If I'd have told you before the season that on June 5, 7-0 Carlos Silva would be facing 3-7 Roy Oswalt, you would have had me committed on the spot.
Oz is a small favorite in this game (-108). Astros have won four in a row, and he's coming off an ejection. He shut down the Cubs in April at Wrigley.
Silva, meanwhile, has been terrific. His road numbers from 2006-08 were nothing short of horrific, though (10-27 record, ERA around 7), which makes me think he's due for a major correction here -- both record-wise and because he's on the road, facing a staff ace on a suddenly-hot team.
Give me the 'Stros here.