Hello everyone, I'm a retired auto-chassis CAD designer. I'm a relatively novice gambler
with modest success betting almost exclusively on Underdogs in Major League Baseball.
My wagers are based on Ken Osterman's theory, involving a Recalculated Moneyline based
upon the last five games played (although I use a seven-game interval). His method uses
the run differentials between two opposing teams over this brief period to compute a new
theoretical moneyline; it's based upon the belief that MLB teams play well (or NOT so well)
in streaks during a season. Once a team is bet on (or against), another five or seven game
period must elapse prior to betting again on that team.
Osterman's book is Betting on Major League Baseball: The Underdog Method. It's an
inexpensive 95-page book that I fully recommend. His method appears to work....although
other common factors must also be incorporated (No bets on a team that's lost three or more
straight games, no bets against any team winning three or more straight, etc.). Starting
pitchers, bullpen strengths, and other factors all play a role too, of course.
I'll be posting my bets (and their results a day later) when baseball season finally starts.
Hopefully I won't step on my weinie too badly....