Cain is 1-2 with a 3.9 vs Houston. Based on Stats, Giants look good
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 06-24-10 02:04 AM #2
    flakeandbake
    flakeandbake's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-21-10
    Posts: 3,672
    Betpoints: 4278

    good theory for people who had an of wednesday and are looking to bounce back
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 06-24-10 02:05 AM #3
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    5 or 6 out of 11 will avoid the sweep, cheers.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 06-24-10 02:06 AM #4
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    Texas, Angels, Mariners, PAdres, Mets and MAYBE Mariners will sweep IMHO.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 06-24-10 02:09 AM #5
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    i do this a lot and i agree (dont know the numbers) but more often than not i end up ahead...Sunday it didnt work so well as i think 5 out of 9 ended up swept and some were minus money, should have been great then a few shit teams blew early leads late and fukked up my winning day.....GL
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 06-24-10 02:09 AM #6
    cb8720
    cb8720's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-10-10
    Posts: 357
    Betpoints: 1

    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    Texas, Angels, Mariners, PAdres, Mets and MAYBE Mariners will sweep IMHO.
    I think the Phillies will as well.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 06-24-10 02:13 AM #7
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    I think Carmona gets it done
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 06-24-10 05:41 AM #8
    Sawyer
    Sawyer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-01-09
    Posts: 7,592
    Betpoints: 6650

    I'll back all American League teams which playing at home..
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 06-24-10 08:02 AM #9
    southmadejd
    southmadejd's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-27-09
    Posts: 1,059
    Betpoints: 830

    Quote Originally Posted by Sawyer View Post
    I'll back all American League teams which playing at home..
    Even the Orioles??
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 06-24-10 08:10 AM #10
    Sawyer
    Sawyer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-01-09
    Posts: 7,592
    Betpoints: 6650

    Specially Orioles
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Baseball Betting | Next Thread »