1. 04-25-10 12:08 PM #1
    sheffield77
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    Sheffields System Tracking Thread

    This is a new system Ive been working on i think its ready to be put into play

    Sunday's Plays
    Padres 1.15 units to win 1 unit
    Nationals 1 unit to win 1.38 units
    Blue Jays 1 unit to win 1.75 units
    Houston 1.68 units to win 1 unit

    This system will have a lot of plays daily and it should scratch out a positive one or two units a day. I'm not going for winning % here i am just going with mispriced odds based on the % chance a team has of winning a game. For example the nationals i have at 49% at winning the game so obviously +138 is a good value play.

    Wish me luck fellas
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  2. 04-25-10 12:18 PM #2
    mrkron
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    New system or have you tested it?
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  3. 04-25-10 12:27 PM #3
    sheffield77
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    i have tested it. It was up 9.32 units last week
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  4. 04-25-10 01:27 PM #4
    sheffield77
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    Adding Three more Plays
    Yankees -130 Risking 1.3 to win 1
    Marlins +145 1 to win 1.45
    Indians +113 1 to win 1.13
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  5. 04-25-10 01:53 PM #5
    sixersbbiv
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    GL on your picks today
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  6. 04-25-10 01:57 PM #6
    sheffield77
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    Quote Originally Posted by sixersbbiv View Post
    GL on your picks today
    thanks
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  7. 04-25-10 02:48 PM #7
    thebestthereis
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    why are nationals 49% to win instead of 55% or 41% or anything else for that matter?
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  8. 04-25-10 02:54 PM #8
    sheffield77
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    because when i run the numbers that's what i come up with.. It's a system that tells me based on the model Ive constructed the % chance a team has of winning a game. Then i see if the play is worth playing based on the line the team has
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  9. 04-25-10 03:34 PM #9
    sheffield77
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    Quote Originally Posted by sheffield77 View Post
    Sunday's Plays
    Padres 1.15 units to win 1 unit LOSS
    Nationals 1 unit to win 1.38 units WIN
    Blue Jays 1 unit to win 1.75 units LOSS
    Houston 1.68 units to win 1 unit WIN
    System Early Picks 2-2 +.23 Units
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  10. 04-25-10 03:40 PM #10
    incomeraise
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    Quote Originally Posted by sheffield77 View Post
    i have tested it. It was up 9.32 units last week
    so have u just tested it for last week? or for a longer period of time, and if so how did it do in terms of units?
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  11. 04-25-10 06:08 PM #11
    sheffield77
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    Quote Originally Posted by sheffield77 View Post
    Adding Three more Plays
    Yankees -130 Risking 1.3 to win 1 LOSS
    Marlins +145 1 to win 1.45 LOSS
    Indians +113 1 to win 1.13 LOSS
    Overall Record 2-5 -3.07 Units

    Oh well the system will even out over time. Not the way i wanted to start off tho
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  12. 04-26-10 05:20 PM #12
    sheffield77
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    Mondays Plays
    Padres +145 risking 1 to win 1.45
    Pirates +190 risking 1.5 to win 2.85 (severe Mispriced line have Pirates at 42% to win)
    Texas -133 risking 1.33 to win 1
    Cubs -157 risking 1.57 to win 1
    Angels -190 risking 2.8 to win 2 (Severe Misprice)
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  13. 04-26-10 11:57 PM #13
    sheffield77
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    Quote Originally Posted by sheffield77 View Post
    Mondays Plays
    Padres +145 risking 1 to win 1.45 LOSS
    Pirates +190 risking 1.5 to win 2.85 (severe Mispriced line have Pirates at 42% to win) LOSS
    Texas -133 risking 1.33 to win 1 LOSS
    Cubs -157 risking 1.57 to win 1 WIN
    Angels -190 risking 2.8 to win 2 (Severe Misprice) WIN
    NET -.83 on the day

    YTD 4-8 -3.9 UNITS
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  14. 04-27-10 03:49 PM #14
    sheffield77
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    Tuesday's Early Plays
    Toronto -102 Risking 1.02 to win 1
    Orioles +162 Risking 1 to win 1.62
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  15. 04-27-10 04:01 PM #15
    melissaphillips
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    good luck!!
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  16. 04-27-10 06:34 PM #16
    sheffield77
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    Tuesday's Late Plays
    Brewers -230 Risking 2.3 to win 1
    Washington +145 Risking 1 to win 1.45
    Reds +126 Risking 1 to win 1.26
    Royals -200 Risking 3 to win 2 (Severe Misprice)
    Cards -178 Risking 5.34 to win 3 (Very Severe Misprice)
    Phillies -136 Risking 1.36 to win 1
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  17. 04-28-10 11:17 AM #17
    sheffield77
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    Quote Originally Posted by sheffield77 View Post
    Tuesday's Early Plays Toronto -102 Risking 1.02 to win 1 LOSS
    Orioles +162 Risking 1 to win 1.62 WIN
    Quote Originally Posted by sheffield77 View Post
    Tuesday's Late Plays
    Brewers -230 Risking 2.3 to win 1 LOSS
    Washington +145 Risking 1 to win 1.45 WIN
    Reds +126 Risking 1 to win 1.26 WIN
    Royals -200 Risking 3 to win 2 (Severe Misprice) TOUGH LOSS
    Cards -178 Risking 5.34 to win 3 (Very Severe Misprice) WIN
    Phillies -136 Risking 1.36 to win 1 LOSS
    Total -.35 units 4-4 on the day

    Tough day seeing as brewers and royals blew late leads which would to lead to a gain of around 8 units if they could holdon

    YTD 8-12 -4.25 units
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  18. 04-28-10 11:21 AM #18
    sheffield77
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    Wednesday's Early Plays
    Pirates +138 Risking 1 to win 1.38
    Nationals +175 Risking 1 to win 1.75
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  19. 04-28-10 02:24 PM #19
    sheffield77
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    Adding
    Giants -151 Risking 3.02 to win 2 (Severe Misprice)
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  20. 04-28-10 05:56 PM #20
    sheffield77
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    Quote Originally Posted by sheffield77 View Post
    Wednesday's Early Plays Pirates +138 Risking 1 to win 1.38 WIN
    Nationals +175 Risking 1 to win 1.75 WIN
    Quote Originally Posted by sheffield77 View Post
    Adding Giants -151 Risking 3.02 to win 2 PENDING(Severe Misprice)
    Today-2-0 Pending


    Tonight we have a very favorable card with some major mispriced lines.
    Night Plays
    Angels -170 Risking 5.1 to win 3 (Very Severe Misprice)
    Toronto +132 Risking 2 to win 2.64 (Severe Misprice)
    Oakland +143 Risking 2 to win 2.86 (Severe Misprice)
    White Sox +110 Risking 1 to win 1.1
    Cardinals -152 Risking 1.52 to win 1
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  21. 04-29-10 03:31 PM #21
    sheffield77
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    Quote Originally Posted by sheffield77 View Post
    Today-2-0 Pending


    Tonight we have a very favorable card with some major mispriced lines.
    Night Plays
    Angels -170 Risking 5.1 to win 3 WIN(Very Severe Misprice)
    Toronto +132 Risking 2 to win 2.64 LOSS(Severe Misprice)
    Oakland +143 Risking 2 to win 2.86 LOSS (Severe Misprice)
    White Sox +110 Risking 1 to win 1.1 LOSS
    Cardinals -152 Risking 1.52 to win 1 WIN
    Wednesday 4-4 -.87 units
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  22. 05-11-10 04:53 PM #22
    sheffield77
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    I was on Vacation but now im back lets hope this respite will be enough to get the system back in the groove

    Tuesday's Plays
    Washington +128 Risking 1 to win 1.28
    Tigers +142 Risking 1 to win 1.42
    Pirates +112 Risking 1 to win 1.12
    Blue Jays +150 Risking 3 to win 4.5 (Very Severe Misprice)
    Rangers -180 Risking 3.6 to win 2 (Severe Misprice)
    Royals Risking -115 1.15 to win 1
    Cardinals -245 Risking 2.45 to win 1
    Rays Risking -115 2.3 to win 2 (Severe Misprice)
    Giants -152 Risking 3.04 to win 2 (Severe Misprice)

    YTD 12-14 -5.12 Units All Plays
    Severe Misprices 1-4 -8.02 Units
    Very Severe Misprices 2-0 +6 Units
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  23. 06-10-10 11:36 PM #23
    melissaphillips
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  24. 06-10-10 11:38 PM #24
    playersonly69
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    Severe Misprices
    Very Severe Misprices



    That shit is classic!!!!
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