1. #1
    cybersharp
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    Join Date: 04-17-20
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    MLB Underdog Betting 2020

    Hello everyone, I'm a retired auto-chassis CAD designer. I'm a relatively novice gambler
    with modest success betting almost exclusively on Underdogs in Major League Baseball.

    My wagers are based on Ken Osterman's theory, involving a Recalculated Moneyline based
    upon the last five games played (although I use a seven-game interval). His method uses
    the run differentials between two opposing teams over this brief period to compute a new
    theoretical moneyline; it's based upon the belief that MLB teams play well (or NOT so well)
    in streaks during a season. Once a team is bet on (or against), another five or seven game
    period must elapse prior to betting again on that team.

    Osterman's book is Betting on Major League Baseball: The Underdog Method. It's an
    inexpensive 95-page book that I fully recommend. His method appears to work....although
    other common factors must also be incorporated (No bets on a team that's lost three or more
    straight games, no bets against any team winning three or more straight, etc.). Starting
    pitchers, bullpen strengths, and other factors all play a role too, of course.

    I'll be posting my bets (and their results a day later) when baseball season finally starts.
    Hopefully I won't step on my weinie too badly....
    Last edited by cybersharp; 04-20-20 at 04:09 PM.

  2. #2
    cybersharp
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    Bump. Getting ready to soar above the 48% mark or crash at 40%.... my bets
    start on July 29 or 30, using a 5-game interval....

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