[shawnjohn5]

Duke is one of the most underrated pitchers in the league and Gallardo is one of the most overrated... If this were in Pitt, it'd be a no brainer (obviously not quite the =+185 but still close)... Any thoughts?!?!

[DeluxeLiner]

Id see if you can squeeze a little more value out of that line before you pull the trigger.

[Sunde91]

I was when I saw the Brewers at -205+ with shitty Gallardo on the mound.

[Cuse0323]

Great value in this pick. I don't see anyone could lay that much juice on the Brewers.

[STAY STRONG]

think pitt is a great play tomorrow. gallardo has been getting lit up this season.

[CashMoney]

I'm on the Brewers RL. Dukes career numbers are horrible against the Brewers and last time Gallardo threw against the Pirates he threw 5 scoreless and struck out 10. They both matched up 5 days ago and the Brewers won 8-0. I'll take a 4-2 or 5-2 victory on the Brew Crew.

[BigPapa62]

thinking run line for the brewers in this one

[Sawyer]

I don't like to play on cold teams like Pirates but Brewers are not hot lately either. The key factor here is, -and it makes to bet on Pirates- Brewers just swept Pirates at Pittsburgh. So Pirates will be motivated to not get swept again, I won't be surprised if they win 1 game in these series. I will chase Brewers at home but I will skip Game-1 because Pirates have a chance to win this one. Duke is a good pitcher, much better then other Pittsburgh pitchers but Pirates' bullpen sucks. You may consider First 5 Innings bet maybe?

[pavlik]

Last week @pit the brewers outscored pit 38-1 in 3 games. Duke started the 2nd game which ended 8-0. Even if duke is perfect through 7 innings that still leave 2 innings of relief pitching and you can't count on pit to score.
Parlay mil and laa +138
betting mil ml every game of series

[linedrivr]

I like Milw on the RL as well. I think they get back on track today.

[JC2008]

I'd take a shot on Milwaukee for the first 5 innings.

[MStein12]

the buccos are due for a win

[nitty48]

pitt has lost 22 straight in milwaukee so they are bound to win eventually

[Maester Rigo]

I agree with some of the other people I'd take Pitt for the first innings cause I see that as their best chance at taking the lead and holding it is while Duke is pitching.

[Bob Loblaw]

Betting on bad teams while getting bad lines equals a bad idea.

This is a team that is 24-65 on the road the last 2 years. Catching +185 with this team on the road is not a winning proposition. Especially considering as nitty mentioned they haven't won in milwaukee for like 22 straight games. They just got outscored at home by this same team 38-1 in the series and 8-0 in the same pitching matchup. I admit Gallardo is overrated overall but not at home. He carries a 3.13 career era there which is more than a full run better than his road numbers. Gallardo is 2-0 with a s 2.25 era in 4 career starts vs Pitt at home and the Brewers are 4-0 in those games. On the other side Duke is 0-5 with a 7.38 era in 9 career starts in Miwaukee and the Pirates are 0-9 in those games. Value doesm't have to have a plus sign in front of it. The value lies with Milwaukee tonight.

[Glitch]

duke is pretty good but they've really been suckin the big one.

[reverend]

nope

[RichardGeorge]

I'ma sucker, so ill probably take Pitt again... I'm 3-0 on dogs the last 2 days... hope it continues today

[Afrot69]

No play for me.

[mart59a]

Duke is 0-5 with an 8.63 ERA in his last seven starts versus the Brewers and 3-6 with a 5.73 ERA in 14 career outings. He has never won at Milwaukee, going 0-5 with a 7.38 ERA in nine starts.

Why is he a good pick tonight?

[Facepunch]

Pitt +190 + Under 8.5

[Ramasenka]

Brewers RL

[Facepunch]

Duke is an awesome pitcher who I think is on the verge of the best season of his life.

[phillip]

I can't play this, this is a classic no play. I don't think the Bucs win, but no way you lay that price on the Brewers.

[spippen]

Duke is 0-5 with an 8.63 ERA in his last seven starts versus the Brewers and 3-6 with a 5.73 ERA in 14 career outings. He has never won at Milwaukee, going 0-5 with a 7.38 ERA in nine starts.

Why is he a good pick tonight?

This was an excellent point. I think it is a mental issue when a pitcher has so much failure w a particular team. No matter how good the pitcher has been progressing, constant failure against certain teams weighs heavily on their minds- not a good thing at all. Finding a medium to big dog who HAS had historic success against a particular team is always a great bet. I had pitt and la angels, but had I read/researched the poor record Duke vs Bucks I would have passed or took shot with Bucks r-line.

[dukeblue888]

no brew crew and the over

[oiler]

well i hope u dont like pitt again its like 22 straight loses at milwaukee.i wouldnt take them even if dock ellis was pitching.they need to show me they could win in milwaukee before i would consider taking them