Lester has had three good starts in a row (10 hits, one run in 20 2/3 innings) He has thrived at Fenway Park going 24-6 with a 3.26 ERA. Lifetime against the Yankees, Lester is 3-1 with a 4.19 ERA in nine starts.
A.J. Burnett (4-0, 1.99) is off to the best start of his career. He hasn’t allowed an earned run in his past 19 innings.
Over is 16-6 in New York's last 22 road games and 7-3 in the last 10 games of this series. The over is 11-6 at Fenway Park this season. Maybe over is the play.