Originally Posted by
stevenash
I use two highly accurate and dependable sources that do this sort of thing.
I trust myself for sure, but it never hurts to get the opinion of those who do projections for a liviMost sources that I trust say NYY will win between 88-94 games, and have between a 76-84 percent chance of making the postseason.
At +390, the odds you are quoting the book is saying NYY have a 80.5 percent chance of making the playoffs, 19.5 percent chance they don't, so you're getting a fair price, no edge, but you're not getting ripped.
Personally speaking, and I don't have a rooting interest either way there, there are better bets available.
I really don't like tying up money on a long term future, but like I said, as long as you are getting a fair price, and you are, and you feel strongly about it, than go for it.